The Edge Board
Where the machine disagrees with the market. Our model grades every game across all four leagues, and these are today's biggest gaps between its win probability and the sportsbook's price. Value the books may be missing — not guarantees.
Lines as of 7:00 PM ET — prices move; check your book.
NYY @ CWS
Model backs NYY · 66% to win · market -134
Strong
HOU @ LAA
Model backs HOU · 57% to win · market -106
Moderate
COL @ SD
Model backs SD · 68% to win · market -174
Moderate
BOS @ ATH
Model backs ATH · 43% to win · market +155
Moderate
CLE @ CIN
Model backs CIN · 50% to win · market +116
Moderate
CLE @ CIN
Model backs CLE · 44% to win · market +145
Moderate
BAL @ DET
Model backs BAL · 46% to win · market +127
Slight
NYY @ CWS
Model backs CWS · 46% to win · market +127
Slight
KC @ MIN
Model backs KC · 45% to win · market +134
Slight
AZ @ PIT
Model backs AZ · 51% to win · market +100
Slight
ATL @ NYM
Model backs ATL · 53% to win · market -104
Slight
PHI @ MIA
Model backs PHI · 52% to win · market -105
Slight
Shop these lines
Lines move — confirm the price before betting. 21+ and present in a legal state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
This is the teaser board.
The per-league Edge Finder shows every edge with fair odds and Kelly stake sizing.
What "edge" means here
For every upcoming game, the model produces a win probability independent of the betting market. We convert the sportsbook's moneyline into itsimplied probability and compare. When our number is meaningfully higher than the market's on a side, that gap — the "edge" — is where a bet has positive expected value if the model is right. Bigger gap, bigger rating. It's a starting point for research, not a lock.