NFL Power Rankings
The season projection blended with results so far, weighted by games played. Early on the roster projection dominates; by mid-season the record carries most of the weight.
2026 season · updated 2026-09-19
| # | Team | Rating | Proj W |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Seattle SeahawksSEA | +1.68 | 12.3 |
| 2 |  Buffalo BillsBUF | +1.43 | 11.9 |
| 3 |  Baltimore RavensBAL | +1.35 | 11.4 |
| 4 |  Jacksonville JaguarsJAX | +1.25 | 11.1 |
| 5 |  Minnesota VikingsMIN | +1.18 | 11.0 |
| 6 |  San Francisco 49ersSF | +1.07 | 10.7 |
| 7 |  Philadelphia EaglesPHI | +1.05 | 10.8 |
| 8 |  Kansas City ChiefsKC | +0.86 | 10.2 |
| 9 |  Cincinnati BengalsCIN | +0.65 | 9.8 |
| 10 |  Pittsburgh SteelersPIT | +0.53 | 9.5 |
| 11 |  Detroit LionsDET | +0.51 | 10.0 |
| 12 |  Chicago BearsCHI | +0.49 | 9.3 |
| 13 |  New England PatriotsNE | +0.45 | 9.8 |
| 14 |  Houston TexansHOU | +0.36 | 9.6 |
| 15 |  Los Angeles RamsLAR | +0.35 | 9.7 |
| 16 |  New York GiantsNYG | +0.03 | 8.3 |
| 17 |  Denver BroncosDEN | -0.11 | 8.6 |
| 18 |  Green Bay PackersGB | -0.47 | 7.7 |
| 19 |  Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB | -0.47 | 7.6 |
| 20 |  Atlanta FalconsATL | -0.52 | 7.5 |
| 21 |  New Orleans SaintsNO | -0.54 | 7.4 |
| 22 |  Las Vegas RaidersLV | -0.57 | 6.8 |
| 23 |  Los Angeles ChargersLAC | -0.62 | 7.3 |
| 24 |  Dallas CowboysDAL | -0.73 | 7.0 |
| 25 |  Arizona CardinalsARI | -0.79 | 6.3 |
| 26 |  New York JetsNYJ | -0.83 | 6.2 |
| 27 |  Washington CommandersWSH | -0.83 | 6.7 |
| 28 |  Indianapolis ColtsIND | -0.89 | 6.7 |
| 29 |  Cleveland BrownsCLE | -1.33 | 5.7 |
| 30 |  Carolina PanthersCAR | -1.44 | 5.4 |
| 31 |  Miami DolphinsMIA | -1.58 | 5.0 |
| 32 |  Tennessee TitansTEN | -1.71 | 4.7 |
How the rating works
Every team starts the season at its projection: the daily simulation plays each roster through its actual schedule thousands of times, checked against the market's win totals, and that expected-wins figure is standardized against the league. As games are played, results (win percentage, scoring differential per game, last-10 form) blend in, weighted by games played, so a 1-0 week does not leapfrog a roster and a 6-2 start does move a team up. Positive means above average; the gap between two teams is a real strength difference, not a gut ranking.