Week 6 runs from Thursday Oct 15 to Monday Oct 19, 14 games. On bye: Cincinnati Bengals, Detroit Lions, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings. Thursday night is Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (DEN +2.5, total 40.5), so those lineups lock first.
Everything below comes from the model's two boards: this week's rankings (each player's season-long expectation times the matchup: his team's implied total, the opponent's defence against the position, wind and the crew) and the rest-of-season board (the season board with this year's games folded in and today's injury report applied). Scoring is PPR. Projections are points this week; the range is the floor and ceiling the board carries.
The slate
| Game | Day | Line | Total | Implied (away / home) |
|---|
| SEA at DEN | Thursday Oct 15 | DEN +2.5 | 40.5 | 21.5 / 19.0 |
| HOU at JAX | Sunday Oct 18 | JAX -2.5 | 42.5 | 20.0 / 22.5 |
| BAL at CLE | Sunday Oct 18 | CLE +5.5 | 42.5 | 24.0 / 18.5 |
| CAR at PHI | Sunday Oct 18 | PHI +1.5 | 40.5 | 21.0 / 19.5 |
| CHI at ATL | Sunday Oct 18 | ATL +1.5 | 51.5 | 26.5 / 25.0 |
| NO at NYG | Sunday Oct 18 | NYG +1.5 | 45.5 | 23.5 / 22.0 |
| NYJ at NE | Sunday Oct 18 | NE -7.5 | 43.5 | 18.0 / 25.5 |
| PIT at TB | Sunday Oct 18 | TB +2.5 | 39.5 | 21.0 / 18.5 |
| TEN at IND | Sunday Oct 18 | IND -7.0 | 44.5 | 18.8 / 25.8 |
| ARI at LAR | Sunday Oct 18 | LAR -12.5 | 51.5 | 19.5 / 32.0 |
| BUF at LV | Sunday Oct 18 | LV +5.5 | 53.5 | 29.5 / 24.0 |
| LAC at KC | Sunday Oct 18 | KC -8.5 | 42.5 | 17.0 / 25.5 |
| DAL at GB | Sunday Oct 18 | GB -1.5 | 53.5 | 26.0 / 27.5 |
| WSH at SF | Monday Oct 19 | SF -7.5 | 50.5 | 21.5 / 29.0 |
Start them
Each position's top of the week, then the matchup calls: players ranked as starters this week and well above their rest-of-season standing. The last column is the player's rest-of-season rank at the position, so a wide gap is the matchup talking.
Quarterbacks
| # | Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Matchup | ROS |
|---|
| 1 | Josh Allen | Must start | BUF | @ LV | 26.5 | 14.6 to 42.4 | 1.20 | QB1 |
| 2 | Brock Purdy | Must start | SF | vs WSH | 23.7 | 13.0 to 37.9 | 1.19 | QB4 |
| 3 | Caleb Williams (Questionable) | Start if active | CHI | @ ATL | 23.6 | 13.0 to 37.8 | 1.20 | QB6 |
| 4 | Matthew Stafford | Start | LAR | vs ARI | 22.1 | 12.1 to 35.3 | 1.20 | QB16 |
| 5 | Kirk Cousins | Start | LV | vs BUF | 20.5 | 11.3 to 32.8 | 1.07 | QB2 |
| 6 | Drake Maye | Start | NE | vs NYJ | 20.1 | 11.0 to 32.1 | 1.13 | QB12 |
| 7 | Tyler Shough | Start | NO | @ NYG | 19.2 | 10.6 to 30.7 | 1.07 | QB19 |
| 8 | Patrick Mahomes | Start | KC | vs LAC | 19.1 | 10.5 to 30.6 | 0.97 | QB7 |
| 9 | Jordan Love | Start | GB | vs DAL | 18.9 | 10.4 to 30.3 | 1.14 | QB22 |
| 10 | Dak Prescott | Start | DAL | @ GB | 18.5 | 10.2 to 29.7 | 1.01 | QB10 |
Matchup starts at quarterbacks: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | This week | ROS | Proj | Why |
|---|
| Jordan Love | Start | GB | vs DAL | QB9 | QB22 | 18.9 | DAL has allowed the 3rd-most points to quarterbacks; GB is implied for 27.5 points; wind of 15 mph or more in the forecast; the game-log projection (21.7) sits above his season number (16.0). |
| Matthew Stafford | Start | LAR | vs ARI | QB4 | QB16 | 22.1 | ARI has allowed the 5th-most points to quarterbacks; LAR is implied for 32.0 points; the game-log projection (27.5) sits above his season number (17.3). |
| Tyler Shough | Start | NO | @ NYG | QB7 | QB19 | 19.2 | The game-log projection (23.3) sits above his season number (17.0). |
| Drake Maye | Start | NE | vs NYJ | QB6 | QB12 | 20.1 | NE is implied for 25.5 points. |
Running backs
| # | Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Matchup | ROS |
|---|
| 1 | Bijan Robinson | Must start | ATL | vs CHI | 26.4 | 14.5 to 42.2 | 1.13 | RB2 |
| 2 | Kenneth Walker III | Must start | KC | vs LAC | 23.2 | 12.8 to 37.2 | 1.09 | RB3 |
| 3 | Kyren Williams | Must start | LAR | vs ARI | 22.1 | 12.1 to 35.3 | 1.19 | RB7 |
| 4 | Christian McCaffrey | Must start | SF | vs WSH | 21.8 | 12.0 to 34.9 | 1.13 | RB4 |
| 5 | Jonathan Taylor | Must start | IND | vs TEN | 21.4 | 11.8 to 34.3 | 1.18 | RB8 |
| 6 | James Cook | Must start | BUF | @ LV | 21.1 | 11.6 to 33.8 | 1.18 | RB6 |
| 7 | Ashton Jeanty | Start | LV | vs BUF | 19.5 | 10.7 to 31.2 | 1.13 | RB11 |
| 8 | Derrick Henry | Start | BAL | @ CLE | 18.9 | 10.4 to 30.3 | 1.05 | RB5 |
| 9 | Javonte Williams | Start | DAL | @ GB | 18.1 | 10.0 to 29.0 | 1.20 | RB15 |
| 10 | D'Andre Swift | Start | CHI | @ ATL | 16.9 | 9.3 to 27.0 | 1.11 | RB14 |
| 11 | Jaylen Warren | Start | PIT | @ TB | 16.7 | 9.2 to 26.7 | 0.97 | RB9 |
| 12 | Rhamondre Stevenson | Start | NE | vs NYJ | 15.3 | 8.4 to 24.4 | 1.20 | RB26 |
| 13 | Cam Skattebo | Start | NYG | vs NO | 14.6 | 8.0 to 23.3 | 1.02 | RB16 |
| 14 | Kyle Monangai (Questionable) | Start if active | CHI | @ ATL | 14.4 | 7.9 to 23.0 | 1.11 | RB18 |
| 15 | Chuba Hubbard | Start | CAR | @ PHI | 14.2 | 7.8 to 22.8 | 0.90 | RB13 |
Matchup starts at running backs: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | This week | ROS | Proj | Why |
|---|
| MarShawn Lloyd | Start | GB | vs DAL | RB19 | RB37 | 12.4 | DAL has allowed the 6th-most points to running backs; GB is implied for 27.5 points. |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | Start | NE | vs NYJ | RB12 | RB26 | 15.3 | NYJ has allowed the 3rd-most points to running backs; NE is implied for 25.5 points. |
| TreVeyon Henderson (Questionable) | Start if active | NE | vs NYJ | RB18 | RB29 | 13.8 | NYJ has allowed the 3rd-most points to running backs; NE is implied for 25.5 points; listed Questionable. |
| Saquon Barkley (Questionable) | Start if active | PHI | vs CAR | RB22 | RB31 | 11.0 | CAR has allowed the most points to running backs; listed Questionable. |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | Start | WSH | @ SF | RB27 | RB35 | 10.1 | SF has allowed the 7th-most points to running backs. |
Wide receivers
| # | Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Matchup | ROS |
|---|
| 1 | Puka Nacua | Must start | LAR | vs ARI | 25.4 | 13.9 to 40.6 | 1.16 | WR3 |
| 2 | CeeDee Lamb | Must start | DAL | @ GB | 21.9 | 12.1 to 35.1 | 1.06 | WR4 |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Must start | SEA | @ DEN | 20.7 | 11.4 to 33.1 | 0.92 | WR2 |
| 4 | Drake London | Must start | ATL | vs CHI | 20.3 | 11.2 to 32.5 | 1.17 | WR13 |
| 5 | Christian Watson | Must start | GB | vs DAL | 19.3 | 10.6 to 31.0 | 1.14 | WR1 |
| 6 | Chris Olave (Questionable) | Start if active | NO | @ NYG | 19.0 | 10.4 to 30.3 | 1.01 | WR7 |
| 7 | Mike Evans | Must start | SF | vs WSH | 19.0 | 10.5 to 30.4 | 1.20 | WR25 |
| 8 | Zay Flowers | Must start | BAL | @ CLE | 18.4 | 10.1 to 29.4 | 1.08 | WR11 |
| 9 | George Pickens | Start | DAL | @ GB | 16.7 | 9.2 to 26.8 | 1.06 | WR15 |
| 10 | Malik Nabers | Start | NYG | vs NO | 16.5 | 9.1 to 26.4 | 0.97 | WR12 |
| 11 | Davante Adams | Start | LAR | vs ARI | 16.5 | 9.1 to 26.4 | 1.16 | WR24 |
| 12 | Luther Burden III | Start | CHI | @ ATL | 16.3 | 9.0 to 26.1 | 1.20 | WR27 |
| 13 | Matthew Golden | Start | GB | vs DAL | 16.2 | 8.9 to 25.9 | 1.14 | WR9 |
| 14 | Nico Collins | Start | HOU | @ JAX | 16.0 | 8.8 to 25.7 | 0.90 | WR8 |
| 15 | Garrett Wilson | Start | NYJ | @ NE | 14.9 | 8.2 to 23.9 | 0.85 | WR14 |
Matchup starts at receivers: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | This week | ROS | Proj | Why |
|---|
| Rome Odunze | Start | CHI | @ ATL | WR19 | WR47 | 13.4 | ATL has allowed the 6th-most points to receivers; CHI is implied for 26.5 points. |
| Tre Tucker | Start | LV | vs BUF | WR24 | WR52 | 12.4 | BUF has allowed the 7th-most points to receivers; the game-log projection (13.3) sits above his season number (10.9). |
| Romeo Doubs | Start | NE | vs NYJ | WR30 | WR53 | 11.8 | NE is implied for 25.5 points. |
| Josh Downs (Questionable) | Start if active | IND | vs TEN | WR25 | WR46 | 12.3 | IND is implied for 25.8 points; listed Questionable. |
| Mike Evans | Must start | SF | vs WSH | WR7 | WR25 | 19.0 | WSH has allowed the 5th-most points to receivers; SF is implied for 29.0 points; the game-log projection (19.0) sits above his season number (13.8). |
Tight ends
| # | Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Matchup | ROS |
|---|
| 1 | Brock Bowers (Questionable) | Start if active | LV | vs BUF | 18.9 | 10.4 to 30.3 | 0.99 | TE1 |
| 2 | George Kittle | Must start | SF | vs WSH | 18.1 | 10.0 to 29.0 | 1.20 | TE4 |
| 3 | Trey McBride | Must start | ARI | @ LAR | 17.0 | 9.4 to 27.2 | 0.93 | TE2 |
| 4 | Tyler Warren | Start | IND | vs TEN | 13.5 | 7.4 to 21.7 | 1.08 | TE6 |
| 5 | Isaiah Likely | Start | NYG | vs NO | 13.3 | 7.3 to 21.3 | 0.99 | TE7 |
| 6 | Travis Kelce | Start | KC | vs LAC | 12.6 | 6.9 to 20.1 | 0.96 | TE5 |
| 7 | Dalton Kincaid | Start | BUF | @ LV | 12.1 | 6.7 to 19.4 | 1.16 | TE13 |
| 8 | Tucker Kraft | Start | GB | vs DAL | 11.3 | 6.2 to 18.1 | 1.00 | TE14 |
Matchup starts at tight ends: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | This week | ROS | Proj | Why |
|---|
| Colston Loveland | Start | CHI | @ ATL | TE9 | TE17 | 11.2 | CHI is implied for 26.5 points. |
| Dalton Kincaid | Start | BUF | @ LV | TE7 | TE13 | 12.1 | BUF is implied for 29.5 points. |
| Tucker Kraft | Start | GB | vs DAL | TE8 | TE14 | 11.3 | GB is implied for 27.5 points; wind of 15 mph or more in the forecast. |
Sit them, or at least think twice
Usual starters (rest-of-season top 12 at QB, 30 at RB, 42 at WR, 12 at TE) whose week ranks well below their standing, who carry an injury designation, or whose matchup sits at the bottom of the range. A sit here means the bench option with a better week, not a drop.
Quarterbacks
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Usual | This week | Why |
|---|
| Lamar Jackson (Questionable) | Sit | BAL | @ CLE | 18.4 | QB8 | QB11 | CLE has allowed the 4th-fewest points to quarterbacks; listed Questionable. |
| Caleb Williams (Questionable) | Sit | CHI | @ ATL | 23.6 | QB6 | QB3 | Listed Questionable. |
| C.J. Stroud | Sit | HOU | @ JAX | 16.7 | QB11 | QB15 | No single factor (multiplier 0.90); the quarterbacks ranked above him have the better week. |
Running backs
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Usual | This week | Why |
|---|
| Ben VanSumeren | Sit | KC | vs LAC | 2.2 | RB23 | RB73 | LAC has allowed the fewest points to running backs. |
| Kyle Monangai (Questionable) | Sit | CHI | @ ATL | 14.4 | RB18 | RB14 | The game-log projection (8.5) sits below his season number (14.3); listed Questionable. |
| Bucky Irving | Sit | TB | vs PIT | 14.0 | RB10 | RB16 | PIT has allowed the 7th-fewest points to running backs; TB is implied for only 18.5 points; the game-log projection (12.6) sits below his season number (17.1). |
| Quinshon Judkins (Questionable) | Sit | CLE | vs BAL | 11.3 | RB24 | RB20 | CLE is implied for only 18.5 points; listed Questionable. |
| RJ Harvey | Sit | DEN | vs SEA | 10.0 | RB25 | RB29 | SEA has allowed the 3rd-fewest points to running backs; DEN is implied for only 19.0 points; the game-log projection (8.4) sits below his season number (13.0). |
| Omarion Hampton | Sit | LAC | @ KC | 11.0 | RB20 | RB23 | KC has allowed the 8th-fewest points to running backs; LAC is implied for only 17.0 points; the game-log projection (8.7) sits below his season number (13.8). |
Wide receivers
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Usual | This week | Why |
|---|
| Ladd McConkey (Questionable) | Sit | LAC | @ KC | 9.9 | WR31 | WR48 | KC has allowed the 2nd-fewest points to receivers; LAC is implied for only 17.0 points; wind of 15 mph or more in the forecast; the game-log projection (7.6) sits below his season number (13.2); listed Questionable. |
| Theo Wease Jr. | Sit | LAC | @ KC | 10.4 | WR23 | WR42 | KC has allowed the 2nd-fewest points to receivers; LAC is implied for only 17.0 points; wind of 15 mph or more in the forecast; the game-log projection (4.5) sits below his season number (14.8). |
| DeVonta Smith (Questionable) | Sit | PHI | vs CAR | 13.0 | WR19 | WR22 | The game-log projection (12.1) sits below his season number (15.4); listed Questionable. |
| Chris Olave (Questionable) | Sit | NO | @ NYG | 19.0 | WR7 | WR6 | NYG has allowed the 7th-fewest points to receivers; listed Questionable. |
| Emeka Egbuka | Sit | TB | vs PIT | 10.5 | WR30 | WR39 | TB is implied for only 18.5 points; wind of 15 mph or more in the forecast; the game-log projection (9.8) sits below his season number (13.3). |
| Jaylen Waddle | Sit | DEN | vs SEA | 10.2 | WR35 | WR43 | DEN is implied for only 19.0 points. |
Tight ends
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Usual | This week | Why |
|---|
| Jared Wiley | Sit | KC | vs LAC | 5.0 | TE10 | TE39 | LAC has allowed the 7th-fewest points to tight ends; wind of 15 mph or more in the forecast. |
| Thomas Fidone II | Sit | NYG | vs NO | 5.3 | TE11 | TE36 | No single factor (multiplier 0.99); the tight ends ranked above him have the better week. |
| Brock Bowers (Questionable) | Sit | LV | vs BUF | 18.9 | TE1 | TE1 | BUF has allowed the 2nd-fewest points to tight ends; listed Questionable. |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Sit | CLE | vs BAL | 10.2 | TE8 | TE11 | CLE is implied for only 18.5 points. |
Injury report
Every designation on a fantasy-relevant player as of 2026-10-15 12:38 UTC, with the next man up on the team's depth chart and his projection this week. Thursday designations move through Friday's final report; the live list is on the NFL injury report.
Out
| Player | Pos | Team | Status | ROS | Next man up | Note |
|---|
| Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | Doubtful | RB12 | Braelon Allen (10.8 proj) | Hall hasn't practiced in any fashion since sustaining a right quad injury in the Jets' Week 3 loss to the Lions. |
| Tank Dell | WR | HOU | Injured Reserve | WR17 | Jayden Higgins | Last Wednesday, the Texans opened Dell's 21-day evaluation window, with the receiver proceeding to turn in two limited practices while... |
| A.J. Brown | WR | NE | Injured Reserve | WR28 | Jeremiah Webb | The Patriots designated Brown for return from injured reserve earlier Wednesday, opening up a 21-day window wherein the star wideout can be... |
| Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | Out | RB21 | - | The Seahawks opened Charbonnet's practice window to return from the reserve/PUP list on Oct. |
| James Conner | RB | ARI | Injured Reserve | RB22 | - | Conner's 2025 season was cut short due to a right foot injury that required surgery, and he was cleared to take part in practices at the... |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | Out | WR32 | Jordan Watkins (11.7 proj) | Samuel underwent an MRI on his hamstring following Sunday's game, and the results showed an injury significant enough for the veteran wide... |
| Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | Injured Reserve | RB27 | - | Despite being designated for return from injured reserve earlier Wednesday, Sampson didn't end up logging any reps after having his 21-day... |
| Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | Doubtful | QB17 | - | However, head coach Todd Bowles said that Mayfield will attempt to throw Wednesday afternoon as he progresses in his recovery from a... |
| Alec Pierce | WR | IND | Injured Reserve | WR55 | - | It's a sign that Pierce is progressing in his recovery from a left heel injury that he aggravated during the Colts' Week 2 overtime loss to... |
| Tre Harris | WR | LAC | Doubtful | WR66 | Theo Wease Jr. (10.4 proj) | Head coach Jim Harbaugh said Monday that Harris is week-to-week with the injury he sustained in Sunday's loss to the Broncos, so it comes... |
| David Montgomery | RB | HOU | Doubtful | RB41 | Woody Marks (9.0 proj) | Montgomery made an early exit from the Texans' Week 5 win at Tennessee due to a groin injury, which head coach DeMeco Ryans since has... |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | Doubtful | WR68 | Isaiah Williams (6.9 proj) | Glenn notes that Mitchell is able to move his fingers around well following the procedure, but the fact that the wideout is still being... |
| Michael Pittman | WR | PIT | Injured Reserve | WR76 | Cole Burgess | With the expected move now official, Pittman will be required to miss at least the next four games, making Week 10 against the Bengals on... |
| Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | Injured Reserve | WR89 | - | Tyson has resided on injured reserve all season after sustaining a right hamstring strain during an Aug. |
| Xavier Legette | WR | CAR | Injured Reserve | WR94 | - | Legette has been working through a knee injury the last two weeks, and while he was slated to miss a second straight contest Sunday against... |
| Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | Injured Reserve | WR147 | - | The Ravens opened Lane's 21-day evaluation window to begin Week 6 prep after the rookie wideout missed the team's last four games while... |
| Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | IR | QB87 | - | - |
| Travis Etienne | RB | NO | IR | RB118 | - | - |
| Jayden Reed | WR | GB | IR | WR197 | - | - |
| Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | IR | WR206 | - | - |
| Jonathon Brooks | RB | CAR | IR | RB124 | - | - |
| Malik Davis | RB | DAL | IR | RB125 | - | - |
| Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | Injured Reserve | RB126 | - | roster flag Injured Reserve |
| Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | IR | TE126 | - | - |
| De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | IR | WR215 | Brandon Aiyuk | - |
| Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | Injured Reserve | RB129 | - | roster flag Injured Reserve |
| Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | IR | RB133 | - | - |
Questionable
| Player | Pos | Team | Status | ROS | Next man up | Note |
|---|
| Brock Bowers | TE | LV | Questionable | TE1 | Michael Mayer (7.6 proj) | Bowers was limited last Wednesday before putting in a full practice a day later, so it seems likely the Raiders are employing a similar... |
| Chris Olave | WR | NO | Questionable | WR7 | Barion Brown (1.1 proj) | Olave is coming off a season-worst 4-46-0 line on six targets in this past Sunday's loss to the Vikings, but a stout defense and not a... |
| DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | Questionable | WR19 | Elijah Moore (3.2 proj) | While Smith remained sidelined from on-field work and now appears to be dealing with a toe injury in addition to his hamstring issue, he... |
| Rashee Rice | WR | KC | Questionable | WR20 | Cyrus Allen (1.2 proj) | After being forced out of the Chiefs' Oct. |
| Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | Questionable | RB18 | Roschon Johnson (5.8 proj) | Monangai technically is being listed with a pair of health concerns, but it's a turf toe injury that sidelined him this past Sunday at... |
| Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | Questionable | WR31 | Theo Wease Jr. (10.4 proj) | Though he was technically active for this past Sunday's 23-17 loss to the Broncos, McConkey wasn't available after failing to practice in... |
| Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | Questionable | QB6 | - | Chicago is holding a walkthrough to begin Week 6 prep, and Williams' full listing on the injury report is a positive indicator that Johnson... |
| Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | Questionable | QB8 | - | Jackson was sidelined for a fourth consecutive practice after his sprained left ankle kept him from logging any on-field reps in Week 5... |
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | Questionable | RB24 | Jaleel McLaughlin (4.0 proj) | Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com noted that Judkins was spotted Wednesday walking around the locker room without a walking boot on his right... |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | WSH | Questionable | WR36 | Dyami Brown | - |
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | Questionable | RB29 | Corey Kiner (6.9 proj) | After Henderson was diagnosed with a right high-ankle sprain coming out of Sunday's win over the Raiders, Adam Schefter of ESPN reported... |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | Questionable | RB30 | Kendre Miller (7.0 proj) | For a second straight week, Kamara is dealing with a back injury, but he was able to play through it this past Sunday against the Vikings... |
| Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | Questionable | RB31 | Dameon Pierce (5.5 proj) | Barkley has yet to mix into drills since suffering a right hamstring injury in the early stages of the Eagles' Week 4 loss to the Rams. |
| DJ Moore | WR | BUF | Questionable | WR43 | Greg Dortch (5.5 proj) | The Bills conducted a walkthrough Wednesday after playing Monday night, but Moore would not have gotten any work in had the Bills decided... |
| Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | Questionable | RB33 | Tyler Allgeier (6.1 proj) | Love emerged from Week 4 at the Giants with an ankle injury, and while he was able to play through it this past Sunday against the Lions... |
| Josh Downs | WR | IND | Questionable | WR46 | Deion Burks (1.5 proj) | Per Stephen Holder of ESPN.com, Downs was able to take part in individual drills during the portion of practice that was open to the media... |
| Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | Questionable | WR54 | Theo Wease Jr. (10.4 proj) | A chest injury kept Johnston off the field for Week 5, but he was able to get some work in Wednesday. |
| Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | Questionable | WR60 | Malachi Corley (3.4 proj) | The rookie second-round pick is making his first career appearance on the injury report, but his ability to practice on at least a limited... |
| Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | Questionable | RB39 | Travis Homer (3.7 proj) | The Steelers are optimistic that Dowdle will put an end to a three-game absence and suit up Sunday against the Buccaneers, but he may need... |
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | Questionable | WR67 | Elijah Moore (3.2 proj) | Wicks now has been listed as limited on three consecutive injury reports dating back to last week due to a hamstring issue, but he wasn't... |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | Questionable | WR71 | Elijah Sarratt (2.4 proj) | Per Cordell Woodland of 105.7 The Fan Baltimore, Bateman was spotted with a non-contact jersey Wednesday and was able to fit in some... |
| KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | Questionable | WR79 | Malachi Corley (3.4 proj) | Though he remains in the five-step concussion protocol after being knocked out of this past Sunday's 17-12 loss to the Jets following a... |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | Questionable | TE32 | Mason Taylor (2.7 proj) | Per Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic, head coach Aaron Glenn said prior to practice that Sadiq remains in the five-step concussion protocol... |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | Questionable | RB53 | Julius Chestnut (0.8 proj) | Spears previously appeared on Titans injury reports in Weeks 3 and 4 due to an ankle issue, but he's tending to a different lower-body... |
| Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | Questionable | WR99 | Dareke Young (3.5 proj) | Per Warren, Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak said Monday that he expects Nailor to return to practice this week. |
Matchups to target and avoid
The matchup multiplier by team and position, best and worst on the slate (1.00 is a neutral week; the range is 0.80 to 1.20). It folds in the team's implied total, the opponent's defence against the position over the last season, the wind and the crew.
| Position | Target | Avoid |
|---|
| Quarterbacks | BUF @ LV (1.20), CHI @ ATL (1.20), LAR vs ARI (1.20) | NYJ @ NE (0.80), LAC @ KC (0.80), TB vs PIT (0.80) |
| Running backs | DAL @ GB (1.20), NE vs NYJ (1.20), GB vs DAL (1.20) | DEN vs SEA (0.80), NYJ @ NE (0.80), CLE vs BAL (0.81) |
| Wide receivers | SF vs WSH (1.20), CHI @ ATL (1.20), ATL vs CHI (1.17) | LAC @ KC (0.80), TB vs PIT (0.80), PIT @ TB (0.82) |
| Tight ends | SF vs WSH (1.20), LAR vs ARI (1.20), BUF @ LV (1.16) | TB vs PIT (0.80), CLE vs BAL (0.80), NYJ @ NE (0.81) |
Implied team totals, from the lines above: LAR 32.0 (vs ARI), BUF 29.5 (@ LV), SF 29.0 (vs WSH), GB 27.5 (vs DAL), CHI 26.5 (@ ATL) at the top; LAC 17.0 (@ KC), NYJ 18.0 (@ NE), TB 18.5 (vs PIT), CLE 18.5 (vs BAL), TEN 18.8 (@ IND) at the bottom.
Waiver wire
Undrafted means no market ADP, or an ADP past 150: on the wire in most leagues. Adds rank as starters this week; stashes are players the rest-of-season board rates, and the backs behind flagged starters.
Add and start
| Player | Call | Pos | Team | Opp | Proj | This week | ROS | Why |
|---|
| Kirk Cousins | Add | QB | LV | vs BUF | 20.5 | QB5 | QB2 | The game-log projection (20.5) sits above his season number (14.3). |
| Deshaun Watson | Add | QB | CLE | vs BAL | 18.0 | QB12 | QB13 | The game-log projection (18.0) sits above his season number (14.2). |
| Kalif Raymond | Add | WR | CHI | @ ATL | 12.3 | WR26 | WR37 | ATL has allowed the 6th-most points to receivers; CHI is implied for 26.5 points; the game-log projection (12.3) sits above his season number (9.8). |
| Keon Coleman | Add | WR | BUF | @ LV | 11.7 | WR32 | WR44 | BUF is implied for 29.5 points. |
| Jordan Watkins | Add | WR | SF | vs WSH | 11.7 | WR33 | WR50 | WSH has allowed the 5th-most points to receivers; SF is implied for 29.0 points. |
| Devaughn Vele | Add | WR | NO | @ NYG | 11.6 | WR34 | WR49 | The matchup multiplier is 1.01. |
| Juwan Johnson | Add | TE | NO | @ NYG | 11.2 | TE10 | TE9 | The matchup multiplier is 0.96. |
| Braelon Allen | Add | RB | NYJ | @ NE | 10.8 | RB24 | RB40 | The matchup multiplier is 0.80. |
| Efton Chism III | Add | WR | NE | vs NYJ | 10.4 | WR41 | WR64 | NE is implied for 25.5 points. |
| Theo Wease Jr. | Add | WR | LAC | @ KC | 10.4 | WR42 | WR23 | Wind of 15 mph or more in the forecast. |
Streaming defences
Priced from the line: the opponent's implied points, home field and how heavily the defence's own team is favoured.
| Defence | Call | Opp | Opp implied | Proj |
|---|
| KC D/ST | Stream | vs LAC | 17.0 | 8.8 |
| NE D/ST | Stream | vs NYJ | 18.0 | 8.5 |
| LAR D/ST | Stream | vs ARI | 19.5 | 8.5 |
| IND D/ST | Stream | vs TEN | 18.8 | 8.3 |
| BAL D/ST | Stream | @ CLE | 18.5 | 7.8 |
| PIT D/ST | Stream | @ TB | 18.5 | 7.6 |
Stash
| Player | Call | Pos | Team | ROS | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|
| Ben VanSumeren | Stash | RB | KC | RB23 | 14.2 | The rest-of-season board has him RB23, 14.2 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| C.J. Stroud | Stash | QB | HOU | QB11 | 18.4 | The rest-of-season board has him QB11, 18.4 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Thomas Fidone II | Stash | TE | NYG | TE11 | 11.5 | The rest-of-season board has him TE11, 11.5 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Brenton Strange | Stash | TE | JAX | TE12 | 11.4 | The rest-of-season board has him TE12, 11.4 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Bryce Young | Stash | QB | CAR | QB15 | 16.1 | The rest-of-season board has him QB15, 16.1 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Jameis Winston | Stash | QB | NYG | QB18 | 17.0 | The rest-of-season board has him QB18, 17.0 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Jacoby Brissett | Stash | QB | ARI | QB24 | 15.3 | The rest-of-season board has him QB24, 15.3 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Aaron Rodgers | Stash | QB | PIT | QB26 | 14.8 | The rest-of-season board has him QB26, 14.8 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
Buy and sell
Production so far against the board's projection from here, for rostered players. A buy has produced less than the board expects, so his price is set by box scores the model does not think will hold; a sell is the reverse. Games is this season's sample.
Buy
| Player | Call | Pos | Team | Season pts/g | Games | ROS pts/g | ROS | Gap |
|---|
| Brian Thomas Jr. | Buy | WR | JAX | 4.9 | 5 | 12.4 | WR34 | +7.6 |
| Omarion Hampton | Buy | RB | LAC | 9.3 | 5 | 13.8 | RB20 | +4.4 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | Buy | WR | CIN | 14.4 | 5 | 18.8 | WR6 | +4.4 |
| Xavier Worthy | Buy | WR | KC | 8.2 | 4 | 12.1 | WR38 | +3.9 |
| Christian Watson | Buy | WR | GB | 19.7 | 5 | 23.5 | WR1 | +3.8 |
| Cam Skattebo | Buy | RB | NYG | 11.4 | 5 | 14.9 | RB16 | +3.5 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Buy | TE | CLE | 9.1 | 5 | 12.5 | TE8 | +3.4 |
| Bo Nix | Buy | QB | DEN | 12.5 | 5 | 15.8 | QB23 | +3.2 |
Sell
| Player | Call | Pos | Team | Season pts/g | Games | ROS pts/g | ROS | Gap |
|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | Sell | RB | KC | 26.1 | 4 | 20.8 | RB3 | -5.3 |
| Puka Nacua | Sell | WR | LAR | 26.2 | 3 | 22.4 | WR3 | -3.8 |
| Zay Flowers | Sell | WR | BAL | 21.2 | 4 | 17.4 | WR11 | -3.7 |
| Davante Adams | Sell | WR | LAR | 18.2 | 5 | 14.7 | WR24 | -3.4 |
| Jaylen Warren | Sell | RB | PIT | 20.2 | 5 | 17.2 | RB9 | -3.0 |
| Isaiah Likely | Sell | TE | NYG | 15.8 | 5 | 12.8 | TE7 | -2.9 |
| Josh Allen | Sell | QB | BUF | 24.8 | 5 | 22.0 | QB1 | -2.8 |
| Kyren Williams | Sell | RB | LAR | 20.9 | 5 | 18.3 | RB7 | -2.5 |
How this guide is built
The weekly board is each player's season-long expectation times this week's matchup, with the DFS game-log projection folded in as a recency term; the rest-of-season board is the season board with this year's games blended in and the injury feed applied. Both are rebuilt every morning and live on the NFL rankings page; the designations are on the injury report and the model's game picks on the predictions page. Lines are quoted for the implied totals only. This is a fantasy guide, not betting advice.
NFL2026-10-15