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Start/SitNFL logoNFL2026-10-10

D'Andre Swift, MarShawn Lloyd and RJ Harvey Lead the Week 5 Late-Window Start/Sit Calls

By Verdexed Fantasy Desk

D'Andre Swift
Photo: All-Pro Reels / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Week 5's late window is where the most fantasy lineup decisions live this Sunday. Kyle Monangai has been ruled out for Chicago with toe and thumb injuries, Green Bay's backfield is still sorting itself out after Chris Brooks' ankle injury, the Chargers will be without Joe Alt, Derwin James and Donte Jackson against Denver, and Lions at Cardinals carries one of the highest totals on the board. Here are the calls for the 4:05 and 4:25 p.m. ET games, grounded in Week 4 usage.

Kansas City and Carolina are on bye, so plenty of managers need a running back or a flex. Most of the answers below come from players whose role, not reputation, earned the start.

D'Andre Swift Gets the Bears Backfield Back

Monangai took over Chicago's backfield in Week 4 with a 30-carry game against the Jets, playing about 50 snaps to Swift's 33. Swift had 15 carries before a third-quarter fumble led to his benching for the rest of the game. With Monangai out, that whole workload has nowhere to go but back to Swift, who reportedly progressed to full practice participation Friday after being limited by hip and knee issues earlier in the week.

Start D'Andre Swift as an RB2 with volume upside. Tyson Bagent is Ben Johnson's announced starter in Green Bay even though Caleb Williams returned to a limited practice Friday and is officially questionable, and a backup quarterback on the road usually means a run-heavy plan. The fumble is the risk, since Johnson already showed he will pull Swift, but there is no healthy back on the depth chart with Monangai's track record to replace him.

Bears pass catchers are harder to trust with Bagent. Treat them as WR3 and flex options at best and lean toward the receiver who has commanded the most targets in Bagent's starts.

MarShawn Lloyd Is the Packers Back to Roster, and Start

Green Bay's 17-14 win over Tampa Bay in Week 4 produced a messy box score, but the usage tells a clear story. MarShawn Lloyd led the backfield in snaps by a wide margin (outlets counted roughly 30 to 33 for Lloyd versus 13 to 17 for Kaleb Johnson), caught all five of his targets for 36 yards and ran a route on about 48% of dropbacks. Johnson had more carries, eight for 42 yards, but lost a fumble near the goal line when Green Bay had a chance to put the game away.

Packers RB, Week 4Snaps (approx.)CarriesTargetsRoute rate
MarShawn Lloyd30-337548%
Kaleb Johnson13-178n/a23%
Chris Brooks104n/an/a

Start Lloyd as a PPR flex with RB2 upside. Snaps and routes are what hold fantasy value week to week, and he owns both. Sit Kaleb Johnson outside of deep leagues. His role is early-down carries in a split, and the lost fumble does not help his standing. The Bears-Packers line has bounced between Chicago -1.5 and -3 with a total around 45, so a close game script should keep Lloyd involved on passing downs.

RJ Harvey Is the Broncos Start, Courtland Sutton Is a Hold

Denver lost 24-14 in San Francisco in Week 4, and RJ Harvey was the most useful skill player in the building: seven carries for 25 yards plus 10 catches on 10 targets for 68 yards. Bo Nix threw 42 times, and Harvey was the outlet on a day the downfield game never developed.

Start Harvey as an RB2 in PPR formats. Sean Payton has taken play-calling back from Davis Webb this week, and Payton's offenses have historically fed running backs as receivers. The Chargers are 0-4 and will play without Derwin James and Donte Jackson in the secondary, which should give Denver room underneath. Denver is favored by about 3.5 with a total in the low 40s.

Courtland Sutton is a low-floor WR3. He caught one pass for four yards in Week 4 and his target share has sat around 18%, his lowest since his rookie year. The matchup against a depleted secondary is the reason to keep him in lineups if you lack options, but the usage says he is not a must-start.

Keaton Mitchell Leads a Chargers Committee

Keaton Mitchell moved past Omarion Hampton in Week 4, leading the Chargers with 10 carries and six targets on 26 snaps. Kimani Vidal and Hampton each played about 25 snaps, so this is a three-way split by playing time even if Mitchell got the most touches.

Chargers RB, Week 4SnapsCarriesTargets
Keaton Mitchell26106
Kimani Vidal25n/an/a
Omarion Hampton25n/an/a

Mitchell is a flex, not a lock. Touches matter more than snaps, and his six targets give him a PPR floor, but Denver's run defense and a Chargers offensive line without Alt (neck) are real obstacles. Note that Denver will also be without corners Patrick Surtain II and Riley Moss, which tilts the matchup toward the Chargers' passing game. Sit Hampton until his snap share separates from the pack. On the receiver side, Ladd McConkey (foot) did not practice all week and is questionable, and Quentin Johnston (chest) has been ruled out. If McConkey sits, the Chargers' target tree shrinks dramatically and whoever gets the slot work becomes a deep-league flex.

Trey McBride and the Lions-Cardinals Shootout

Lions at Cardinals carries a total around 53.5 to 54.5, with Detroit favored by roughly 4.5 to 5.5. Arizona's passing game has been concentrated: Michael Wilson has 30 targets over the past two weeks, and Trey McBride saw 12 targets in the 36-24 loss to the Giants, though he turned them into only seven catches for 31 yards.

Start McBride as a top tight end. Twelve targets in a losing script is exactly the usage you want, and Detroit has ruled out safety Brian Branch and corner Rock Ya-Sin, thinning the coverage that would normally key on the middle of the field. The yardage dip is noise; the volume is signal. Wilson is a WR2 in this environment for the same reason.

On Detroit's side, Jahmyr Gibbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown are not on the final injury report and are every-week starts in the highest-total game of the late window. In a projected shootout, Gibbs' dual-threat role makes him the preferred Lions piece in DFS lineups built around this game.

Late-Window Calls at a Glance

PlayerTeamCallUsage reason
D'Andre SwiftCHIStartMonangai out, 15 carries before Week 4 benching
MarShawn LloydGBStart (flex)Snap and route leader, 5 of 5 targets
Kaleb JohnsonGBSit8 carries, lost goal-line fumble
RJ HarveyDENStart10 targets, 10 catches in Week 4
Courtland SuttonDENFlex only1 catch in Week 4, about 18% target share
Keaton MitchellLACFlex10 carries, 6 targets, team lead
Omarion HamptonLACSit25 snaps in a three-way split
Trey McBrideARIStart12 targets in Week 4

Betting and DFS Angles, Plus What's Next

The usage above lines up with a few market reads. Harvey's receptions prop deserves a look if books price it like a typical running back's, given 10 catches last week. Swift's rushing attempts line may lag the reality of a Monangai-less backfield with a backup quarterback. And Lions-Cardinals is the late-window game stack for DFS, with Gibbs, McBride and Wilson as the natural core.

Verdexed's full model calls on every Week 5 game, including the late window, live at /nfl/predictions. Final checks before lock: Caleb Williams' status (Bagent is the announced starter regardless), McConkey's availability, and whether Swift is active after a week of practice limitations. The 4:05 and 4:25 inactives drop roughly 90 minutes before kickoff, so set early lineups with pivots ready.

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