Archive · as published October 5, 2026
NBA Power RankingsOctober 5, 2026
No regular-season games yet, so this is the projection alone: expected wins from the daily simulation of every roster against its schedule, with the market's win totals as a check.
| # | Team | Rating | Proj W |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oklahoma City ThunderOKC | +2.03 | 56.1 |
| 2 |  San Antonio SpursSA | +1.90 | 55.0 |
| 3 |  New York KnicksNY | +1.15 | 49.1 |
| 4 |  Boston CelticsBOS | +0.93 | 47.4 |
| 5 |  Detroit PistonsDET | +0.90 | 47.2 |
| 6 |  Denver NuggetsDEN | +0.80 | 46.4 |
| 7 |  Philadelphia 76ersPHI | +0.79 | 46.3 |
| 8 |  Houston RocketsHOU | +0.69 | 45.5 |
| 9 |  Cleveland CavaliersCLE | +0.64 | 45.1 |
| 10 |  Minnesota TimberwolvesMIN | +0.62 | 45.0 |
| 11 |  Miami HeatMIA | +0.55 | 44.4 |
| 12 |  Los Angeles LakersLAL | +0.48 | 43.9 |
| 13 |  Toronto RaptorsTOR | +0.38 | 43.1 |
| 14 |  Atlanta HawksATL | +0.27 | 42.2 |
| 15 |  Orlando MagicORL | +0.27 | 42.2 |
| 16 |  Indiana PacersIND | -0.04 | 39.8 |
| 17 |  Portland Trail BlazersPOR | -0.04 | 39.8 |
| 18 |  Golden State WarriorsGS | -0.09 | 39.4 |
| 19 |  Phoenix SunsPHX | -0.10 | 39.3 |
| 20 |  Charlotte HornetsCHA | -0.27 | 38.0 |
| 21 |  Utah JazzUTAH | -0.51 | 36.1 |
| 22 |  Dallas MavericksDAL | -0.79 | 33.9 |
| 23 |  Washington WizardsWSH | -0.85 | 33.4 |
| 24 |  LA ClippersLAC | -0.91 | 32.9 |
| 25 |  Chicago BullsCHI | -1.19 | 30.7 |
| 26 |  Memphis GrizzliesMEM | -1.23 | 30.4 |
| 27 |  New Orleans PelicansNO | -1.24 | 30.3 |
| 28 |  Milwaukee BucksMIL | -1.47 | 28.5 |
| 29 |  Brooklyn NetsBKN | -1.75 | 26.3 |
| 30 |  Sacramento KingsSAC | -1.92 | 25.0 |
The top five that week
- Oklahoma City Thunder top the board at +2.03 with a projection of 56.1 wins. The gap to San Antonio Spurs is 0.14 rating points, close to a coin flip between the two.
- San Antonio Spurs sit second at +1.90 with a projection of 55.0 wins.
- New York Knicks sit third at +1.15 with a projection of 49.1 wins.
- Boston Celtics sit fourth at +0.93 with a projection of 47.4 wins.
- Detroit Pistons sit fifth at +0.90 with a projection of 47.2 wins.