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Start/SitNFL logoNFL2026-10-08

NFL Week 5 Prep Guide: Matthew Stafford is a start, 63 injury calls and 6 waiver adds

By Verdexed Analytics

A football in flight over a bright green field under stadium lights
Illustration: Verdexed, AI-generated

Week 5 runs from Thursday Oct 8 to Monday Oct 12, 15 games. On bye: Carolina Panthers, Kansas City Chiefs. Thursday night is Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (DAL -9.5, total 48.5), so those lineups lock first.

Everything below comes from the model's two boards: this week's rankings (each player's season-long expectation times the matchup: his team's implied total, the opponent's defence against the position, wind and the crew) and the rest-of-season board (the season board with this year's games folded in and today's injury report applied). Scoring is PPR. Projections are points this week; the range is the floor and ceiling the board carries.

The slate

GameDayLineTotalImplied (away / home)
TB at DALThursday Oct 8DAL -9.548.519.5 / 29.0
PHI at JAXSunday Oct 11JAX -7.541.517.0 / 24.5
CIN at MIASunday Oct 11MIA +6.542.524.5 / 18.0
CLE at NYJSunday Oct 11NYJ -2.539.518.5 / 21.0
HOU at TENSunday Oct 11TEN +7.538.523.0 / 15.5
IND at PITSunday Oct 11PIT -2.544.521.0 / 23.5
LV at NESunday Oct 11NE -3.545.521.0 / 24.5
MIN at NOSunday Oct 11NO +2.541.522.0 / 19.5
NYG at WSHSunday Oct 11WSH -4.541.518.5 / 23.0
DEN at LACSunday Oct 11LAC +3.541.522.5 / 19.0
CHI at GBSunday Oct 11GB +1.545.523.5 / 22.0
DET at ARISunday Oct 11ARI +5.554.530.0 / 24.5
SF at SEASunday Oct 11SEA -3.045.521.2 / 24.2
BAL at ATLSunday Oct 11ATL -3.043.520.2 / 23.2
BUF at LARMonday Oct 12LAR -3.054.525.8 / 28.8

Start them

Each position's top of the week, then the matchup calls: players ranked as starters this week and well above their rest-of-season standing. The last column is the player's rest-of-season rank at the position, so a wide gap is the matchup talking.

Quarterbacks

#PlayerCallTeamOppProjRangeMatchupROS
1Josh AllenMust startBUF@ LAR24.113.2 to 38.51.16QB1
2Dak PrescottMust startDALvs TB23.713.0 to 37.91.20QB8
3Jared GoffMust startDET@ ARI23.412.8 to 37.41.20QB3
4Joe BurrowStartCIN@ MIA22.612.5 to 36.21.10QB4
5Matthew StaffordStartLARvs BUF19.310.6 to 30.91.14QB15
6Drake MayeStartNEvs LV18.910.4 to 30.31.11QB13
7C.J. StroudStartHOU@ TEN18.410.1 to 29.51.01QB9
8Lamar Jackson (Questionable)Start if activeBAL@ ATL18.210.0 to 29.20.96QB7
9Jacoby BrissettStartARIvs DET18.19.9 to 28.91.17QB24
10Brock PurdyStartSF@ SEA17.99.8 to 28.60.90QB2

Matchup starts at quarterbacks: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.

PlayerCallTeamOppThis weekROSProjWhy
Matthew StaffordStartLARvs BUFQB5QB1519.3LAR is implied for 28.8 points; the game-log projection (21.9) sits above his season number (16.4).
Drake MayeStartNEvs LVQB6QB1318.9The game-log projection (20.2) sits above his season number (16.7).
Dak PrescottMust startDALvs TBQB2QB823.7TB has allowed the most points to quarterbacks; DAL is implied for 29.0 points; the game-log projection (26.7) sits above his season number (19.1).
Trevor LawrenceStartJAXvs PHIQB12QB1617.0The matchup multiplier is 1.05.

Running backs

#PlayerCallTeamOppProjRangeMatchupROS
1Jahmyr GibbsMust startDET@ ARI28.415.6 to 45.51.18RB2
2Bijan RobinsonMust startATLvs BAL23.713.0 to 37.90.99RB1
3Kyren WilliamsMust startLARvs BUF21.711.9 to 34.71.20RB6
4James CookMust startBUF@ LAR19.010.5 to 30.51.13RB8
5Javonte WilliamsMust startDALvs TB18.09.9 to 28.91.14RB13
6Chase BrownMust startCIN@ MIA17.39.5 to 27.61.10RB15
7Christian McCaffreyStartSF@ SEA16.99.3 to 27.00.88RB5
8Jonathan TaylorStartIND@ PIT16.59.1 to 26.40.89RB7
9D'Andre Swift (Questionable)Start if activeCHI@ GB16.39.0 to 26.01.07RB11
10Ashton JeantyStartLV@ NE15.78.7 to 25.20.88RB9
11Derrick HenryStartBAL@ ATL15.48.5 to 24.60.86RB4
12Jaylen WarrenStartPITvs IND15.38.4 to 24.51.01RB16
13Aaron JonesStartMIN@ NO15.18.3 to 24.21.02RB22
14Breece Hall (Doubtful)Start if activeNYJvs CLE15.08.3 to 24.10.91RB10
15Rhamondre Stevenson (Questionable)Start if activeNEvs LV14.07.7 to 22.41.12RB30

Matchup starts at running backs: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.

PlayerCallTeamOppThis weekROSProjWhy
Rico Dowdle (Questionable)Start if activePITvs INDRB30RB499.8Listed Questionable.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Questionable)Start if activeWSHvs NYGRB27RB4411.5NYG has allowed the 2nd-most points to running backs; the game-log projection (11.7) sits above his season number (10.1); listed Questionable.
Rhamondre Stevenson (Questionable)Start if activeNEvs LVRB15RB3014.0Listed Questionable.
Chase BrownMust startCIN@ MIARB6RB1517.3The game-log projection (18.6) sits above his season number (15.3).
Aaron JonesStartMIN@ NORB13RB2215.1NO has allowed the 7th-most points to running backs; the game-log projection (18.9) sits above his season number (13.9).

Wide receivers

#PlayerCallTeamOppProjRangeMatchupROS
1CeeDee LambMust startDALvs TB25.013.7 to 40.01.13WR2
2Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMust startSEAvs SF23.613.0 to 37.71.06WR1
3Puka NacuaMust startLARvs BUF23.012.7 to 36.81.18WR4
4Amon-Ra St. BrownMust startDET@ ARI22.812.6 to 36.51.16WR3
5Nico CollinsMust startHOU@ TEN18.910.4 to 30.21.01WR7
6Michael WilsonMust startARIvs DET18.110.0 to 29.01.17WR17
7Chris OlaveMust startNOvs MIN17.69.7 to 28.10.87WR6
8Ja'Marr Chase (Questionable)Start if activeCIN@ MIA17.59.6 to 28.01.01WR5
9Drake LondonStartATLvs BAL17.59.6 to 28.01.04WR11
10Tee Higgins (Questionable)Start if activeCIN@ MIA17.19.4 to 27.31.01WR9
11Davante AdamsStartLARvs BUF16.69.1 to 26.61.18WR19
12Zay Flowers (Questionable)Start if activeBAL@ ATL16.49.0 to 26.30.93WR8
13George PickensStartDALvs TB16.08.8 to 25.61.13WR16
14Garrett WilsonStartNYJvs CLE15.88.7 to 25.30.94WR14
15Christian WatsonStartGBvs CHI15.58.5 to 24.91.02WR21

Matchup starts at receivers: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.

PlayerCallTeamOppThis weekROSProjWhy
Marvin Harrison Jr.StartARIvs DETWR30WR6211.8DET has allowed the 2nd-most points to receivers.
Khalil ShakirStartBUF@ LARWR25WR5113.0LAR has allowed the 3rd-most points to receivers; BUF is implied for 25.8 points.
DJ Moore (Questionable)Start if activeBUF@ LARWR26WR5212.9LAR has allowed the 3rd-most points to receivers; BUF is implied for 25.8 points; listed Questionable.
Tre TuckerStartLV@ NEWR42WR5810.7The matchup multiplier is 0.93.
DK MetcalfStartPITvs INDWR18WR3313.9The game-log projection (15.3) sits above his season number (12.8).

Tight ends

#PlayerCallTeamOppProjRangeMatchupROS
1Trey McBrideMust startARIvs DET19.810.9 to 31.71.11TE2
2Brock Bowers (Questionable)Start if activeLV@ NE16.99.3 to 27.10.88TE1
3Sam LaPortaMust startDET@ ARI16.79.2 to 26.81.20TE4
4George KittleStartSF@ SEA14.98.2 to 23.80.98TE3
5Dalton KincaidStartBUF@ LAR13.67.5 to 21.81.20TE10
6Tyler WarrenStartIND@ PIT11.86.5 to 18.80.96TE7
7T.J. HockensonStartMIN@ NO11.76.4 to 18.81.01TE13
8Jake FergusonStartDALvs TB11.66.4 to 18.61.20TE25

Matchup starts at tight ends: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.

PlayerCallTeamOppThis weekROSProjWhy
Jake FergusonStartDALvs TBTE8TE2511.6TB has allowed the most points to tight ends; DAL is implied for 29.0 points.
Dalton KincaidStartBUF@ LARTE5TE1013.6LAR has allowed the 3rd-most points to tight ends; BUF is implied for 25.8 points.
Tucker KraftStartGBvs CHITE12TE1710.4The matchup multiplier is 0.95.

Sit them, or at least think twice

Usual starters (rest-of-season top 12 at QB, 30 at RB, 42 at WR, 12 at TE) whose week ranks well below their standing, who carry an injury designation, or whose matchup sits at the bottom of the range. A sit here means the bench option with a better week, not a drop.

Quarterbacks

PlayerCallTeamOppProjUsualThis weekWhy
Tyler Shough (Questionable)SitNOvs MIN15.7QB10QB15MIN has allowed the fewest points to quarterbacks; listed Questionable.
Lamar Jackson (Questionable)SitBAL@ ATL18.2QB7QB8Listed Questionable.
Brock PurdySitSF@ SEA17.9QB2QB10The game-log projection (16.2) sits below his season number (20.3).

Running backs

PlayerCallTeamOppProjUsualThis weekWhy
Austin EkelerSitWSHvs NYG5.8RB28RB53The game-log projection (2.2) sits below his season number (13.2).
Alvin Kamara (Questionable)SitNOvs MIN11.4RB23RB28MIN has allowed the 7th-fewest points to running backs; listed Questionable.
Breece Hall (Doubtful)SitNYJvs CLE15.0RB10RB14Listed Doubtful.
Cam Skattebo (Questionable)SitNYG@ WSH13.1RB18RB22NYG is implied for only 18.5 points; the game-log projection (10.4) sits below his season number (15.7); listed Questionable.
D'Andre Swift (Questionable)SitCHI@ GB16.3RB11RB9Listed Questionable.
Kyle Monangai (Questionable)SitCHI@ GB14.0RB19RB17The game-log projection (8.9) sits below his season number (14.3); listed Questionable.

Wide receivers

PlayerCallTeamOppProjUsualThis weekWhy
Jordan WatkinsSitSF@ SEA2.6WR36WR121The game-log projection (1.8) sits below his season number (12.7).
Ladd McConkey (Questionable)SitLACvs DEN10.2WR29WR45DEN has allowed the 6th-fewest points to receivers; LAC is implied for only 19.0 points; the game-log projection (7.9) sits below his season number (13.2); listed Questionable.
DeVonta Smith (Questionable)SitPHI@ JAX13.1WR13WR23PHI is implied for only 17.0 points; listed Questionable.
Zay Flowers (Questionable)SitBAL@ ATL16.4WR8WR12Listed Questionable.
Malik Nabers (Questionable)SitNYG@ WSH13.2WR18WR22NYG is implied for only 18.5 points; wind of 15 mph or more in the forecast; the game-log projection (12.1) sits below his season number (16.3); listed Questionable.
Ja'Marr Chase (Questionable)SitCIN@ MIA17.5WR5WR8MIA has allowed the fewest points to receivers; the game-log projection (10.8) sits below his season number (18.9); listed Questionable.

Tight ends

PlayerCallTeamOppProjUsualThis weekWhy
Thomas Fidone IISitNYG@ WSH4.1TE8TE44NYG is implied for only 18.5 points; wind of 15 mph or more in the forecast.
Brock Bowers (Questionable)SitLV@ NE16.9TE1TE2NE has allowed the 7th-fewest points to tight ends; listed Questionable.
Juwan JohnsonSitNOvs MIN9.9TE9TE17The game-log projection (9.7) sits below his season number (12.2).
Harold Fannin Jr.SitCLE@ NYJ11.0TE5TE9NYJ has allowed the 5th-fewest points to tight ends; CLE is implied for only 18.5 points; the game-log projection (10.9) sits below his season number (13.7).

Injury report

Every designation on a fantasy-relevant player as of 2026-10-08 18:45 UTC, with the next man up on the team's depth chart and his projection this week. Thursday designations move through Friday's final report; the live list is on the NFL injury report.

Out

PlayerPosTeamStatusROSNext man upNote
Brandon AiyukWRSFOutWR15--
Caleb WilliamsQBCHIOutQB5-Williams has yet to resume practicing with his teammates, but he has reportedly looked comfortable dropping back, planting and throwing the...
Zach CharbonnetRBSEAOutRB21-Seattle opened Charbonnet's 21-day practice window last Thursday, with the running back practicing on a limited basis for the team's final...
Baker MayfieldQBTBOutQB12--
Michael PittmanWRPITOutWR61Germie Bernard (5.4 proj)Pittman missed Pittsburgh's Week 2 loss to the Patriots due to a foot injury and had just four catches for 31 yards across two subsequent...
De'Von AchaneRBMIAIRRB109--
Jaxson DartQBNYGIRQB90--
Tank DellWRHOUInjured ReserveWR182-Dell made his first practice appearance of the regular season, though he remains on injured reserve after his 21-day evaluation window was...
Travis EtienneRBNOIRRB110--
A.J. BrownWRNEInjured ReserveWR183Jeremiah WebbWhen Brown came out of Week 1 with a right high-ankle sprain, he was expected to be sidelined for up to six weeks, but his placement on IR...
Dylan SampsonRBCLEIRRB111--
Alec PierceWRINDInjured ReserveWR185-Ian Rapoport of NFL Network had previously relayed last week that Pierce would avoid another procedure after aggravating his surgically...
Jayden ReedWRGBIRWR186--
Isiah PachecoRBDETIRRB113--
Jordyn TysonWRNOInjured ReserveWR190-New Orleans placed Tyson on IR with a designation to return back on Aug.
Jordan MasonRBMINIRRB115--
Jalen McMillanWRTBIRWR195--
Malik DavisRBDALIRRB119--
Jadarian PriceRBSEAInjured ReserveRB121-roster flag Injured Reserve
De'Zhaun StriblingWRSFIRWR210--
Tank BigsbyRBPHIInjured ReserveRB127-Bigsby will undergo core muscle surgery for an abdominal injury that he picked up during the Eagles' Week 4 loss to the Rams.
Ja'Kobi LaneWRBALIRWR213--
Jonah ColemanRBDENInjured ReserveRB128-Coleman has been diagnosed with a high-ankle sprain and was unable to practice all week.
Terrance FergusonTELARInjured ReserveTE124-Ferguson was placed on injured reserve ahead of Week 4 and will be eligible to return in Week 8 against the Chargers.

Doubtful

PlayerPosTeamStatusROSNext man upNote
Breece HallRBNYJDoubtfulRB10Braelon Allen (8.3 proj)Hall's continued absence isn't surprising after head coach Aaron Glenn recently described the running back as week-to-week.
Pat BryantWRDENDoubtfulWR56Marvin Mims Jr. (3.5 proj)Bryant sprained his right ankle during the Broncos' Week 4 loss to the 49ers.
Adonai MitchellWRNYJDoubtfulWR88Jamaal PritchettMitchell is headed for a second consecutive practice absence ahead of Sunday's home game against the Browns.

Questionable

PlayerPosTeamStatusROSNext man upNote
Brock BowersTELVQuestionableTE1Michael Mayer (6.8 proj)The Raiders are likely just managing Bowers' reps after he's decimated both the Saints and Chiefs in back-to-back games since making his...
Ja'Marr ChaseWRCINQuestionableWR5Mitchell TinsleyIn the wake of his rough exit from this past Sunday's game against the Jaguars, Chase has been embedded in the concussion protocol and sat...
Zay FlowersWRBALQuestionableWR8LaJohntay WesterWhile he was managing a hamstring strain, Flowers sat out the Ravens' Week 2 loss to the Saints and had his practice activity limited the...
Tee HigginsWRCINQuestionableWR9Mitchell TinsleyHiggins emerged from a Week 4 loss to the Jaguars with an adductor injury, and Wednesday's practice report attributed his absence to that...
D'Andre SwiftRBCHIQuestionableRB11Kyle Monangai (14.0 proj)Both Swift and fellow RB Kyle Monangai (thumb/toe) were non-participants to begin Week 5 prep, leaving question marks in the Bears...
DeVonta SmithWRPHIQuestionableWR13Darius CooperIt's a sign of progress as Smith deals with a hamstring injury that already has sidelined him for one game and didn't allow him to practice...
Malik NabersWRNYGQuestionableWR18Charlie Jones (2.5 proj)After sitting out Wednesday's practice due to a knee injury, Nabers has taken a step in the right direction by taking part in at least a...
Lamar JacksonQBBALQuestionableQB7-Jackson is set for a second consecutive absence to begin Week 5 prep, which doesn't bode well for his availability for Sunday night's game...
Cam SkatteboRBNYGQuestionableRB18Najee Harris (6.8 proj)Skattebo has yet to hit 100 rushing yards in a game this season and currently is sitting on 302 yards from scrimmage and one rushing TD on...
Kyle MonangaiRBCHIQuestionableRB19Roschon Johnson (6.1 proj)While Johnson downplayed Monangai's thumb issue, he did say the running back is feeling the effects of his 30-carry workload from last...
Tyler ShoughQBNOQuestionableQB10-Shough had his left hand wrapped during Wednesday's walkthrough, but the team is not overly concerned, according to Triplett.
Ladd McConkeyWRLACQuestionableWR29Marquez Valdes-Scantling (3.7 proj)Harbaugh didn't reveal what the extent of McConkey's participation might be, and it's possible that the wideout is limited to rehab work...
Alvin KamaraRBNOQuestionableRB23Kendre Miller (5.4 proj)The veteran was not at practice Wednesday after picking up a back injury during the Monday Night Football loss to the Falcons.
Keenan AllenWRINDQuestionableWR32Darius Slayton (8.0 proj)After missing last Sunday's win over the Commanders, Allen's return to the practice field puts him on track to suit up Sunday against the...
Mike EvansWRSFQuestionableWR34Jacob Cowing (2.6 proj)With Evans managing the rib issue well enough to practice in a limited capacity after playing through it last Sunday, his status appears to...
Jeremiyah LoveRBARIQuestionableRB27Tyler Allgeier (8.1 proj)On Monday, coach Mike LaFleur said that Love emerged from Week 4 action with an ankle injury that's not related to the high-ankle sprain he...
Stefon DiggsWRWSHQuestionableWR39Treylon Burks (5.4 proj)Diggs and Terry McLaurin (hamstring) both sat out practice Wednesday.
Rachaad WhiteRBWSHQuestionableRB29Kaytron Allen (2.1 proj)After missing Week 4 with a shoulder injury, White is trending in the right direction.
Rhamondre StevensonRBNEQuestionableRB30TreVeyon Henderson (14.0 proj)Stevenson looked to have injured his leg or knee near the end of Sunday's win over the Bills, but the Patriots' first Week 5 injury report...
Saquon BarkleyRBPHIQuestionableRB32Will ShipleyBarkley appears as if he'll go down as a non-participant for a second session in a row to kick off Week 5 prep, something that'll be...
Jordan AddisonWRMINQuestionableWR47Tai Felton (3.2 proj)Head coach Kevin O'Connell said Addison has some hamstring soreness after he played 75 of 78 offensive snaps against the Dolphins last...
Terry McLaurinWRWSHQuestionableWR48Treylon Burks (5.4 proj)McLaurin is set for a second consecutive practice absence due to the hamstring injury he suffered ahead of the Commanders' Week 4 loss to...
Isaiah LikelyTENYGQuestionableTE19Theo Johnson (4.1 proj)Likely is tending to a pair of health concerns as Week 5 prep begins, but he at least has two more chances to get back to full this week...
DJ MooreWRBUFQuestionableWR52Greg DortchMoore aggravated a shoulder injury during Buffalo's Week 4 loss to the Patriots.
Dallas GoedertTEPHIQuestionableTE20Johnny MundtWith Goedert returning to the field after recently being ruled out for Sunday's game against the Rams, this marks his first visible step...
Tony PollardRBTENQuestionableRB37Tyjae Spears (6.2 proj)Pollard was listed on the Titans' Week 4 injury report with the same foot issue.
Quentin JohnstonWRLACQuestionableWR71Marquez Valdes-Scantling (3.7 proj)The Chargers' receiving corps is banged up at the moment, with all of WR Ladd McConkey (foot, DNP on Wednesday), WR Brenen Thompson...
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRBWSHQuestionableRB44Rachaad White (13.0 proj)The Commanders have a lengthy injury report Wednesday, including their starting running back.
Rico DowdleRBPITQuestionableRB49Travis Homer (3.8 proj)Dowdle was listed as limited at Wednesday's practice after missing the past two games due to a dislocated toe.
George HolaniRBSEAQuestionableRB52Velus Jones Jr. (3.9 proj)Holani rushed seven times for 18 yards in the Seahawks' Week 4 win over the Chargers.
Rashod BatemanWRBALQuestionableWR94LaJohntay WesterIt's a new injury for Bateman, and the same can be said for Zay Flowers, who was limited with a foot injury Wednesday.
Chig OkonkwoTEWSHQuestionableTE71Ben Sinnott (2.5 proj)In two games this season, Okonkwo has four catches for 21 yards on seven targets.
Jalen NailorWRLVQuestionableWR127Dareke Young (3.0 proj)Nailor entered the NFL's concussion protocol after exiting Sunday's loss to the Chiefs due to the head injury.
Caleb DouglasWRMIAQuestionableWR142Jalen Tolbert (2.0 proj)Douglas hasn't practiced or played since hurting his ankle in Week 2 against the 49ers.
Kaelon BlackRBSFQuestionableRB93Jordan JamesBlack should be fine to handle his normal role Sunday against the Seahawks as Christian McCaffrey's direct backup.
Chris BellWRMIAQuestionableWR156Jalen Tolbert (2.0 proj)Bell will likely continue to be limited in practices until the Dolphins are willing to fully unleash him following last season's torn ACL.

Matchups to target and avoid

The matchup multiplier by team and position, best and worst on the slate (1.00 is a neutral week; the range is 0.80 to 1.20). It folds in the team's implied total, the opponent's defence against the position over the last season, the wind and the crew.

PositionTargetAvoid
QuarterbacksDAL vs TB (1.20), DET @ ARI (1.20), ARI vs DET (1.17)LAC vs DEN (0.80), NO vs MIN (0.80), NYG @ WSH (0.82)
Running backsLAR vs BUF (1.20), DET @ ARI (1.18), DAL vs TB (1.14)TEN vs HOU (0.80), LAC vs DEN (0.80), NO vs MIN (0.82)
Wide receiversBUF @ LAR (1.20), LAR vs BUF (1.18), ARI vs DET (1.17)MIA vs CIN (0.81), LAC vs DEN (0.82), NYG @ WSH (0.83)
Tight endsDET @ ARI (1.20), BUF @ LAR (1.20), DAL vs TB (1.20)TEN vs HOU (0.80), CLE @ NYJ (0.80), NO vs MIN (0.82)

Implied team totals, from the lines above: DET 30.0 (@ ARI), DAL 29.0 (vs TB), LAR 28.8 (vs BUF), BUF 25.8 (@ LAR), JAX 24.5 (vs PHI) at the top; TEN 15.5 (vs HOU), PHI 17.0 (@ JAX), MIA 18.0 (vs CIN), NYG 18.5 (@ WSH), CLE 18.5 (@ NYJ) at the bottom.

Waiver wire

Undrafted means no market ADP, or an ADP past 150: on the wire in most leagues. Adds rank as starters this week; stashes are players the rest-of-season board rates, and the backs behind flagged starters.

Add and start

PlayerCallPosTeamOppProjThis weekROSWhy
C.J. StroudAddQBHOU@ TEN18.4QB7QB9The matchup multiplier is 1.01.
Jacoby BrissettAddQBARIvs DET18.1QB9QB24DET has allowed the 4th-most points to quarterbacks; the game-log projection (21.5) sits above his season number (14.7).
T.J. HockensonAddTEMIN@ NO11.7TE7TE13The matchup multiplier is 1.01.
Isaac TeSlaaAddWRDET@ ARI11.2WR39WR59DET is implied for 30.0 points.
Dalton SchultzAddTEHOU@ TEN10.8TE10TE12The matchup multiplier is 0.97.
Pat FreiermuthAddTEPITvs IND10.6TE11TE26The matchup multiplier is 1.08.

Streaming defences

Priced from the line: the opponent's implied points, home field and how heavily the defence's own team is favoured.

DefenceCallOppOpp impliedProj
JAX D/STStreamvs PHI17.08.8
HOU D/STStream@ TEN15.58.7
DAL D/STStreamvs TB19.58.3
WSH D/STStreamvs NYG18.58.1
CIN D/STStream@ MIA18.08.0
NYJ D/STStreamvs CLE18.58.0

Stash

PlayerCallPosTeamROSROS pts/gWhy
Ben VanSumerenStashRBKCRB2614.2The rest-of-season board has him RB26, 14.2 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Juwan JohnsonStashTENOTE912.2The rest-of-season board has him TE9, 12.2 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Austin EkelerStashRBWSHRB2813.2The rest-of-season board has him RB28, 13.2 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Jordan WatkinsStashWRSFWR3612.7The rest-of-season board has him WR36, 12.7 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Keon ColemanStashWRBUFWR3712.4The rest-of-season board has him WR37, 12.4 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Teagan QuitorianoStashTEARITE1411.5The rest-of-season board has him TE14, 11.5 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Devaughn VeleStashWRNOWR4511.9The rest-of-season board has him WR45, 11.9 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Tory HortonStashWRSEAWR4611.9The rest-of-season board has him WR46, 11.9 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.

Buy and sell

Production so far against the board's projection from here, for rostered players. A buy has produced less than the board expects, so his price is set by box scores the model does not think will hold; a sell is the reverse. Games is this season's sample.

Buy

PlayerCallPosTeamSeason pts/gGamesROS pts/gROSGap
Brian Thomas Jr.BuyWRJAX6.1413.8WR24+7.7
TreVeyon HendersonBuyRBNE7.3313.5RB25+6.2
Colston LovelandBuyTECHI5.7411.3TE15+5.6
Omarion HamptonBuyRBLAC10.2414.8RB20+4.6
Emeka EgbukaBuyWRTB9.0413.1WR28+4.1
Xavier WorthyBuyWRKC8.2412.1WR40+3.9
George PickensBuyWRDAL11.4415.2WR16+3.8
Justin HerbertBuyQBLAC12.9416.1QB19+3.3

Sell

PlayerCallPosTeamSeason pts/gGamesROS pts/gROSGap
Kenneth Walker IIISellRBKC26.1420.8RB3-5.3
Chris OlaveSellWRNO24.4420.0WR6-4.4
Davante AdamsSellWRLAR18.7414.6WR19-4.1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSellWRSEA26.4422.7WR1-3.7
Nico CollinsSellWRHOU22.9219.5WR7-3.4
Kyren WilliamsSellRBLAR21.6418.4RB6-3.2
CeeDee LambSellWRDAL26.8423.6WR2-3.1
Christian WatsonSellWRGB17.6414.7WR21-2.8

How this guide is built

The weekly board is each player's season-long expectation times this week's matchup, with the DFS game-log projection folded in as a recency term; the rest-of-season board is the season board with this year's games blended in and the injury feed applied. Both are rebuilt every morning and live on the NFL rankings page; the designations are on the injury report and the model's game picks on the predictions page. Lines are quoted for the implied totals only. This is a fantasy guide, not betting advice.

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