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Davis Mills
QB · HOU · Age 27
Verdexed board · 2026
| Format | Our rank | Market ADP | Value | Proj pts | Floor–Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB70 (#534) | undrafted | -40 | 80.2 | -16.9–143.5 |
| Half PPR | QB70 (#454) | undrafted | -44 | 80.1 | -17.0–143.4 |
| Standard | QB70 (#347) | undrafted | -45 | 80.2 | -16.9–143.5 |
“Value” is market slot minus our slot: positive means the market lets you draft him later than our blend ranks him. Ranks blend our projection model with ADP at backtested weights, the receipts are on methodology.
Trade value: what to ask for Davis
Our board has Davis Mills at QB70, #534 overall in PPR, and the market leaves him undrafted. The market prices him about 40 picks higher than we do, so in a trade ask for more than his slot suggests: a fair return is a player the market ranks near #534, and you are giving up someone our model values as a #534. He projects to 80.2 points (floor -16.9, ceiling 143.5).
QBs in that range on our board right now: Josh Johnson (#526, CIN), Tyler Huntley (#536, BAL), Mitchell Trubisky (#539, TEN), Carson Wentz (#543, MIN), Bailey Zappe (#548, NYJ), Brady Cook (#549, MIA).
HOU teammates on the board
- Nico CollinsWR10 · #21
- David MontgomeryRB23 · #52
- Marvin Harrison Jr.WR33 · #67
- Woody MarksRB42 · #139
- C.J. StroudQB18 · #161
- Kayshon BoutteWR65 · #166
- Tank DellWR68 · #186
- Jaylin NoelWR72 · #191
The HOU team page: record, schedule with the model's odds, full roster.
Recent fantasy seasons
| Season | G | PPR | Half | Std | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6 | 68.6 | 68.6 | 68.6 | 915 | 5 | 1 | 60 | 1 |
| 2024 | 4 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| 2023 | 5 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 173 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| 2022 | 15 | 181.5 | 181.5 | 181.5 | 3118 | 17 | 15 | 108 | 2 |