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Patrick Mahomes
QB · KC · Age 30 · Bye 5
Verdexed board · 2026
| Format | Our rank | Market ADP | Value | Proj pts | Floor–Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB10 (#105) | 104.3 | +4 | 289.9 | 192.8–353.2 |
| Half PPR | QB10 (#104) | 102.9 | +3 | 289.6 | 192.5–352.9 |
| Standard | QB10 (#108) | 107.3 | +3 | 289.2 | 192.1–352.5 |
“Value” is market slot minus our slot: positive means the market lets you draft him later than our blend ranks him. Ranks blend our projection model with ADP at backtested weights, the receipts are on methodology.
Trade value: what to ask for Patrick
Our board has Patrick Mahomes at QB10, #105 overall in PPR, and the market drafts him at ADP 104.3 (QB14). The market undervalues him by about 4 picks, so do not sell at his ADP price. Ask for a player ranked around #105 on our board, not around his ADP. He projects to 289.9 points (floor 192.8, ceiling 353.2).
QBs in that range on our board right now: Trevor Lawrence (#92, JAX), Jared Goff (#103, DET), Justin Herbert (#104, LAC), Bo Nix (#113, DEN), Jaxson Dart (#118, NYG).
KC teammates on the board
- Rashee RiceWR12 · #17
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB12 · #22
- Xavier WorthyWR48 · #108
- Travis KelceTE10 · #109
- Emmett JohnsonRB90 · #145
- Cyrus AllenWR109 · #155
- Justin FieldsQB30 · #221
- Brashard SmithRB55 · #225
The KC team page: record, schedule with the model's odds, full roster.
The market's opinion over time (PPR ADP)
18 weekly market snapshots · down 23.1 picks since first snapshot
Recent fantasy seasons
| Season | G | PPR | Half | Std | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 285.7 | 285.2 | 284.7 | 3587 | 22 | 11 | 422 | 5 |
| 2024 | 16 | 283.0 | 282.5 | 282.0 | 3928 | 26 | 11 | 307 | 2 |
| 2023 | 16 | 280.2 | 280.2 | 280.2 | 4183 | 27 | 14 | 389 | - |
| 2022 | 17 | 417.4 | 416.9 | 416.4 | 5250 | 41 | 12 | 358 | 4 |