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Start/SitNFL logoNFL2026-11-05

NFL Week 9 Prep Guide: Matthew Stafford is a start, 63 injury calls and 9 waiver adds

By Verdexed Analytics

Matthew Stafford has three fantasy efforts of more than 20 points, but three others with fewer than 10.
Photo: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images, via ESPN (editorial)

Week 9 runs from Thursday Nov 5 to Monday Nov 9, 15 games. On bye: Pittsburgh Steelers, Tennessee Titans. Thursday night is Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens (BAL +10.0, total 39.5), so those lineups lock first.

Everything below comes from the model's two boards: this week's rankings (each player's season-long expectation times the matchup: his team's implied total, the opponent's defence against the position, wind and the crew) and the rest-of-season board (the season board with this year's games folded in and today's injury report applied). Scoring is PPR. Projections are points this week; the range is the floor and ceiling the board carries.

The slate

GameDayLineTotalImplied (away / home)
JAX at BALThursday Nov 5BAL +10.039.524.8 / 14.8
CIN at ATLSunday Nov 8ATL +3.052.527.8 / 24.8
CLE at NOSunday Nov 8NO -3.042.519.8 / 22.8
DAL at INDSunday Nov 8IND +5.551.528.5 / 23.0
DEN at CARSunday Nov 8CAR +2.544.523.5 / 21.0
DET at MIASunday Nov 8MIA +7.050.528.8 / 21.8
LAR at WSHSunday Nov 8WSH +4.548.526.5 / 22.0
NYG at PHISunday Nov 8PHI +3.538.521.0 / 17.5
NYJ at KCSunday Nov 8KC -10.047.518.8 / 28.8
HOU at LACSunday Nov 8LAC +4.540.522.5 / 18.0
LV at SFSunday Nov 8SF -10.052.521.2 / 31.2
ARI at SEASunday Nov 8SEA -8.539.515.5 / 24.0
GB at NESunday Nov 8NE -3.545.521.0 / 24.5
TB at CHISunday Nov 8CHI -6.047.520.8 / 26.8
BUF at MINMonday Nov 9MIN +3.545.524.5 / 21.0

Start them

Each position's top of the week, then the matchup calls: players ranked as starters this week and well above their rest-of-season standing. The last column is the player's rest-of-season rank at the position, so a wide gap is the matchup talking.

Quarterbacks

#PlayerCallTeamOppProjRangeMatchupROS
1Joe BurrowMust startCIN@ ATL26.614.6 to 42.61.20QB2
2Brock PurdyMust startSFvs LV23.512.9 to 37.71.20QB4
3Caleb WilliamsMust startCHIvs TB22.912.6 to 36.71.20QB5
4Jared GoffStartDET@ MIA22.012.1 to 35.11.16QB6
5Patrick MahomesStartKCvs NYJ21.711.9 to 34.81.16QB9
6Dak PrescottStartDAL@ IND21.311.7 to 34.21.17QB10
7Josh AllenStartBUF@ MIN20.911.5 to 33.41.00QB1
8Kirk CousinsStartLV@ SF20.011.0 to 32.00.92QB3
9Drake MayeStartNEvs GB19.610.8 to 31.31.04QB8
10Matthew StaffordStartLAR@ WSH19.110.5 to 30.51.18QB21

Matchup starts at quarterbacks: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.

PlayerCallTeamOppThis weekROSProjWhy
Matthew StaffordStartLAR@ WSHQB10QB2119.1WSH has allowed the 8th-most points to quarterbacks; LAR is implied for 26.5 points; the game-log projection (18.8) sits above his season number (16.2).
Patrick MahomesStartKCvs NYJQB5QB921.7KC is implied for 28.8 points; the game-log projection (23.3) sits above his season number (18.4).
Dak PrescottStartDAL@ INDQB6QB1021.3DAL is implied for 28.5 points; the game-log projection (21.5) sits above his season number (18.1).

Running backs

#PlayerCallTeamOppProjRangeMatchupROS
1Jahmyr GibbsMust startDET@ MIA28.915.9 to 46.21.17RB1
2Kenneth Walker IIIMust startKCvs NYJ25.113.8 to 40.11.20RB4
3Bijan RobinsonMust startATLvs CIN24.213.3 to 38.71.16RB2
4Christian McCaffrey (Questionable)Start if activeSFvs LV24.013.2 to 38.41.19RB3
5Kyren WilliamsMust startLAR@ WSH19.010.5 to 30.51.14RB8
6Jonathan TaylorMust startINDvs DAL18.510.2 to 29.61.08RB6
7James CookStartBUF@ MIN18.510.2 to 29.61.04RB5
8D'Andre SwiftStartCHIvs TB18.09.9 to 28.81.14RB13
9Javonte WilliamsStartDAL@ IND16.99.3 to 27.01.13RB16
10Chase BrownStartCIN@ ATL16.89.3 to 26.91.14RB15
11Ashton JeantyStartLV@ SF16.18.8 to 25.70.97RB11
12Jonah ColemanStartDEN@ CAR15.38.4 to 24.51.12RB37
13Bucky IrvingStartTB@ CHI15.28.3 to 24.20.92RB9
14Bhayshul Tuten (Questionable)Start if activeJAX@ BAL14.98.2 to 23.81.05RB17
15Chuba HubbardStartCARvs DEN14.98.2 to 23.80.89RB10

Matchup starts at running backs: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.

PlayerCallTeamOppThis weekROSProjWhy
Zach CharbonnetStartSEAvs ARIRB23RB3312.7The matchup multiplier is 1.10.
Aaron JonesStartMINvs BUFRB18RB2713.2BUF has allowed the 6th-most points to running backs; the game-log projection (16.3) sits above his season number (12.8).
Rhamondre StevensonStartNEvs GBRB17RB2514.3The matchup multiplier is 1.11.
TreVeyon Henderson (Questionable)Start if activeNEvs GBRB30RB3811.1Listed Questionable.
Javonte WilliamsStartDAL@ INDRB9RB1616.9DAL is implied for 28.5 points; the game-log projection (18.2) sits above his season number (14.7).

Wide receivers

#PlayerCallTeamOppProjRangeMatchupROS
1Puka NacuaMust startLAR@ WSH25.714.1 to 41.11.20WR2
2Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMust startSEAvs ARI25.013.7 to 40.01.09WR1
3CeeDee LambMust startDAL@ IND22.612.4 to 36.21.15WR4
4Ja'Marr ChaseMust startCIN@ ATL22.412.3 to 35.81.20WR5
5Tee HigginsMust startCIN@ ATL22.212.2 to 35.61.20WR6
6Amon-Ra St. Brown (Questionable)Start if activeDET@ MIA19.810.9 to 31.71.06WR3
7Chris OlaveMust startNOvs CLE18.510.2 to 29.51.02WR8
8Drake LondonMust startATLvs CIN17.09.3 to 27.21.05WR13
9George Pickens (Questionable)Start if activeDAL@ IND16.99.3 to 27.11.15WR17
10Rashee Rice (Questionable)Start if activeKCvs NYJ16.79.2 to 26.71.15WR16
11Malik NabersStartNYG@ PHI16.59.1 to 26.40.90WR7
12Luther Burden IIIStartCHIvs TB16.39.0 to 26.11.11WR18
13Nico CollinsStartHOU@ LAC16.08.8 to 25.61.00WR9
14Mike Evans (Questionable)Start if activeSFvs LV15.28.4 to 24.41.12WR27
15Parker WashingtonStartJAX@ BAL15.18.3 to 24.11.11WR26

Matchup starts at receivers: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.

PlayerCallTeamOppThis weekROSProjWhy
Jaylen WaddleStartDEN@ CARWR31WR4912.0The matchup multiplier is 1.01.
Xavier WorthyStartKCvs NYJWR29WR4412.2KC is implied for 28.8 points.
Josh DownsStartINDvs DALWR37WR5211.7DAL has allowed the most points to receivers.
Mike Evans (Questionable)Start if activeSFvs LVWR14WR2715.2SF is implied for 31.2 points; listed Questionable.
A.J. Brown (Questionable)Start if activeNEvs GBWR25WR3713.3Listed Questionable.

Tight ends

#PlayerCallTeamOppProjRangeMatchupROS
1Brock BowersMust startLV@ SF18.210.0 to 29.10.94TE1
2George KittleMust startSFvs LV17.29.5 to 27.51.15TE3
3Trey McBrideMust startARI@ SEA17.09.3 to 27.20.90TE2
4Sam LaPortaStartDET@ MIA15.18.3 to 24.21.18TE4
5Colston LovelandStartCHIvs TB14.17.7 to 22.51.20TE9
6Travis Kelce (Questionable)Start if activeKCvs NYJ14.07.7 to 22.41.12TE5
7Tyler WarrenStartINDvs DAL12.16.6 to 19.30.98TE7
8Harold Fannin Jr.StartCLE@ NO12.06.6 to 19.20.90TE6

Matchup starts at tight ends: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.

PlayerCallTeamOppThis weekROSProjWhy
Kyle PittsStartATLvs CINTE9TE2211.5CIN has allowed the 3rd-most points to tight ends; the game-log projection (14.6) sits above his season number (9.1).
Colston LovelandStartCHIvs TBTE5TE914.1TB has allowed the most points to tight ends; CHI is implied for 26.8 points.

Sit them, or at least think twice

Usual starters (rest-of-season top 12 at QB, 30 at RB, 42 at WR, 12 at TE) whose week ranks well below their standing, who carry an injury designation, or whose matchup sits at the bottom of the range. A sit here means the bench option with a better week, not a drop.

Quarterbacks

PlayerCallTeamOppProjUsualThis weekWhy
Josh AllenSitBUF@ MIN20.9QB1QB7MIN has allowed the fewest points to quarterbacks; the game-log projection (16.8) sits below his season number (21.8).

Running backs

PlayerCallTeamOppProjUsualThis weekWhy
Ben VanSumerenSitKCvs NYJ3.4RB21RB68No single factor (multiplier 1.20); the running backs ranked above him have the better week.
Breece Hall (Questionable)SitNYJ@ KC12.8RB12RB20KC has allowed the 3rd-fewest points to running backs; NYJ is implied for only 18.8 points; the game-log projection (11.0) sits below his season number (16.5); listed Questionable.
Cam Skattebo (Questionable)SitNYG@ PHI12.3RB19RB24The game-log projection (10.9) sits below his season number (13.9); listed Questionable.
Christian McCaffrey (Questionable)SitSFvs LV24.0RB3RB4Listed Questionable.
Kyle Monangai (Questionable)SitCHIvs TB14.6RB18RB16The game-log projection (8.0) sits below his season number (14.3); listed Questionable.
Bhayshul Tuten (Questionable)SitJAX@ BAL14.9RB17RB14BAL has allowed the 8th-fewest points to running backs; listed Questionable.

Wide receivers

PlayerCallTeamOppProjUsualThis weekWhy
Theo Wease Jr.SitLACvs HOU4.2WR34WR102LAC is implied for only 18.0 points; the game-log projection (2.8) sits below his season number (13.3).
Caleb DouglasSitMIAvs DET9.3WR19WR49No single factor (multiplier 1.02); the receivers ranked above him have the better week.
Malik WashingtonSitMIAvs DET11.7WR12WR38No single factor (multiplier 1.02); the receivers ranked above him have the better week.
DeVonta Smith (Questionable)SitPHIvs NYG12.6WR14WR27NYG has allowed the 5th-fewest points to receivers; PHI is implied for only 17.5 points; the game-log projection (12.1) sits below his season number (15.8); listed Questionable.
Garrett Wilson (Questionable)SitNYJ@ KC11.9WR20WR33KC has allowed the fewest points to receivers; NYJ is implied for only 18.8 points; the game-log projection (11.7) sits below his season number (15.0); listed Questionable.
Michael Wilson (Questionable)SitARI@ SEA12.2WR24WR28SEA has allowed the 6th-fewest points to receivers; ARI is implied for only 15.5 points; listed Questionable.

Tight ends

PlayerCallTeamOppProjUsualThis weekWhy
Travis Kelce (Questionable)SitKCvs NYJ14.0TE5TE6Listed Questionable.
Tucker KraftSitGB@ NE10.2TE10TE13No single factor (multiplier 0.89); the tight ends ranked above him have the better week.
Harold Fannin Jr.SitCLE@ NO12.0TE6TE8No single factor (multiplier 0.90); the tight ends ranked above him have the better week.
Isaiah LikelySitNYG@ PHI11.0TE8TE10PHI has allowed the 5th-fewest points to tight ends.
Trey McBrideSitARI@ SEA17.0TE2TE3ARI is implied for only 15.5 points.

Injury report

Every designation on a fantasy-relevant player as of 2026-11-05 15:20 UTC, with the next man up on the team's depth chart and his projection this week. Thursday designations move through Friday's final report; the live list is on the NFL injury report.

Out

PlayerPosTeamStatusROSNext man upNote
Brandon AiyukWRSFOutWR21-Per his agent Drew Rosenhaus, Aiyuk "is healthy and ready to get back on the field." Meanwhile, Schefter adds that once the wideout...
Davante AdamsWRLARInjured ReserveWR31-Adams tweaked his hamstring on the Rams' final offensive possession of a Week 6 loss to the Cardinals on Oct.
James ConnerRBARIInjured ReserveRB20-Though LaFleur said last week that Conner could "potentially" play this season, that won't happen in Week 9.
Travis EtienneRBNOInjured ReserveRB24-Etienne has missed the required four games on IR due to a strained left hamstring, but even with the benefit of a Week 8 bye, he hasn't...
RJ HarveyRBDENInjured ReserveRB29-Harvey was already ruled out for Sunday's contest against the Chiefs, but now that he's on IR, the second-year running back will be...
Sam DarnoldQBSEAOutQB32-In addition to a quad issue that Darnold sustained late in Monday's loss to the Bears, Macdonald revealed that the quarterback suffered a...
Jordyn TysonWRNOInjured ReserveWR58-The rookie first-round pick hadn't practiced since Aug.
David MontgomeryRBHOUOutRB42Dare Ogunbowale (3.1 proj)Montgomery missed Houston's last two games before a Week 8 bye, and he doesn't look like he'll be ready to return to action any sooner than...
Xavier LegetteWRCARInjured ReserveWR73-Canales noted that Legette still has some checkpoints he needs to hit in his recovery process before getting the green light to practice...
Jonathon BrooksRBCARInjured ReserveRB50-The Panthers haven't yet opened Brooks' 21-day practice window, but that might happen soon after head coach Dave Canales said Monday that...
Alec PierceWRINDInjured ReserveWR93-Steichen said that Pierce, who has been on IR since Sept.
Terrance FergusonTELARInjured ReserveTE39-The Rams opened Ferguson's 21-day practice window Wednesday, as he looks to return from injured reserve for Sunday's game against the...
Jeremiyah LoveRBARIInjured ReserveRB67-Love's move to IR was fully expected, after Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reported earlier Tuesday that the rookie first-round pick was...
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RBNYGInjured ReserveRB71-Just as general manager Joe Schoen indicated would be the case earlier in the day, Tracy was deactivated after straining his hamstring...
De'Zhaun StriblingWRSFInjured ReserveWR149-Stribling, who garnered his share of preseason fantasy buzz, was injured in the 49ers' Week 1 win over the Rams, but it appears as though...
Zachariah BranchWRATLOutWR167-The same applies to LB Samson Ebukam, with Josh Kendall of The Athletic relaying via Stefanski that either or both of the injured players...
Isiah PachecoRBDETInjured ReserveRB118-Pacheco has been sidelined for the entirety of the regular season to this point after undergoing back surgery in September.
De'Von AchaneRBMIAIRRB119--
Jaxson DartQBNYGIRQB86--
Lamar JacksonQBBALOutQB87--
Jalen HurtsQBPHIIRQB88--
Tank DellWRHOUInjured ReserveWR195-Dell made his return to action after missing nearly two full years while recovering from a dislocated kneecap and a series of torn...
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRBWSHInjured ReserveRB120-roster flag Injured Reserve
Romeo DoubsWRNEIRWR197--
Jayden ReedWRGBIRWR198--
Jalen McMillanWRTBIRWR204--
Jordan MasonRBMINInjured ReserveRB125Aaron Jones Sr. (13.2 proj)Playing in his second game since returning from an IR stint due to a thumb injury, Mason paced the Vikings' ground attack in carries but...
Malik DavisRBDALIRRB126--
Tank BigsbyRBPHIInjured ReserveRB131-roster flag Injured Reserve
Terry McLaurinWRWSHInjured ReserveWR221-The surgery was conducted in New York, and McLaurin has already been ruled out for the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jaylin NoelWRHOUInjured ReserveWR222-Noel was forced out of this past Sunday's 27-21 overtime loss to the Giants after going down with the toe injury with just under nine...

Questionable

PlayerPosTeamStatusROSNext man upNote
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDETQuestionableWR3DeAndre Carter (3.9 proj)St.
Christian McCaffreyRBSFQuestionableRB3Kaelon Black (6.3 proj)Three key vets are not taking part in the first practice out of the bye Wednesday as McCaffrey, Mike Evans (Achilles/ribs) and Deebo Samuel...
DeVonta SmithWRPHIQuestionableWR14Hollywood BrownSmith's lack of activity to kick off Week 9 prep doesn't come as a surprise, as he wasn't present during the media-access portion of...
Christian WatsonWRGBQuestionableWR15J. Michael Sturdivant (1.5 proj)After making a visit to the hospital during last Thursday's win against the Panthers, Watson was able to return and finished with eight...
Breece HallRBNYJQuestionableRB12Braelon Allen (9.5 proj)Hall, who hasn't played since Sept.
Rashee RiceWRKCQuestionableWR16Nikko Remigio (1.2 proj)Rice got back in the fold in Week 8 to the tune of an 7-53-1 line after missing time with a hamstring injury, and he is limited to start...
George PickensWRDALQuestionableWR17Camden Brown (1.7 proj)Pickens was limited by shoulder and hamstring injuries last week, but he was able to suit up this past Sunday against the Cardinals...
Garrett WilsonWRNYJQuestionableWR20Malik McClain (0.7 proj)Per Eric Allen of the Jets' official site, Wilson experienced symptoms of a concussion when he was evaluated Monday after taking a hard hit...
Michael WilsonWRARIQuestionableWR24Harrison Wallace III (1.8 proj)After Wilson continued to wear a yellow non-contact jersey at Wednesday's session, his ensuing activity level mimics what transpired last...
Mike EvansWRSFQuestionableWR27Jacob Cowing (6.8 proj)Evans sat out a Week 7 loss in Atlanta after aggravating a right Achilles injury in Week 6 against the Commanders, and while there's an...
Travis KelceTEKCQuestionableTE5Noah Gray (5.6 proj)Kelce logged a limited session this past Thursday before practicing fully a day later.
Bhayshul TutenRBJAXQuestionableRB17Chris Rodriguez Jr. (6.8 proj)For the third day in a row, Tuten went down as a non-participant on the Jaguars' injury report, even though head coach Liam Coen suggested...
Emeka EgbukaWRTBQuestionableWR29Kameron JohnsonEgbuka, who last suited up for game action in Week 6, was limited at practice last Wednesday and Thursday before logging a DNP on Friday.
Kyle MonangaiRBCHIQuestionableRB18Roschon JohnsonMonangai continues to be listed as a DNP due to the turf-toe injury that's held him out of the last four games.
Cam SkatteboRBNYGQuestionableRB19Devin Singletary (6.2 proj)The Giants are coming off of their bye and preparing for the Eagles, and Skattebo was not available to practice as the week got underway.
Deebo Samuel Sr.WRSFQuestionableWR32Jacob Cowing (6.8 proj)Samuel injured his right hamstring during a Week 5 win at Seattle, resulting in two missed games before the 49ers' Week 8 bye.
A.J. BrownWRNEQuestionableWR37Kyle Williams (6.7 proj)Brown was sidelined for New England's Week 8 win over Miami, and with another absence from practice on tap, the wideout's status for...
DJ MooreWRBUFQuestionableWR38Greg DortchThat's encouraging, but Moore's status will nonetheless be worth monitoring ahead of the Bills' Nov.
Alvin KamaraRBNOQuestionableRB28Kendre Miller (6.5 proj)The Saints cited rest and a back injury -- the latter of which impacted his practice reps in each of the three games before the team's Week...
Deshaun WatsonQBCLEQuestionableQB15-Early in this past Sunday's 27-6 loss to the Steelers, Watson exited the game to get checked for a concussion following a helmet-to-helmet...
Kyler MurrayQBMINQuestionableQB19-O'Connell was non-committal about Murray being available for next Monday's game against the Bills, noting that the Vikings aren't "there...
Saquon BarkleyRBPHIQuestionableRB34Jaydon Blue (5.5 proj)Barkley's DNP to begin Week 9 prep was forecast by his lack of presence during the open portion of Wednesday's session.
TreVeyon HendersonRBNEQuestionableRB38Corey Kiner (5.5 proj)Henderson also didn't practice this past Thursday and Friday, and then missed the Patriots' Week 8 win over the Dolphins.
Drew LockQBSEAQuestionableQB34-Siciliano adds that Lock has an elbow injury that the team will manage during the week, but he's nonetheless set to get the starting...
Christian KirkWRSFQuestionableWR61Jacob Cowing (6.8 proj)It's a new injury for Kirk, who made his season debut in Week 7 against the Falcons after missing the first six games with a calf injury.
Hunter HenryTENEQuestionableTE19Eli Raridon (3.7 proj)Henry was unable to return to Sunday's 24-19 win over the Dolphins after exiting in the second quarter due to the foot issue.
Dontayvion WicksWRPHIQuestionableWR66Hollywood BrownWicks hasn't practiced due to an ankle injury since preparation for a Week 6 matchup with the Panthers, missing the last two games in the...
Denzel BostonWRCLEQuestionableWR69Isaiah Bond (3.2 proj)Boston made appearances on the injury report in Weeks 6 and 7 due to a foot issue, but he's tending to a new health concern coming out of...
Kenny GainwellRBTBQuestionableRB45Sean TuckerGainwell sustained a hip injury during the Buccaneers' Week 7 win at Carolina, but he played through the issue en route to 14 carries for...
Rashid ShaheedWRSEAQuestionableWR74Tory Horton (4.0 proj)Shaheed missed Monday night's loss to the Bears, which allowed Tory Horton to log a season-high 43 offensive snaps, which he turned into a...
Jake FergusonTEDALQuestionableTE30Brevyn Spann-Ford (3.4 proj)As expected, Ferguson was unavailable for practice as he worked off to the side with the team's training staff.
Brian RobinsonRBATLQuestionableRB48Trey SermonAfter landing in Spain early Wednesday in advance of Sunday's game versus the Bengals in Madrid, the Falcons opted to hold a walkthrough...

Matchups to target and avoid

The matchup multiplier by team and position, best and worst on the slate (1.00 is a neutral week; the range is 0.80 to 1.20). It folds in the team's implied total, the opponent's defence against the position over the last season, the wind and the crew.

PositionTargetAvoid
QuarterbacksCIN @ ATL (1.20), SF vs LV (1.20), CHI vs TB (1.20)ARI @ SEA (0.82), NYJ @ KC (0.82), LAC vs HOU (0.83)
Running backsKC vs NYJ (1.20), SF vs LV (1.19), DET @ MIA (1.17)ARI @ SEA (0.80), LAC vs HOU (0.80), NYJ @ KC (0.80)
Wide receiversLAR @ WSH (1.20), CIN @ ATL (1.20), DAL @ IND (1.15)NYJ @ KC (0.80), PHI vs NYG (0.81), ARI @ SEA (0.82)
Tight endsCHI vs TB (1.20), LAR @ WSH (1.20), DAL @ IND (1.19)PHI vs NYG (0.80), LAC vs HOU (0.81), MIN vs BUF (0.86)

Implied team totals, from the lines above: SF 31.2 (vs LV), DET 28.8 (@ MIA), KC 28.8 (vs NYJ), DAL 28.5 (@ IND), CIN 27.8 (@ ATL) at the top; BAL 14.8 (vs JAX), ARI 15.5 (@ SEA), PHI 17.5 (vs NYG), LAC 18.0 (vs HOU), NYJ 18.8 (@ KC) at the bottom.

Waiver wire

Undrafted means no market ADP, or an ADP past 150: on the wire in most leagues. Adds rank as starters this week; stashes are players the rest-of-season board rates, and the backs behind flagged starters.

Add and start

PlayerCallPosTeamOppProjThis weekROSWhy
Kirk CousinsAddQBLV@ SF20.0QB8QB3The game-log projection (20.0) sits above his season number (15.5).
Jonah ColemanAddRBDEN@ CAR15.3RB12RB37CAR has allowed the most points to running backs; the game-log projection (15.3) sits above his season number (7.7).
Ryan FlournoyAddWRDAL@ IND11.8WR36WR53DAL is implied for 28.5 points.
Malik WashingtonAddWRMIAvs DET11.7WR38WR12DET has allowed the 2nd-most points to receivers; the game-log projection (15.9) sits above his season number (10.4).
Devaughn VeleAddWRNOvs CLE11.7WR39WR43The matchup multiplier is 1.02.
Ollie Gordon IIAddRBMIAvs DET11.7RB25RB32The game-log projection (11.7) sits above his season number (9.3).
Josh JacobsAddRBGB@ NE11.7RB26RB35The matchup multiplier is 0.87.
Dylan SampsonAddRBCLE@ NO11.2RB28RB26NO has allowed the 8th-most points to running backs.
Brenton StrangeAddTEJAX@ BAL10.5TE12TE12The matchup multiplier is 1.03.

Streaming defences

Priced from the line: the opponent's implied points, home field and how heavily the defence's own team is favoured.

DefenceCallOppOpp impliedProj
SEA D/STStreamvs ARI15.59.2
JAX D/STStream@ BAL14.89.1
KC D/STStreamvs NYJ18.88.5
HOU D/STStream@ LAC18.07.9
SF D/STStreamvs LV21.27.9
NYG D/STStream@ PHI17.57.9

Stash

PlayerCallPosTeamROSROS pts/gWhy
Caleb DouglasStashWRMIAWR1915.0The rest-of-season board has him WR19, 15.0 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
C.J. StroudStashQBHOUQB1118.1The rest-of-season board has him QB11, 18.1 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Michael Penix Jr.StashQBATLQB1217.9The rest-of-season board has him QB12, 17.9 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Malik WillisStashQBMIAQB1615.6The rest-of-season board has him QB16, 15.6 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Bryce YoungStashQBCARQB1815.4The rest-of-season board has him QB18, 15.4 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Joe Milton IIIStashQBPHIQB2315.3The rest-of-season board has him QB23, 15.3 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
J.J. McCarthyStashQBNYGQB2413.6The rest-of-season board has him QB24, 13.6 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.
Daniel JonesStashQBINDQB2514.8The rest-of-season board has him QB25, 14.8 a game from here, and nobody drafted him.

Buy and sell

Production so far against the board's projection from here, for rostered players. A buy has produced less than the board expects, so his price is set by box scores the model does not think will hold; a sell is the reverse. Games is this season's sample.

Buy

PlayerCallPosTeamSeason pts/gGamesROS pts/gROSGap
Baker MayfieldBuyQBTB10.3514.4QB26+4.1
Omarion HamptonBuyRBLAC8.7712.6RB30+3.9
Ladd McConkeyBuyWRLAC9.1612.4WR35+3.3
Jordan AddisonBuyWRMIN8.2611.1WR45+2.9
Xavier WorthyBuyWRKC8.2711.2WR44+2.9
Ja'Marr ChaseBuyWRCIN16.9719.5WR5+2.6
Justin HerbertBuyQBLAC12.9715.4QB17+2.5
Colston LovelandBuyTECHI9.4811.9TE9+2.5

Sell

PlayerCallPosTeamSeason pts/gGamesROS pts/gROSGap
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSellWRSEA26.3823.8WR1-2.5

How this guide is built

The weekly board is each player's season-long expectation times this week's matchup, with the DFS game-log projection folded in as a recency term; the rest-of-season board is the season board with this year's games blended in and the injury feed applied. Both are rebuilt every morning and live on the NFL rankings page; the designations are on the injury report and the model's game picks on the predictions page. Lines are quoted for the implied totals only. This is a fantasy guide, not betting advice.

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