NHL Power RankingsUpdated Nov 3
The season projection blended with results so far, weighted by games played. Early on the roster projection dominates; by mid-season the record carries most of the weight.
2026-27 season · updated November 3, 2026 · moves vs October 28, 2026 · week-by-week archive
| # | Wk | Team | Rating | Proj W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | +1.91 | 53.0 | |
| 2 | – | +1.49 | 48.7 | |
| 3 | – | +1.23 | 47.1 | |
| 4 | – | +1.14 | 44.3 | |
| 5 | ▲2 | +1.11 | 45.8 | |
| 6 | ▼1 | +0.92 | 47.7 | |
| 7 | ▲1 | +0.86 | 46.5 | |
| 8 | ▲3 | +0.69 | 49.6 | |
| 9 | ▲5 | +0.66 | 45.7 | |
| 10 | ▼1 | +0.66 | 46.1 | |
| 11 | ▼5 | +0.50 | 46.7 | |
| 12 | ▼2 | +0.42 | 46.0 | |
| 13 | – | +0.36 | 45.6 | |
| 14 | ▼2 | +0.15 | 43.6 | |
| 15 | ▲1 | +0.08 | 38.9 | |
| 16 | ▼1 | +0.01 | 40.5 | |
| 17 | – | +0.01 | 40.1 | |
| 18 | ▲2 | -0.04 | 43.9 | |
| 19 | ▼1 | -0.06 | 38.9 | |
| 20 | ▲2 | -0.14 | 40.5 | |
| 21 | ▲2 | -0.21 | 38.9 | |
| 22 | ▼3 | -0.40 | 40.3 | |
| 23 | ▲4 | -0.50 | 37.1 | |
| 24 | – | -0.51 | 40.7 | |
| 25 | ▲3 | -0.59 | 37.5 | |
| 26 | ▼5 | -0.67 | 39.1 | |
| 27 | ▼2 | -0.71 | 39.4 | |
| 28 | ▼2 | -1.07 | 39.0 | |
| 29 | ▲1 | -1.29 | 36.5 | |
| 30 | ▼1 | -1.63 | 35.1 | |
| 31 | – | -1.79 | 31.9 | |
| 32 | – | -2.53 | 29.1 |
The top five, as of Nov 3
- Carolina Hurricanes top the board at +1.91, 12-4 with a +1.6 goals per game margin, and a projection of 53.0 wins. The gap to Edmonton Oilers is 0.42 rating points, close to a coin flip between the two.
- Edmonton Oilers sit second at +1.49, 11-4 with a +1.3 goals per game margin, and a projection of 48.7 wins.
- Minnesota Wild sit third at +1.23, 11-6 with a +1.1 goals per game margin, and a projection of 47.1 wins.
- Boston Bruins sit fourth at +1.14, 10-5 with a +1.1 goals per game margin, and a projection of 44.3 wins.
- New Jersey Devils sit fifth at +1.11, 10-5 with a +0.6 goals per game margin, and a projection of 45.8 wins. Up 2 from last week.
Movers
Biggest riser: Montréal Canadiens, up 5 to #9. Biggest faller: Vegas Golden Knights, down 5 to #11. Moves are measured against the October 28, 2026 snapshot.
How the rating works
Every team starts the season at its projection: the daily simulation plays each roster through its actual schedule thousands of times, checked against the market's win totals, and that expected-wins figure is standardized against the league. As games are played, results (win percentage, scoring differential per game, last-10 form) blend in, weighted by games played, so a 1-0 week does not leapfrog a roster and a 6-2 start does move a team up. Positive means above average; the gap between two teams is a real strength difference, not a gut ranking.
Questions
How are the NHL power rankings computed?
Every team starts the season at its projection: a daily simulation plays each roster through its actual schedule thousands of times, checked against the market's win totals, and the expected-wins figure is standardized against the league. As games are played, results (win percentage, scoring differential per game, last-10 form) blend in, weighted by games played, so one week never leapfrogs a roster on its own.
How often are they updated?
Every day. The season projection is recomputed each morning, the ranking refreshes hourly, and one snapshot a day is kept, so the archive shows how the order moved through the season.
What does the rating number mean?
Standard deviations above (positive) or below (negative) the league average. A gap of 1.00 between two teams is a full standard deviation of strength, not a gut ordering; a gap of 0.10 is a coin flip.
Is this a prediction of who wins the NHL title?
No. The ranking is a strength read today. The projected standings page runs 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season for each team's projected record and best-record odds, and the playoff odds page turns that into a make-the-playoffs probability, last run November 3, 2026.