Everything is FREE until October 31free through October 31 →
Back to Blog
NewsMLB logoMLB2026-10-16

The Brewers Erase a 4-0 Hole to Sweep the Dodgers, and Milwaukee Gets a Week to Set Up Its First World Series Since 1982

By Verdexed MLB Desk

Tanner Scott in action
Photo: MLB.com (editorial)

The Milwaukee Brewers beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 6-4 in Game 4 of the National League Championship Series on Thursday night at Dodger Stadium, completing a four-game sweep and sending the franchise to its first World Series since 1982. Milwaukee trailed 4-0 after two innings, chipped back in the fourth and fifth, and took the lead for good on Garrett Mitchell's sixth-inning home run off Tanner Scott.

Jake Bauers was named NLCS MVP. The two-time defending champion Dodgers are done, and the Brewers now get a full week off before hosting Game 1 of the World Series on Friday, Oct. 23, against the winner of the Guardians-Rays ALCS, which Cleveland leads 2-1.

How Game 4 unfolded

Los Angeles looked ready to extend the series early. Shohei Ohtani hit a three-run homer off Dustin May in the second inning, his first home run in 58 days, as part of a four-run frame. Tyler Glasnow retired the first 10 Brewers he faced and appeared to be in control.

The fourth inning changed that. Brice Turang walked, and William Contreras and Bauers followed with ground-rule doubles, Bauers' worth two runs, to cut the lead to 4-2. In the fifth, Sal Frelick walked, stole second and scored on a David Hamilton single, and Glasnow was gone after recording 13 outs, with five of his final eight batters reaching. The Dodgers bullpen did not stop the bleeding: Evan Phillips issued two walks, one intentional, and Alex Vesia walked Bauers with the bases loaded to tie the game 4-4.

Mitchell's homer to center off Scott in the sixth put Milwaukee ahead, and Hamilton added a solo shot off Edwin Diaz in the ninth. May recovered from the second inning to finish three innings without further trouble, JoJo Romero threw two scoreless innings for the win, and Aaron Ashby closed with three scoreless innings for the save.

Game 4 pitcherTeamLine or result
Tyler GlasnowDodgers13 outs, retired first 10 batters
Tanner ScottDodgers1 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 2 K (loss)
JoJo RomeroBrewers2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 3 K (win)
Aaron AshbyBrewers3 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 3 K (save)

Bauers and a series the Brewers controlled late

Bauers drove in six runs in the series, tying the franchise record for a single postseason series, and had at least one hit in all four games. His fingerprints were on every win: a 12-pitch walk against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in Game 2 that set up Christian Yelich's go-ahead two-run single, the go-ahead two-run homer off Blake Snell on the 11th pitch of an at-bat in Game 3, and the double and bases-loaded walk on Thursday. He hit 26 home runs with 86 RBIs in the regular season and is the first LCS MVP in Brewers history.

The bigger theme was the late innings. Milwaukee won Game 1 by a run, pulled away late in Game 2, broke Game 3 open in the seventh and came from behind in Game 4. Milwaukee's relievers kept the Dodgers from adding on, and the Brewers' offense kept finding answers once Los Angeles reached its own bullpen. Ashby's three-inning save on Thursday was the clearest example of a relief corps that can cover length without losing effectiveness.

What the sweep means for the Dodgers

A sweep ends the Dodgers' bid for a third straight title in the most abrupt way possible. The lineup produced only in bursts, and the late-inning pitching, from Snell's seventh inning in Game 3 to Thursday's walks from Phillips and Vesia and the homer Scott allowed, will drive the offseason conversation in Los Angeles.

There is a broader offseason backdrop as well: the collective bargaining agreement expires on Dec. 1, which adds uncertainty to every team's winter plans. For dynasty fantasy managers, the Dodgers' pitching staff is the area to watch, because the front office's response to a bullpen collapse in October could reshape roles heading into 2027.

World Series outlook

Milwaukee will host Games 1 and 2 at American Family Field on Oct. 23 and 24. The series then shifts to the AL champion's park for Games 3, 4 and 5 (Oct. 26-28, the last if necessary), with Games 6 and 7 back in Milwaukee on Oct. 30 and 31 if needed. Fox will broadcast the series.

World Series gameDateSite
Game 1Fri., Oct. 23Milwaukee
Game 2Sat., Oct. 24Milwaukee
Game 3Mon., Oct. 26AL champion
Game 4Tue., Oct. 27AL champion
Game 5 (if needed)Wed., Oct. 28AL champion
Game 6 (if needed)Fri., Oct. 30Milwaukee
Game 7 (if needed)Sat., Oct. 31Milwaukee

The week off is the most important variable. Milwaukee can reset its rotation completely, which means Jacob Misiorowski, who started NLCS Game 1 and allowed one run over 4 1/3 innings, is the logical Game 1 option on full rest. The Brewers have not announced a World Series starter. The rest also lets Pat Murphy reload the bullpen arms that carried the NLCS, including Ashby and Romero.

The flip side is rust. Hitters who were locked in against Dodgers pitching will go eight days between games, while the AL champion could arrive having played as recently as Oct. 21 or 22 depending on how long the ALCS runs and whether rain pushes it back.

Betting angle

Sportsbooks installed the Brewers as clear World Series favorites after the sweep, with Cleveland and Tampa Bay well behind. Prices differ by book and have moved with each ALCS game, so the exact number depends on when and where a bettor shops. Milwaukee's case is home field, a rested bullpen and a lineup that just dismantled the two-time champions. The case against laying a short price this early is that the Brewers' opponent and their Game 1 starter are both unknown.

The most actionable angle is timing. If the ALCS goes six or seven games, the AL champion will arrive with a taxed staff, which strengthens Milwaukee's position. If Cleveland closes it out quickly, the Guardians get rest of their own and Gavin Williams, who has 33 strikeouts in 16 2/3 postseason innings, could line up for Game 1. Bettors leaning toward Milwaukee may get a better number if the AL champion is rested and the market tightens. Verdexed's full game-by-game model card lives at MLB predictions.

DFS and props angle

For World Series single-game and showdown contests, the Brewers' core bats project to carry heavy ownership: Bauers, Contreras, Jackson Chourio and Turang were the engine of the NLCS. Hamilton and Mitchell, Thursday's home run heroes, are cheaper ways to get Milwaukee exposure without the chalk. On the pitching side, Misiorowski is the strikeout upside play if he gets Game 1, though Milwaukee's quick hooks this October cap the innings for any Brewers starter.

For series props, Bauers' MVP run makes him a popular World Series MVP ticket, but the market will likely already reflect that. Contreras, who chased Yamamoto in Game 2 and doubled in the Game 4 comeback, offers a similar profile at a position that plays every day.

What's next

The Brewers wait. Game 4 of the ALCS is set for Friday night in Cleveland, weather permitting, with Nick Martinez starting for Tampa Bay against a Guardians bullpen game. Milwaukee's opponent will be decided by early next week at the latest, and Game 1 of the World Series is Friday, Oct. 23, at American Family Field.

Want more analysis?

Check out our predictions and DFS tools powered by the same quantitative engine.