Fantasy ADP Risers and Fallers: Isaac TeSlaa Climbs, Jordyn Tyson Slides (Week of August 25)
By Verdexed Analytics
The fantasy football market re-priced again this week. Between the August 24 and August 25 ADP snapshots, Isaac TeSlaa climbed 4.9 picks to an ADP of 162.8 while Jordyn Tyson slid 12.9 picks to 139.8. This is the weekly movement report from the Verdexed draft board: what drafters did over the last week, and where our projections agree with the crowd or push back against it.
Average draft position is the market's consensus, aggregated from real drafts, and it moves for real reasons: injuries, depth chart changes, camp reports, and simple herd momentum. A move of a few picks inside a week is genuine re-pricing, not noise. The Verdexed board blends our projection model with that market signal at weights that earned their keep in a published ten year backtest, so when the two disagree below, the gap is the story.
The market's risers
Players being drafted meaningfully earlier than a week ago, with our board's read on each move.
**Isaac TeSlaa (WR, DET)**: ADP 167.7 to 162.8, up 4.9 picks on the week. Our board was ahead of this one: he already sits WR75 for us, 5 spots ahead of where the market drafts his position.
**Jordan James (RB, SF)**: ADP 143.8 to 139.0, up 4.8 picks on the week. He is not in the ranked universe of our board this week, so we see the move as the market chasing a name our projections do not yet support.
**Darius Slayton (WR, NYG)**: ADP 183.2 to 178.9, up 4.3 picks on the week. We are cooler on the move: the board holds him at WR97, 4 spots behind where drafters are now taking him.
**Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI)**: ADP 105.0 to 101.0, up 4.0 picks on the week. The board roughly agrees, slotting him TE8.
**Caleb Douglas (WR, MIA)**: ADP 176.8 to 172.8, up 4.0 picks on the week. We are cooler on the move: the board holds him at WR117, 27 spots behind where drafters are now taking him. He is a rookie, so the error bars stay wide.
**Tre' Harris (WR, LAC)**: ADP 171.9 to 168.1, up 3.8 picks on the week. Our board was ahead of this one: he already sits WR80 for us, 7 spots ahead of where the market drafts his position. Note the Questionable tag on the injury report.
**Terrance Ferguson (TE, LAR)**: ADP 163.1 to 160.2, up 2.9 picks on the week. The board roughly agrees, slotting him TE23.
**Ty Johnson (RB, BUF)**: ADP 181.9 to 179.2, up 2.7 picks on the week. Our board was ahead of this one: he already sits RB63 for us, 5 spots ahead of where the market drafts his position. Note the Questionable tag on the injury report.
The market's fallers
Players sliding down draft boards, and whether we would catch the falling knife.
**Jordyn Tyson (WR, NO)**: ADP 126.9 to 139.8, down 12.9 picks on the week. The board roughly agrees, slotting him WR63. Note the Doubtful tag on the injury report.
**Malik Davis (RB, DAL)**: ADP 152.1 to 161.3, down 9.2 picks on the week. The board agrees with the fade and then some, ranking him RB69, 9 spots behind his market slot.
**James Conner (RB, ARI)**: ADP 161.1 to 169.1, down 8.0 picks on the week. Our board disagrees with the slide: he still ranks RB62 for us, 5 spots ahead of his market slot, which makes this dip a buying window. Note the Questionable tag on the injury report.
**Sam LaPorta (TE, DET)**: ADP 99.8 to 106.7, down 6.9 picks on the week. The board roughly agrees, slotting him TE10. Note the Questionable tag on the injury report.
**Oronde Gadsden (TE, LAC)**: ADP 146.7 to 153.3, down 6.6 picks on the week. The board roughly agrees, slotting him TE18.
**Keon Coleman (WR, BUF)**: ADP 96.2 to 102.1, down 5.9 picks on the week. The board roughly agrees, slotting him WR49. Note the Questionable tag on the injury report.
**Pat Bryant (WR, DEN)**: ADP 151.1 to 156.6, down 5.5 picks on the week. Our board disagrees with the slide: he still ranks WR67 for us, 6 spots ahead of his market slot, which makes this dip a buying window.
**Xavier Hutchinson (WR, HOU)**: ADP 167.8 to 172.5, down 4.7 picks on the week. The board agrees with the fade and then some, ranking him WR108, 19 spots behind his market slot.
Where the Verdexed board pushes back
Movement aside, these are this week's largest standing gaps between our blended ranks and the market's draft slots: the discounts we would target and the prices we would not pay.
**Brian Robinson (RB, ATL)**: the market drafts him RB64 at ADP 164.1; our blend ranks him RB53. That is a 11 spot discount on a player our projections like more than his price.
**Justice Hill (RB, BAL)**: the market drafts him RB66 at ADP 168.4; our blend ranks him RB55. That is a 11 spot discount on a player our projections like more than his price.
**Troy Franklin (WR, DEN)**: the market drafts him WR92 at ADP 177.2; our blend ranks him WR82. That is a 10 spot discount on a player our projections like more than his price.
**Bo Nix (QB, DEN)**: the market drafts him QB15 at ADP 111.9; our blend ranks him QB6. That is a 9 spot discount on a player our projections like more than his price.
**Dylan Sampson (RB, CLE)**: the market drafts him RB55 at ADP 157.7; our blend ranks him RB46. That is a 9 spot discount on a player our projections like more than his price.
**Najee Harris (RB, NYG)**: the market drafts him RB63 at ADP 163.6; our blend ranks him RB54. That is a 9 spot discount on a player our projections like more than his price.
**Mike Washington Jr. (RB, LV)**: drafters take him RB47 at ADP 148.2; our blend has him RB91, 44 spots later. Someone in your league will pay the sticker price. Let them.
**Cyrus Allen (WR, KC)**: drafters take him WR68 at ADP 150.2; our blend has him WR111, 43 spots later. Someone in your league will pay the sticker price. Let them.
**Jonah Coleman (RB, DEN)**: drafters take him RB50 at ADP 153.4; our blend has him RB90, 40 spots later. Someone in your league will pay the sticker price. Let them.
**Kaden Wetjen (WR, PIT)**: drafters take him WR88 at ADP 172.2; our blend has him WR126, 38 spots later. Someone in your league will pay the sticker price. Let them.
**Emmett Johnson (RB, KC)**: drafters take him RB61 at ADP 163.0; our blend has him RB96, 35 spots later. Someone in your league will pay the sticker price. Let them.
**Antonio Williams (WR, WAS)**: drafters take him WR77 at ADP 161.0; our blend has him WR105, 28 spots later. Someone in your league will pay the sticker price. Let them.
Our board moved too
The board rebuilds every Tuesday from fresh projections, depth charts, and injury data, so our own ranks move as well. The largest changes this week:
**Bub Means (WR, NO)**: climbed from WR116 to WR83 on our board this week. The Questionable designation is part of that math.
**Kimani Vidal (RB, LAC)**: climbed from RB74 to RB48 on our board this week.
**Keaton Mitchell (RB, LAC)**: climbed from RB70 to RB61 on our board this week. The Questionable designation is part of that math.
**Kayshon Boutte (WR, HOU)**: climbed from WR83 to WR77 on our board this week.
**MarShawn Lloyd (RB, GB)**: climbed from RB62 to RB58 on our board this week.
**Malik Davis (RB, DAL)**: fell from RB52 to RB69 on our board this week.
**Germie Bernard (WR, PIT)**: fell from WR93 to WR107 on our board this week.
**Xavier Hutchinson (WR, HOU)**: fell from WR97 to WR108 on our board this week.
**James Conner (RB, ARI)**: fell from RB54 to RB62 on our board this week. The Questionable designation is part of that math.
**Alec Pierce (WR, IND)**: fell from WR30 to WR35 on our board this week. The PUP designation is part of that math.
How to use this
The full board lives at the Verdexed draft board, free, with tiers, floor and ceiling bands, and value badges on every ranked player in PPR, half PPR, and standard scoring. It rebuilds weekly through draft season, and this movement report publishes after every rebuild. How the blend works, and the decade of receipts behind it, wins and losses both, is on the methodology page.
One honest caveat: ADP movement tells you what drafts will look like, not what the season will. Use the market's move to know when a player you want will actually be taken, and use the board's gaps to decide whether the price is worth paying.