NFL Week 7 Rest-of-Season Risers and Fallers: Tank Dell up 177, Jordan Watkins down 77
By Verdexed Analytics

The rest-of-season board, rebuilt October 20, against the board of October 13: 23 players up by a tier's worth at the position, 27 down. Rank is the position rank on the rest-of-season board (points a game over the position's replacement starter, times games left, PPR). The reason is what the data says changed: this season's average, a designation, a team.
Quarterbacks
Risers
| Player | Team | Was | Now | Move | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner McKee | PHI | QB62 | QB21 | +41 | 16.1 | 13.4 a game over 1 game; projection 11.5 to 16.1. |
| Malik Willis | MIA | QB45 | QB19 | +26 | 15.2 | The players around him moved. |
| Kyler Murray | MIN | QB35 | QB22 | +13 | 14.7 | The players around him moved. |
| Geno Smith | NYJ | QB26 | QB15 | +11 | 17.4 | Projection 14.2 to 17.4. |
| Baker Mayfield | TB | QB19 | QB16 | +3 | 16.8 | The players around him moved. |
| Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | QB27 | QB24 | +3 | 15.4 | Projection 14.2 to 15.4. |
Fallers
| Player | Team | Was | Now | Move | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | QB20 | QB91 | -71 | 16.4 | Now listed Out for the season: Injured Reserve: Initially diagnosed with a superficial bloo. |
| Jameis Winston | NYG | QB11 | QB31 | -20 | 12.2 | Season average 13.4 to 12.0 a game; projection 18.5 to 12.2. |
| Trevor Lawrence | JAX | QB18 | QB23 | -5 | 17.4 | Season average 16.5 to 17.6 a game. |
| Bo Nix | DEN | QB22 | QB25 | -3 | 15.0 | Season average 12.5 to 11.4 a game; projection 15.8 to 15.0. |
| Justin Herbert | LAC | QB23 | QB26 | -3 | 15.7 | The players around him moved. |
| Jacoby Brissett | ARI | QB24 | QB27 | -3 | 14.9 | The players around him moved. |
| Aaron Rodgers | PIT | QB25 | QB28 | -3 | 14.8 | The players around him moved. |
| Cam Ward | TEN | QB29 | QB32 | -3 | 12.1 | Season average 12.2 to 11.2 a game; projection 12.7 to 12.1. |
Into the starting 12: Drake Maye (QB11).
Out of the starting 12: Jameis Winston (QB11 to QB31).
Running backs
Risers
| Player | Team | Was | Now | Move | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Conner | ARI | RB117 | RB20 | +97 | 14.4 | Now listed Injured Reserve: Conner's 2025 season was cut short due to a right foot injury t. |
| Ollie Gordon II | MIA | RB45 | RB36 | +9 | 9.6 | Projection 8.6 to 9.6. |
| Chuba Hubbard | CAR | RB14 | RB9 | +5 | 16.5 | Projection 15.6 to 16.5. |
Fallers
| Player | Team | Was | Now | Move | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WSH | RB36 | RB60 | -24 | 10.4 | Now listed Injured Reserve: Croskey-Merritt had already been ruled out for Monday's game ag. |
| Cam Skattebo | NYG | RB16 | RB21 | -5 | 13.4 | Season average 11.4 to 9.5 a game; projection 14.9 to 13.4. |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | RB25 | RB30 | -5 | 12.1 | Season average 11.9 to 10.7 a game; projection 12.9 to 12.1. |
| TreVeyon Henderson | NE | RB28 | RB33 | -5 | 11.6 | Back to no designation; projection 12.5 to 11.6. |
| MarShawn Lloyd | GB | RB35 | RB40 | -5 | 9.6 | Projection 10.5 to 9.6. |
Into the starting 30: James Conner (RB20).
Out of the starting 30: TreVeyon Henderson (RB28 to RB33).
Wide receivers
Risers
| Player | Team | Was | Now | Move | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tank Dell | HOU | WR196 | WR19 | +177 | 16.4 | Now listed Injured Reserve: Dell will be making his first appearance since Dec. 21, 2024, w. |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | NYJ | WR200 | WR52 | +148 | 10.7 | Back to no designation; season average 4.7 to 12.9 a game; projection 9.0 to 10.7. |
| Malik Washington | MIA | WR65 | WR42 | +23 | 10.6 | The players around him moved. |
| Isaac TeSlaa | DET | WR76 | WR53 | +23 | 9.8 | The players around him moved. |
| Savion Williams | GB | WR75 | WR56 | +19 | 10.4 | Back to no designation; 9.0 a game over 1 game. |
| Tre Tucker | LV | WR51 | WR38 | +13 | 11.9 | Season average 10.9 to 12.7 a game; projection 10.9 to 11.9. |
| DeMario Douglas | NE | WR71 | WR60 | +11 | 10.1 | Season average 7.2 to 9.0 a game; projection 9.1 to 10.1. |
| DK Metcalf | PIT | WR39 | WR29 | +10 | 13.0 | Season average 10.1 to 12.1 a game; projection 12.1 to 13.0. |
| Jaylin Noel | HOU | WR54 | WR45 | +9 | 11.5 | Season average 9.3 to 11.0 a game; projection 10.7 to 11.5. |
| Carnell Tate | TEN | WR56 | WR50 | +6 | 11.0 | Season average 10.9 to 11.9 a game; projection 10.4 to 11.0. |
Fallers
| Player | Team | Was | Now | Move | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Watkins | SF | WR50 | WR127 | -77 | 10.3 | Projection 11.2 to 10.3. |
| Romeo Doubs | NE | WR52 | WR126 | -74 | 10.7 | Now listed Injured Reserve: With Doubs already on injured reserve, this report offers a mor. |
| Terry McLaurin | WSH | WR42 | WR71 | -29 | 11.0 | Now listed Doubtful: After recording a 27-yard reception on the Commanders' opening drive, ; season average 10.3 to 9.1 a game; projection 11.8 to 11.0. |
| Kayshon Boutte | HOU | WR63 | WR90 | -27 | 9.4 | Projection 10.0 to 9.4. |
| Kalif Raymond | CHI | WR34 | WR58 | -24 | 10.1 | Season average 10.8 to 9.7 a game; projection 12.4 to 10.1. |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | WR33 | WR51 | -18 | 11.3 | Projection 12.4 to 11.3. |
| Quentin Johnston | LAC | WR57 | WR69 | -12 | 10.1 | Back to no designation. |
| Theo Wease Jr. | LAC | WR22 | WR33 | -11 | 13.3 | Projection 14.8 to 13.3. |
| DJ Moore | BUF | WR43 | WR54 | -11 | 11.5 | The players around him moved. |
| Davante Adams | LAR | WR23 | WR31 | -8 | 14.1 | Now listed Out: Adams exited the game on the Rams' final offensive possession, walking ging; season average 18.2 to 16.4 a game; projection 14.7 to 14.1. |
Into the starting 42: Tank Dell (WR19), Tre Tucker (WR38), Keon Coleman (WR41), Malik Washington (WR42).
Out of the starting 42: Brian Thomas Jr. (WR33 to WR51), Kalif Raymond (WR34 to WR58), Wan'Dale Robinson (WR38 to WR44), Terry McLaurin (WR42 to WR71, Doubtful: After recording a 27-yard reception on the Commanders' opening drive, ).
Tight ends
Risers
| Player | Team | Was | Now | Move | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Hockenson | MIN | TE28 | TE13 | +15 | 10.6 | The players around him moved. |
| Mike Gesicki | CIN | TE31 | TE17 | +14 | 9.1 | The players around him moved. |
| Kyle Pitts | ATL | TE23 | TE18 | +5 | 9.6 | Season average 5.3 to 7.3 a game; projection 8.8 to 9.6. |
| Colston Loveland | CHI | TE17 | TE14 | +3 | 11.2 | Season average 5.4 to 7.3 a game; projection 10.6 to 11.2. |
Fallers
| Player | Team | Was | Now | Move | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Fidone II | NYG | TE11 | TE56 | -45 | 9.9 | Projection 11.5 to 9.9. |
| Dalton Kincaid | BUF | TE15 | TE20 | -5 | 11.1 | Now listed Questionable: Kincaid missed some time from late in the third quarter and into t. |
| Cade Otton | TB | TE19 | TE23 | -4 | 8.9 | Season average 8.2 to 7.1 a game; projection 9.6 to 8.9. |
| Jake Ferguson | DAL | TE18 | TE21 | -3 | 9.2 | Projection 9.7 to 9.2. |
Into the starting 12: Tucker Kraft (TE12).
Out of the starting 12: Thomas Fidone II (TE11 to TE56).
How this is built
The rest-of-season board is the season board with this year's games blended in and the injury feed applied, rebuilt every morning; a snapshot is kept each Tuesday after the season board rebuild. The live board is on the NFL rankings page. This is a fantasy piece, not betting advice.