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NFL Week 8 Rest-of-Season Risers and Fallers: Beaux Collins up 170, Tank Dell down 174

By Verdexed Analytics

Atlanta Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. and his wife Olivia will be welcoming their first child, the couple announced on Saturday.
Photo: themp9/Instagram, via ESPN (editorial)

The rest-of-season board, rebuilt October 27, against the board of October 20: 20 players up by a tier's worth at the position, 26 down. Rank is the position rank on the rest-of-season board (points a game over the position's replacement starter, times games left, PPR). The reason is what the data says changed: this season's average, a designation, a team.

Quarterbacks

Risers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Michael Penix Jr.ATLQB24QB12+1218.1Back to no designation; projection 15.4 to 18.1.
Geno SmithNYJQB15QB4+1120.0Projection 17.4 to 20.0.
Trevor LawrenceJAXQB23QB14+917.4The players around him moved.
Justin HerbertLACQB26QB18+815.7The players around him moved.
Malik WillisMIAQB19QB16+315.8Season average 14.5 to 15.8 a game; projection 15.2 to 15.8.

Fallers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Jameis WinstonNYGQB31QB49-1811.4Season average 12.0 to 10.5 a game; projection 12.2 to 11.4.
Tyler ShoughNOQB17QB27-1017.1The players around him moved.
C.J. StroudHOUQB10QB19-918.1Season average 19.9 to 18.8 a game.
Tanner McKeePHIQB21QB30-912.5Season average 13.4 to 12.4 a game; projection 16.1 to 12.5.
Baker MayfieldTBQB16QB23-715.7Back to no designation; season average 14.8 to 12.4 a game; projection 16.8 to 15.7.
Patrick MahomesKCQB8QB13-518.0Season average 18.1 to 16.6 a game; projection 18.8 to 18.0.
Brock PurdySFQB5QB9-419.2The players around him moved.
Bryce YoungCARQB13QB17-415.7Season average 20.9 to 18.7 a game; projection 16.4 to 15.7.

Into the starting 12: Geno Smith (QB4), Michael Penix Jr. (QB12).

Out of the starting 12: Patrick Mahomes (QB8 to QB13), C.J. Stroud (QB10 to QB19).

Running backs

Fallers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
MarShawn LloydGBRB40RB72-329.3The players around him moved.
J.K. DobbinsDENRB34RB56-2210.4Projection 10.9 to 10.4.
Alvin KamaraNORB28RB37-912.7Back to no designation.
Aaron JonesMINRB17RB25-813.4Season average 15.0 to 13.2 a game; projection 14.4 to 13.4.
Chuba HubbardCARRB9RB15-615.5Season average 17.9 to 16.8 a game; projection 16.5 to 15.5.
David MontgomeryHOURB37RB43-610.3The players around him moved.

Into the starting 30: Josh Jacobs (RB14), Rachaad White (RB30).

Out of the starting 30: Alvin Kamara (RB28 to RB37), Saquon Barkley (RB29 to RB31, Questionable: While suiting up for the first time since Week 4 after missing the).

Wide receivers

Risers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Beaux CollinsATLWR203WR33+17013.1Now listed Injured Reserve: Collins was looking to make his 2026 debut in Week 7 but has no.
Caleb DouglasMIAWR99WR45+5410.8Back to no designation; season average 10.4 to 12.1 a game; projection 6.3 to 10.8.
Kendrick BourneARIWR65WR40+2511.7Projection 9.5 to 11.7.
Tre HarrisLACWR73WR54+1910.0The players around him moved.
KC ConcepcionCLEWR76WR57+1910.0Season average 7.4 to 10.1 a game; projection 8.5 to 10.0.
Quentin JohnstonLACWR69WR51+1810.1The players around him moved.
Omar Cooper Jr.NYJWR52WR37+1512.2Season average 12.9 to 15.8 a game; projection 10.7 to 12.2.
DJ MooreBUFWR54WR42+1211.5The players around him moved.
Stefon DiggsWSHWR35WR27+813.0Projection 12.4 to 13.0.
Tre TuckerLVWR38WR31+712.6Season average 12.7 to 13.7 a game; projection 11.9 to 12.6.

Fallers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Tank DellHOUWR19WR193-17414.8Now listed Injured Reserve: Dell made his return to action after missing nearly two full ye; 6.5 a game over 1 game; projection 16.4 to 14.8.
Davante AdamsLARWR31WR191-16014.1Now listed IR.
Devaughn VeleNOWR49WR70-2111.4The players around him moved.
Jaylin NoelHOUWR45WR60-1510.7Now listed Questionable: Noel suffered a toe injury in the fourth quarter of Week 7 action ; season average 11.0 to 9.7 a game; projection 11.5 to 10.7.
Marvin Harrison Jr.HOUWR61WR73-129.3Projection 9.8 to 9.3.
Matthew GoldenGBWR9WR19-1015.1Now listed Questionable: Coming out of Sunday's 20-17 loss to the Lions, Golden is nursing ; projection 17.9 to 15.1.
Josh DownsINDWR43WR53-1011.0Projection 11.6 to 11.0.
Kalif RaymondCHIWR58WR68-108.6Season average 9.7 to 8.3 a game; projection 10.1 to 8.6.
Christian WatsonGBWR6WR15-915.3Projection 19.3 to 15.3.
Wan'Dale RobinsonTENWR44WR52-811.0Projection 11.6 to 11.0.

Into the starting 42: Beaux Collins (WR33), Omar Cooper Jr. (WR37), Kendrick Bourne (WR40), DJ Moore (WR42).

Out of the starting 42: Tank Dell (WR19 to WR193, Injured Reserve: Dell made his return to action after missing nearly two full ye), Davante Adams (WR31 to WR191, IR), Jordan Addison (WR39 to WR44), Malik Washington (WR42 to WR49).

Tight ends

Risers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Oronde Gadsden IILACTE29TE20+99.2The players around him moved.
Dalton KincaidBUFTE20TE12+811.1The players around him moved.
Chig OkonkwoWSHTE25TE18+78.7The players around him moved.
Colston LovelandCHITE14TE9+511.8Season average 7.3 to 8.8 a game; projection 11.2 to 11.8.
Hunter HenryNETE19TE16+310.0Season average 8.8 to 9.8 a game; projection 9.5 to 10.0.

Fallers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Jared WileyKCTE9TE60-519.8Back to no designation; 0.0 a game over 1 game; projection 11.8 to 9.8.
Juwan JohnsonNOTE11TE21-109.8Season average 10.3 to 9.1 a game; projection 11.3 to 9.8.

Into the starting 12: Colston Loveland (TE9), Dalton Kincaid (TE12).

Out of the starting 12: Jared Wiley (TE9 to TE60), Juwan Johnson (TE11 to TE21).

How this is built

The rest-of-season board is the season board with this year's games blended in and the injury feed applied, rebuilt every morning; a snapshot is kept each Tuesday after the season board rebuild. The live board is on the NFL rankings page. This is a fantasy piece, not betting advice.

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