MLB Run Totals: Model vs Vegas Over/Under
The model's expected combined runs for every MLB game on the slate beside the Vegas total, with the lean where they disagree. Totals are a scoring-environment signal for DFS and research, not a proven market-beating edge; baseball totals are high-variance and the Vegas number is sharp.
No games with a posted total right now.
How to read this page
- Model total is the sum of both teams' expected runs from the same engine that prices the game, including the probable starters, the park and the bullpen state.
- A lean shows when the model sits at least half a run from the book. Treat it as context for DFS stacks and totals research rather than a bet on its own.
- The board refreshes with the morning projection run and again as starters are confirmed.