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NFL Week 6 Rest-of-Season Risers and Fallers: A.J. Brown up 159, Brandon Aiyuk down 182

By Verdexed Analytics

Kirk Cousins was reunited with coach Klint Kubiak this offseason after the two worked together in Minnesota from 2019 to '21.
Photo: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images, via ESPN (editorial)

The rest-of-season board, rebuilt October 13, against the board of October 6: 33 players up by a tier's worth at the position, 37 down. Rank is the position rank on the rest-of-season board (points a game over the position's replacement starter, times games left, PPR). The reason is what the data says changed: this season's average, a designation, a team.

Quarterbacks

Risers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Jameis WinstonNYGQB48QB11+3718.5Season average 9.1 to 13.4 a game; projection 11.3 to 18.5.
Ty SimpsonLARQB66QB31+3511.8The players around him moved.
Kirk CousinsLVQB30QB2+2820.7Projection 14.3 to 20.7.
Cam WardTENQB56QB29+2712.7Season average 13.3 to 12.2 a game; projection 13.2 to 12.7.
Sam DarnoldSEAQB55QB30+2512.6The players around him moved.
Deshaun WatsonCLEQB28QB14+1418.1Projection 14.0 to 18.1.
Geno SmithNYJQB39QB26+1314.2The players around him moved.
Daniel JonesINDQB37QB28+913.9The players around him moved.
Justin FieldsKCQB40QB33+713.5The players around him moved.
Aaron RodgersPITQB31QB25+614.8The players around him moved.

Fallers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Jarrett StidhamDENQB23QB70-4713.3The players around him moved.
Malik WillisMIAQB21QB45-2415.2The players around him moved.
Sam HowellDALQB20QB34-1415.6The players around him moved.
Easton StickTBQB22QB36-1415.2The players around him moved.
Tyler ShoughNOQB10QB17-717.0Season average 21.7 to 17.6 a game; projection 18.6 to 17.0.
Baker MayfieldTBQB12QB19-716.8The players around him moved.
Jalen HurtsPHIQB14QB20-616.4The players around him moved.
Tua TagovailoaATLQB26QB32-612.8-0.1 a game over 1 game; projection 14.9 to 12.8.
Bo NixDENQB17QB22-515.8Projection 16.4 to 15.8.
Justin HerbertLACQB19QB23-415.9The players around him moved.

Into the starting 12: Kirk Cousins (QB2), Jameis Winston (QB11).

Out of the starting 12: Tyler Shough (QB10 to QB17), Baker Mayfield (QB12 to QB19, Out: out).

Running backs

Risers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Dylan SampsonCLERB108RB26+8212.8Now listed Injured Reserve: Sampson was placed on injured reserve in mid-September due to a.
Woody MarksHOURB55RB37+1810.0Season average 6.6 to 8.2 a game; projection 9.5 to 10.0.
Rico DowdlePITRB48RB38+109.9The players around him moved.
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWSHRB44RB36+810.4The players around him moved.
Jaylen WarrenPITRB16RB9+717.2Season average 16.8 to 20.2 a game; projection 15.1 to 17.2.
Rhamondre StevensonNERB30RB25+512.9Season average 10.9 to 11.9 a game.

Fallers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Lew Nichols IIIPITRB38RB88-508.1Projection 9.3 to 8.1.
DJ GiddensINDRB35RB62-2710.5Back to no designation.
Keaton MitchellLACRB39RB64-259.7The players around him moved.
Austin EkelerWSHRB28RB52-2411.4Season average 6.0 to 4.3 a game; projection 13.2 to 11.4.
RJ HarveyDENRB17RB24-713.0Season average 14.0 to 10.7 a game; projection 14.7 to 13.0.
Alvin KamaraNORB23RB29-612.4Back to no designation; season average 10.3 to 8.4 a game; projection 13.8 to 12.4.
David MontgomeryHOURB34RB39-510.3Now listed Doubtful: Montgomery exited Sunday's 26-3 win over the Titans midway through the; season average 9.6 to 7.9 a game; projection 11.4 to 10.3.

Into the starting 30: Dylan Sampson (RB26), Bhayshul Tuten (RB27), Saquon Barkley (RB30).

Out of the starting 30: Jeremiyah Love (RB27 to RB31), Austin Ekeler (RB28 to RB52), Rachaad White (RB29 to RB32).

Wide receivers

Risers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
A.J. BrownNEWR186WR27+15914.0Now listed Injured Reserve: After landing on injured reserve following the Patriots' season.
Alec PierceINDWR187WR53+13411.6Now listed Injured Reserve: Ian Rapoport of NFL Network had previously relayed last week th.
Kalif RaymondCHIWR64WR34+3012.4Season average 12.6 to 10.8 a game; projection 10.6 to 12.4.
Denzel BostonCLEWR84WR60+2410.1The players around him moved.
Matthew GoldenGBWR31WR9+2217.9Season average 14.3 to 15.7 a game; projection 13.0 to 17.9.
Dontayvion WicksPHIWR86WR64+229.9The players around him moved.
Christian WatsonGBWR21WR1+2023.4Season average 17.6 to 19.7 a game; projection 14.7 to 23.4.
Ryan FlournoyDALWR77WR58+1910.3Season average 6.5 to 8.0 a game.
Jaylin NoelHOUWR69WR54+1510.7The players around him moved.
Quentin JohnstonLACWR71WR57+1410.3Now listed Questionable: questionable.

Fallers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Brandon AiyukSFWR15WR197-18216.1Now listed Out: roster flag Out.
Tyquan ThorntonKCWR43WR190-14710.8The players around him moved.
Tay MartinDETWR63WR167-1047.5Projection 8.3 to 7.5.
Malik TurnerSFWR57WR124-6710.3The players around him moved.
Roman WilsonPITWR50WR101-5110.3Now listed Out: Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reported earlier Monday that Wilson is expected t; season average 10.5 to 8.4 a game; projection 11.4 to 10.3.
Mitchell TinsleyCINWR55WR105-509.5Season average 9.0 to 4.5 a game; projection 11.1 to 9.5.
Tory HortonSEAWR46WR95-4910.6Season average 4.3 to 3.3 a game; projection 11.9 to 10.6.
Pat BryantDENWR56WR83-2711.1The players around him moved.
Isaac TeSlaaDETWR59WR76-179.8Season average 8.0 to 6.4 a game; projection 10.8 to 9.8.
Jordan WatkinsSFWR36WR50-1411.2Season average 4.7 to 3.1 a game; projection 12.7 to 11.2.

Into the starting 42: Theo Wease Jr. (WR22), A.J. Brown (WR27), Kalif Raymond (WR34), Jordan Addison (WR41), Terry McLaurin (WR42).

Out of the starting 42: Brandon Aiyuk (WR15 to WR197, Out: roster flag Out), Jordan Watkins (WR36 to WR50), Keon Coleman (WR37 to WR46), Rome Odunze (WR38 to WR45), Josh Downs (WR42 to WR44).

Tight ends

Risers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Isaiah LikelyNYGTE19TE7+1212.7Season average 12.8 to 15.8 a game; projection 11.0 to 12.7.
Cade OttonTBTE27TE19+89.6The players around him moved.
Jake FergusonDALTE25TE18+79.7The players around him moved.
Brenton StrangeJAXTE18TE12+611.4Season average 9.4 to 10.7 a game.
Pat FreiermuthPITTE26TE20+610.6Season average 8.8 to 10.1 a game; projection 10.0 to 10.6.
Tucker KraftGBTE17TE13+411.4The players around him moved.
Dallas GoedertPHITE20TE16+410.7Back to no designation.

Fallers

PlayerTeamWasNowMoveROS pts/gWhy
Durham SmytheBALTE14TE140-1262.8Now listed Out for the season: Injured Reserve: Smythe tore his Achilles during Sunday's ga.
Hayden RucciLACTE24TE64-408.6Season average 0.0 to 1.4 a game; projection 9.2 to 8.6.
Brevin JordanHOUTE23TE56-338.3Season average 2.7 to 1.3 a game; projection 9.7 to 8.3.
Sean McKeonINDTE16TE41-2511.1The players around him moved.
T.J. HockensonMINTE13TE28-1510.6Now listed Questionable: After recording a seven-yard reception on the Vikings' opening pos; season average 12.3 to 10.2 a game; projection 11.6 to 10.6.
Darren WallerCARTE22TE30-810.2The players around him moved.
Dalton KincaidBUFTE10TE15-511.0Season average 12.5 to 10.4 a game; projection 12.0 to 11.0.
Harold Fannin Jr.CLETE5TE8-312.5Season average 10.9 to 9.1 a game; projection 13.7 to 12.5.
Thomas Fidone IINYGTE8TE11-311.5Back to no designation; 0.0 a game over 1 game; projection 13.8 to 11.5.
Oronde Gadsden IILACTE21TE24-39.6Season average 5.7 to 4.5 a game; projection 10.6 to 9.6.

Into the starting 12: Isaiah Likely (TE7), Brenton Strange (TE12).

Out of the starting 12: Dalton Kincaid (TE10 to TE15), Dalton Schultz (TE12 to TE14).

How this is built

The rest-of-season board is the season board with this year's games blended in and the injury feed applied, rebuilt every morning; a snapshot is kept each Tuesday after the season board rebuild. The live board is on the NFL rankings page. This is a fantasy piece, not betting advice.

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