NBA Power RankingsUpdated Nov 2

The season projection blended with results so far, weighted by games played. Early on the roster projection dominates; by mid-season the record carries most of the weight.

2026-27 season · updated November 2, 2026 · moves vs October 27, 2026 · week-by-week archive

#	Wk	Team	Rating	Proj W	W-L	Pt diff/gm	L10
1	▲1	San Antonio SpursSA	+1.49	55.3	4-2	+7.2	67%
2	▼1	Oklahoma City ThunderOKC	+1.39	55.2	4-2	-0.5	67%
3	▲1	Houston RocketsHOU	+1.20	49.0	6-1	+12.4	86%
4	▲1	Boston CelticsBOS	+1.19	49.8	5-1	+9.5	83%
5	▼2	Detroit PistonsDET	+1.16	49.6	5-1	+8.0	83%
6	▲2	Philadelphia 76ersPHI	+0.97	47.7	6-1	+3.9	86%
7	▼1	Los Angeles LakersLAL	+0.70	45.5	5-2	+5.3	71%
8	▲4	Denver NuggetsDEN	+0.67	46.9	3-2	-1.2	60%
9	–	Cleveland CavaliersCLE	+0.65	45.5	4-2	+5.0	67%
10	▼3	Minnesota TimberwolvesMIN	+0.60	44.6	4-3	+11.3	57%
11	▼1	New York KnicksNY	+0.52	47.8	2-4	-0.7	33%
12	▲2	Portland Trail BlazersPOR	+0.36	40.5	4-1	+11.4	80%
13	▼2	Toronto RaptorsTOR	+0.36	43.0	3-3	+7.8	50%
14	▲7	Memphis GrizzliesMEM	+0.14	34.8	6-0	+15.2	100%
15	▲3	Miami HeatMIA	+0.08	42.9	2-4	-3.2	33%
16	▼3	Atlanta HawksATL	+0.05	41.2	3-4	+0.9	43%
17	▲3	Golden State WarriorsGS	-0.02	38.3	4-3	+2.9	57%
18	▲4	Dallas MavericksDAL	-0.13	36.5	4-2	+2.5	67%
19	▼4	Orlando MagicORL	-0.20	40.4	2-4	-9.0	33%
20	▼1	Phoenix SunsPHX	-0.31	39.1	1-3	-12.5	25%
21	▼4	Charlotte HornetsCHA	-0.34	37.9	3-4	-8.1	43%
22	▼6	Indiana PacersIND	-0.45	37.3	2-5	-3.9	29%
23	–	Washington WizardsWSH	-0.55	33.2	3-3	+0.8	50%
24	▲3	New Orleans PelicansNO	-0.92	30.1	2-4	+1.8	33%
25	▼1	Utah JazzUTAH	-1.05	31.8	1-5	-10.2	17%
26	▼1	LA ClippersLAC	-1.16	30.1	1-5	-7.3	17%
27	▼1	Chicago BullsCHI	-1.28	30.0	1-5	-15.8	17%
28	–	Milwaukee BucksMIL	-1.43	27.8	1-5	-13.2	17%
29	–	Brooklyn NetsBKN	-1.54	25.6	1-5	-7.8	17%
30	–	Sacramento KingsSAC	-2.07	22.4	0-6	-19.0	0%

The top five, as of Nov 2

San Antonio Spurs top the board at +1.49, 4-2 with a +7.2 points per game margin, and a projection of 55.3 wins. The gap to Oklahoma City Thunder is 0.11 rating points, close to a coin flip between the two. Up 1 from last week.
Oklahoma City Thunder sit second at +1.39, 4-2 with a -0.5 points per game margin, and a projection of 55.2 wins. Down 1 from last week.
Houston Rockets sit third at +1.20, 6-1 with a +12.4 points per game margin, and a projection of 49.0 wins. Up 1 from last week.
Boston Celtics sit fourth at +1.19, 5-1 with a +9.5 points per game margin, and a projection of 49.8 wins. Up 1 from last week.
Detroit Pistons sit fifth at +1.16, 5-1 with a +8.0 points per game margin, and a projection of 49.6 wins. Down 2 from last week.

Movers

Biggest riser: Memphis Grizzlies, up 7 to #14. Biggest faller: Indiana Pacers, down 6 to #22. Moves are measured against the October 27, 2026 snapshot.

How the rating works

Every team starts the season at its projection: the daily simulation plays each roster through its actual schedule thousands of times, checked against the market's win totals, and that expected-wins figure is standardized against the league. As games are played, results (win percentage, scoring differential per game, last-10 form) blend in, weighted by games played, so a 1-0 week does not leapfrog a roster and a 6-2 start does move a team up. Positive means above average; the gap between two teams is a real strength difference, not a gut ranking.

NBA projected standings Playoff odds NBA predictions Standings Archive

Questions

How are the NBA power rankings computed?

Every team starts the season at its projection: a daily simulation plays each roster through its actual schedule thousands of times, checked against the market's win totals, and the expected-wins figure is standardized against the league. As games are played, results (win percentage, scoring differential per game, last-10 form) blend in, weighted by games played, so one week never leapfrogs a roster on its own.

How often are they updated?

Every day. The season projection is recomputed each morning, the ranking refreshes hourly, and one snapshot a day is kept, so the archive shows how the order moved through the season.

What does the rating number mean?

Standard deviations above (positive) or below (negative) the league average. A gap of 1.00 between two teams is a full standard deviation of strength, not a gut ordering; a gap of 0.10 is a coin flip.

Is this a prediction of who wins the NBA title?

No. The ranking is a strength read today. The projected standings page runs 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season for each team's projected record and best-record odds, and the playoff odds page turns that into a make-the-playoffs probability, last run November 2, 2026.