Archive · as published October 4, 2026
NBA Power RankingsOctober 4, 2026
No regular-season games yet, so this is the projection alone: expected wins from the daily simulation of every roster against its schedule, with the market's win totals as a check.
| # | Team | Rating | Proj W |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oklahoma City ThunderOKC | +2.02 | 56.2 |
| 2 |  San Antonio SpursSA | +1.90 | 55.2 |
| 3 |  New York KnicksNY | +1.12 | 49.0 |
| 4 |  Boston CelticsBOS | +0.92 | 47.4 |
| 5 |  Detroit PistonsDET | +0.90 | 47.2 |
| 6 |  Denver NuggetsDEN | +0.80 | 46.4 |
| 7 |  Philadelphia 76ersPHI | +0.78 | 46.3 |
| 8 |  Houston RocketsHOU | +0.71 | 45.7 |
| 9 |  Cleveland CavaliersCLE | +0.66 | 45.3 |
| 10 |  Minnesota TimberwolvesMIN | +0.62 | 45.0 |
| 11 |  Miami HeatMIA | +0.57 | 44.6 |
| 12 |  Los Angeles LakersLAL | +0.52 | 44.2 |
| 13 |  Toronto RaptorsTOR | +0.42 | 43.4 |
| 14 |  Orlando MagicORL | +0.30 | 42.4 |
| 15 |  Atlanta HawksATL | +0.25 | 42.0 |
| 16 |  Indiana PacersIND | -0.02 | 39.9 |
| 17 |  Portland Trail BlazersPOR | -0.06 | 39.6 |
| 18 |  Golden State WarriorsGS | -0.08 | 39.4 |
| 19 |  Phoenix SunsPHX | -0.10 | 39.2 |
| 20 |  Charlotte HornetsCHA | -0.24 | 38.1 |
| 21 |  Utah JazzUTAH | -0.62 | 35.1 |
| 22 |  Dallas MavericksDAL | -0.76 | 34.0 |
| 23 |  Washington WizardsWSH | -0.84 | 33.3 |
| 24 |  LA ClippersLAC | -1.03 | 31.8 |
| 25 |  Chicago BullsCHI | -1.21 | 30.4 |
| 26 |  New Orleans PelicansNO | -1.21 | 30.4 |
| 27 |  Memphis GrizzliesMEM | -1.27 | 29.9 |
| 28 |  Milwaukee BucksMIL | -1.43 | 28.6 |
| 29 |  Brooklyn NetsBKN | -1.75 | 26.0 |
| 30 |  Sacramento KingsSAC | -1.87 | 25.1 |
The top five that week
- Oklahoma City Thunder top the board at +2.02 with a projection of 56.2 wins. The gap to San Antonio Spurs is 0.13 rating points, close to a coin flip between the two.
- San Antonio Spurs sit second at +1.90 with a projection of 55.2 wins.
- New York Knicks sit third at +1.12 with a projection of 49.0 wins.
- Boston Celtics sit fourth at +0.92 with a projection of 47.4 wins.
- Detroit Pistons sit fifth at +0.90 with a projection of 47.2 wins.