Week 10 runs from Thursday Nov 12 to Monday Nov 16, 14 games. On bye: Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Philadelphia Eagles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Thursday night is Washington Commanders at New York Giants (NYG -2.5, total 40.5), so those lineups lock first.
Everything below comes from the model's two boards: this week's rankings (each player's season-long expectation times the matchup: his team's implied total, the opponent's defence against the position, wind and the crew) and the rest-of-season board (the season board with this year's games folded in and today's injury report applied). Scoring is PPR. Projections are points this week; the range is the floor and ceiling the board carries.
The slate
| Game | Day | Line | Total | Implied (away / home) |
|---|
| WSH at NYG | Thursday Nov 12 | NYG -2.5 | 40.5 | 19.0 / 21.5 |
| NE at DET | Sunday Nov 15 | DET -2.5 | 51.5 | 24.5 / 27.0 |
| BUF at NYJ | Sunday Nov 15 | NYJ +8.5 | 50.5 | 29.5 / 21.0 |
| CAR at NO | Sunday Nov 15 | NO -2.5 | 48.5 | 23.0 / 25.5 |
| HOU at CLE | Sunday Nov 15 | CLE +4.5 | 41.5 | 23.0 / 18.5 |
| JAX at TEN | Sunday Nov 15 | TEN +10.5 | 46.5 | 28.5 / 18.0 |
| KC at ATL | Sunday Nov 15 | ATL +3.0 | 46.5 | 24.8 / 21.8 |
| MIA at IND | Sunday Nov 15 | IND -3.5 | 38.5 | 17.5 / 21.0 |
| MIN at GB | Sunday Nov 15 | GB -3.0 | 42.5 | 19.8 / 22.8 |
| LAR at ARI | Sunday Nov 15 | ARI +9.5 | 39.5 | 24.5 / 15.0 |
| SEA at LV | Sunday Nov 15 | LV +6.5 | 40.5 | 23.5 / 17.0 |
| SF at DAL | Sunday Nov 15 | DAL +3.5 | 55.5 | 29.5 / 26.0 |
| PIT at CIN | Sunday Nov 15 | CIN -3.5 | 49.5 | 23.0 / 26.5 |
| LAC at BAL | Monday Nov 16 | BAL -4.5 | 38.5 | 17.0 / 21.5 |
Start them
Each position's top of the week, then the matchup calls: players ranked as starters this week and well above their rest-of-season standing. The last column is the player's rest-of-season rank at the position, so a wide gap is the matchup talking.
Quarterbacks
| # | Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Matchup | ROS |
|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow | Must start | CIN | vs PIT | 25.6 | 14.1 to 41.0 | 1.19 | QB2 |
| 2 | Josh Allen | Must start | BUF | @ NYJ | 24.3 | 13.4 to 38.9 | 1.15 | QB1 |
| 3 | Brock Purdy | Must start | SF | @ DAL | 23.5 | 12.9 to 37.7 | 1.20 | QB3 |
| 4 | Patrick Mahomes (Questionable) | Start if active | KC | @ ATL | 22.3 | 12.2 to 35.6 | 1.18 | QB8 |
| 5 | Drake Maye | Start | NE | @ DET | 22.1 | 12.1 to 35.3 | 1.16 | QB7 |
| 6 | Trevor Lawrence | Start | JAX | @ TEN | 20.5 | 11.3 to 32.7 | 1.18 | QB13 |
| 7 | Dak Prescott | Start | DAL | vs SF | 20.1 | 11.1 to 32.2 | 1.12 | QB9 |
| 8 | Tyler Shough | Start | NO | vs CAR | 19.5 | 10.7 to 31.2 | 1.12 | QB11 |
| 9 | Jared Goff (Questionable) | Start if active | DET | vs NE | 19.1 | 10.5 to 30.6 | 1.09 | QB10 |
| 10 | Matthew Stafford | Start | LAR | @ ARI | 18.6 | 10.2 to 29.7 | 1.16 | QB21 |
Matchup starts at quarterbacks: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | This week | ROS | Proj | Why |
|---|
| Matthew Stafford | Start | LAR | @ ARI | QB10 | QB21 | 18.6 | ARI has allowed the 4th-most points to quarterbacks; the game-log projection (18.8) sits above his season number (15.9). |
| Trevor Lawrence | Start | JAX | @ TEN | QB6 | QB13 | 20.5 | JAX is implied for 28.5 points; the game-log projection (21.1) sits above his season number (17.2). |
| Patrick Mahomes (Questionable) | Start if active | KC | @ ATL | QB4 | QB8 | 22.3 | ATL has allowed the most points to quarterbacks; the game-log projection (24.7) sits above his season number (18.3); listed Questionable. |
Running backs
| # | Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Matchup | ROS |
|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | Must start | DET | vs NE | 25.1 | 13.8 to 40.2 | 1.07 | RB1 |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | Must start | SF | @ DAL | 23.3 | 12.8 to 37.3 | 1.20 | RB4 |
| 3 | Kenneth Walker III | Must start | KC | @ ATL | 22.6 | 12.4 to 36.2 | 1.09 | RB3 |
| 4 | James Cook | Must start | BUF | @ NYJ | 22.0 | 12.1 to 35.3 | 1.20 | RB5 |
| 5 | Bijan Robinson | Must start | ATL | vs KC | 19.8 | 10.9 to 31.7 | 0.91 | RB2 |
| 6 | Jaylen Warren | Must start | PIT | @ CIN | 18.7 | 10.3 to 30.0 | 1.08 | RB6 |
| 7 | Kyren Williams | Start | LAR | @ ARI | 18.4 | 10.1 to 29.4 | 1.13 | RB10 |
| 8 | Javonte Williams | Start | DAL | vs SF | 18.2 | 10.0 to 29.2 | 1.19 | RB15 |
| 9 | Chuba Hubbard | Start | CAR | @ NO | 17.7 | 9.7 to 28.3 | 1.06 | RB7 |
| 10 | Bhayshul Tuten (Questionable) | Start if active | JAX | @ TEN | 16.7 | 9.2 to 26.6 | 1.20 | RB19 |
| 11 | Jonathan Taylor | Start | IND | vs MIA | 16.4 | 9.0 to 26.2 | 0.95 | RB8 |
| 12 | Chase Brown | Start | CIN | vs PIT | 15.6 | 8.6 to 24.9 | 1.09 | RB16 |
| 13 | Breece Hall | Start | NYJ | vs BUF | 15.4 | 8.4 to 24.6 | 0.97 | RB11 |
| 14 | Alvin Kamara (Questionable) | Start if active | NO | vs CAR | 14.4 | 7.9 to 23.1 | 1.20 | RB27 |
| 15 | Derrick Henry | Start | BAL | vs LAC | 13.8 | 7.6 to 22.1 | 0.90 | RB14 |
Matchup starts at running backs: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | This week | ROS | Proj | Why |
|---|
| Blake Corum | Start | LAR | @ ARI | RB22 | RB42 | 10.8 | The game-log projection (11.6) sits above his season number (9.4). |
| Rico Dowdle | Start | PIT | @ CIN | RB20 | RB32 | 11.4 | CIN has allowed the 3rd-most points to running backs. |
| Zach Charbonnet | Start | SEA | @ LV | RB17 | RB28 | 12.5 | LV has allowed the 7th-most points to running backs. |
| Aaron Jones | Start | MIN | @ GB | RB23 | RB34 | 10.7 | The matchup multiplier is 0.90. |
| Bhayshul Tuten (Questionable) | Start if active | JAX | @ TEN | RB10 | RB19 | 16.7 | TEN has allowed the 6th-most points to running backs; JAX is implied for 28.5 points; the game-log projection (17.3) sits above his season number (13.7); listed Questionable. |
Wide receivers
| # | Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Matchup | ROS |
|---|
| 1 | CeeDee Lamb | Must start | DAL | vs SF | 23.4 | 12.9 to 37.5 | 1.13 | WR3 |
| 2 | Ja'Marr Chase | Must start | CIN | vs PIT | 23.1 | 12.7 to 36.9 | 1.19 | WR2 |
| 3 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Must start | SEA | @ LV | 22.6 | 12.4 to 36.1 | 1.01 | WR1 |
| 4 | Amon-Ra St. Brown (Questionable) | Start if active | DET | vs NE | 22.0 | 12.1 to 35.2 | 1.16 | WR4 |
| 5 | Tee Higgins | Must start | CIN | vs PIT | 21.4 | 11.8 to 34.3 | 1.19 | WR5 |
| 6 | Chris Olave | Must start | NO | vs CAR | 19.8 | 10.9 to 31.7 | 1.12 | WR7 |
| 7 | Malik Nabers | Must start | NYG | vs WSH | 18.3 | 10.1 to 29.3 | 1.01 | WR6 |
| 8 | Christian Watson | Must start | GB | vs MIN | 17.0 | 9.3 to 27.2 | 1.01 | WR8 |
| 9 | George Pickens (Questionable) | Start if active | DAL | vs SF | 16.7 | 9.2 to 26.7 | 1.13 | WR16 |
| 10 | Tetairoa McMillan | Start | CAR | @ NO | 16.3 | 8.9 to 26.0 | 1.02 | WR11 |
| 11 | Rashee Rice | Start | KC | @ ATL | 16.2 | 8.9 to 25.9 | 1.15 | WR17 |
| 12 | Mike Evans (Questionable) | Start if active | SF | @ DAL | 16.2 | 8.9 to 26.0 | 1.20 | WR24 |
| 13 | Matthew Golden | Start | GB | vs MIN | 16.2 | 8.9 to 25.9 | 1.01 | WR9 |
| 14 | Parker Washington | Start | JAX | @ TEN | 16.1 | 8.8 to 25.7 | 1.18 | WR23 |
| 15 | Nico Collins | Start | HOU | @ CLE | 15.7 | 8.7 to 25.2 | 1.01 | WR10 |
Matchup starts at receivers: this week's rank against the rest-of-season rank, and why.
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | This week | ROS | Proj | Why |
|---|
| Brian Thomas Jr. | Start | JAX | @ TEN | WR37 | WR56 | 10.6 | JAX is implied for 28.5 points. |
| Josh Downs | Start | KC | @ ATL | WR30 | WR48 | 12.1 | ATL has allowed the 5th-most points to receivers. |
| Jordyn Tyson | Start | NO | vs CAR | WR42 | WR60 | 9.7 | NO is implied for 25.5 points. |
| Khalil Shakir | Start | BUF | @ NYJ | WR27 | WR43 | 12.5 | BUF is implied for 29.5 points. |
| Jakobi Meyers (Questionable) | Start if active | JAX | @ TEN | WR26 | WR40 | 12.7 | JAX is implied for 28.5 points; listed Questionable. |
Tight ends
| # | Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Range | Matchup | ROS |
|---|
| 1 | Trey McBride | Must start | ARI | vs LAR | 17.7 | 9.8 to 28.4 | 0.90 | TE2 |
| 2 | Brock Bowers | Must start | LV | vs SEA | 16.8 | 9.3 to 26.9 | 0.88 | TE1 |
| 3 | George Kittle | Must start | SF | @ DAL | 15.4 | 8.5 to 24.7 | 1.10 | TE4 |
| 4 | Isaiah Likely | Start | NYG | vs WSH | 13.7 | 7.5 to 21.9 | 1.03 | TE3 |
| 5 | Sam LaPorta | Start | DET | vs NE | 13.4 | 7.4 to 21.5 | 1.09 | TE6 |
| 6 | Travis Kelce | Start | KC | @ ATL | 13.3 | 7.3 to 21.3 | 1.07 | TE5 |
| 7 | Tyler Warren | Start | IND | vs MIA | 12.3 | 6.8 to 19.6 | 0.96 | TE8 |
| 8 | Dalton Kincaid (Questionable) | Start if active | BUF | @ NYJ | 11.9 | 6.5 to 19.0 | 1.11 | TE10 |
Sit them, or at least think twice
Usual starters (rest-of-season top 12 at QB, 30 at RB, 42 at WR, 12 at TE) whose week ranks well below their standing, who carry an injury designation, or whose matchup sits at the bottom of the range. A sit here means the bench option with a better week, not a drop.
Quarterbacks
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Usual | This week | Why |
|---|
| Jared Goff (Questionable) | Sit | DET | vs NE | 19.1 | QB10 | QB9 | NE has allowed the 4th-fewest points to quarterbacks; listed Questionable. |
| C.J. Stroud | Sit | HOU | @ CLE | 18.0 | QB4 | QB11 | CLE has allowed the 2nd-fewest points to quarterbacks. |
| Jayden Daniels | Sit | WSH | @ NYG | 17.1 | QB5 | QB12 | WSH is implied for only 19.0 points. |
| Patrick Mahomes (Questionable) | Sit | KC | @ ATL | 22.3 | QB8 | QB4 | Listed Questionable. |
Running backs
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Usual | This week | Why |
|---|
| Ben VanSumeren | Sit | KC | @ ATL | 3.0 | RB23 | RB64 | No single factor (multiplier 1.09); the running backs ranked above him have the better week. |
| Ashton Jeanty | Sit | LV | vs SEA | 12.6 | RB12 | RB16 | SEA has allowed the 4th-fewest points to running backs; LV is implied for only 17.0 points; the game-log projection (12.1) sits below his season number (15.8). |
| Dylan Sampson | Sit | CLE | vs HOU | 9.6 | RB26 | RB30 | HOU has allowed the 3rd-fewest points to running backs; CLE is implied for only 18.5 points; the game-log projection (8.3) sits below his season number (12.4). |
| Bhayshul Tuten (Questionable) | Sit | JAX | @ TEN | 16.7 | RB19 | RB10 | Listed Questionable. |
| Derrick Henry | Sit | BAL | vs LAC | 13.8 | RB14 | RB15 | LAC has allowed the 2nd-fewest points to running backs. |
| Quinshon Judkins | Sit | CLE | vs HOU | 10.6 | RB25 | RB25 | HOU has allowed the 3rd-fewest points to running backs; CLE is implied for only 18.5 points. |
Wide receivers
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Usual | This week | Why |
|---|
| Denzel Boston (Questionable) | Sit | CLE | vs HOU | 9.0 | WR31 | WR50 | CLE is implied for only 18.5 points; listed Questionable. |
| Caleb Douglas | Sit | MIA | @ IND | 8.0 | WR39 | WR56 | MIA is implied for only 17.5 points. |
| Ladd McConkey (Questionable) | Sit | LAC | @ BAL | 10.0 | WR33 | WR39 | LAC is implied for only 17.0 points; the game-log projection (7.8) sits below his season number (12.4); listed Questionable. |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (Questionable) | Sit | DET | vs NE | 22.0 | WR4 | WR4 | Listed Questionable. |
| Garrett Wilson (Questionable) | Sit | NYJ | vs BUF | 15.0 | WR19 | WR18 | Listed Questionable. |
| Drake London | Sit | ATL | vs KC | 14.2 | WR15 | WR20 | KC has allowed the 2nd-fewest points to receivers. |
Tight ends
| Player | Call | Team | Opp | Proj | Usual | This week | Why |
|---|
| Harold Fannin Jr. (Questionable) | Sit | CLE | vs HOU | 10.2 | TE7 | TE14 | HOU has allowed the 6th-fewest points to tight ends; CLE is implied for only 18.5 points; the game-log projection (9.6) sits below his season number (12.9); listed Questionable. |
| Dalton Kincaid (Questionable) | Sit | BUF | @ NYJ | 11.9 | TE10 | TE8 | Listed Questionable. |
| Brock Bowers | Sit | LV | vs SEA | 16.8 | TE1 | TE2 | LV is implied for only 17.0 points. |
| Trey McBride | Sit | ARI | vs LAR | 17.7 | TE2 | TE1 | ARI is implied for only 15.0 points. |
Injury report
Every designation on a fantasy-relevant player as of 2026-11-12 15:16 UTC, with the next man up on the team's depth chart and his projection this week. Thursday designations move through Friday's final report; the live list is on the NFL injury report.
Out
| Player | Pos | Team | Status | ROS | Next man up | Note |
|---|
| Tank Dell | WR | HOU | Injured Reserve | WR12 | Kayshon Boutte (9.2 proj) | Dell operated as the Texans' third receiver for much of last Sunday's 44-22 win over the Chargers, running 22 routes on C.J. |
| Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | Out | WR13 | Xavier Smith (3.0 proj) | - |
| Brandon Aiyuk | WR | SF | Out | WR22 | - | In what amounted to a procedural transaction after Aiyuk met with team officials Friday upon filing his paperwork for reinstatement, the... |
| Davante Adams | WR | LAR | Injured Reserve | WR26 | - | In that scenario, Adams could back in action as soon as Week 13 following the Rams' bye week. |
| Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | Out | RB21 | Devin Singletary (9.9 proj) | Prior to Tuesday's practice, Skattebo told Ryan Dunleavy of the New York Post that the hamstring tear he sustained in a Week 7 overtime win... |
| Travis Etienne | RB | NO | Injured Reserve | RB22 | - | Considering Etienne went down as a limited practice participant Wednesday, the Saints have officially designated him for return from... |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | Doubtful | RB24 | Corey Kiner (6.8 proj) | - |
| Tyrell Shavers | WR | BUF | Out | WR38 | Joshua Palmer | Shavers will remain sidelined for at least one more game as he continues to work his way back from a torn ACL. |
| Alec Pierce | WR | IND | Injured Reserve | WR41 | - | "We'll see. |
| Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | Injured Reserve | QB12 | - | Jackson dislocated and fractured his right thumb on his only play of last Sunday's loss at Buffalo, and while he was placed on injured... |
| Michael Pittman | WR | PIT | Injured Reserve | WR49 | Cole Burgess | Pittman resumed running in late October and could resume practicing at some point in November. |
| Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | Doubtful | QB30 | - | - |
| Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | Out | QB36 | - | - |
| Xavier Legette | WR | CAR | Injured Reserve | WR72 | - | Just as head coach Dave Canales indicated earlier in the week would be the case, Legette will make his return to the practice field for the... |
| TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | Out | RB49 | Corey Kiner (6.8 proj) | - |
| Jonathon Brooks | RB | CAR | Injured Reserve | RB52 | - | Brooks hasn't played since Week 2 due to a groin injury that required core-muscle surgery and a stint on injured reserve. |
| Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | Out | WR87 | Irv Charles (1.7 proj) | Shaheed suffered a knee injury during a Week 7 win against the Chiefs and missed the last two games as a result. |
| Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | Out | TE38 | Brevyn Spann-Ford (5.0 proj) | - |
| Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | Injured Reserve | TE47 | - | After missing five consecutive games while recovering from an ankle sprain, Ferguson appeared poised to return from IR ahead of this past... |
| MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | Out | RB75 | Kaleb Johnson (5.8 proj) | The running back appears ready to return to the lineup for Sunday's game against the Vikings after missing Week 9 against New England. |
| Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | Injured Reserve | RB89 | - | Robinson already has missed two games due to a lingering hamstring injury and now must miss at least the next four outings, meaning his... |
| Zachariah Branch | WR | ATL | Doubtful | WR159 | - | - |
| Isiah Pacheco | RB | DET | Injured Reserve | RB118 | - | Pacheco has been sidelined for the entirety of the regular season to this point after undergoing back surgery in September. |
| De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | IR | RB119 | - | - |
| Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | IR | QB85 | - | - |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WSH | Injured Reserve | RB121 | Jeremy McNichols | roster flag Injured Reserve |
| Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | Injured Reserve | WR199 | - | roster flag Injured Reserve |
| Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | IR | RB122 | - | - |
| Terry McLaurin | WR | WSH | IR | WR200 | - | - |
| Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | IR | WR201 | - | - |
| Jayden Reed | WR | GB | IR | WR203 | - | - |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | Injured Reserve | RB126 | - | roster flag Injured Reserve |
| Malik Davis | RB | DAL | IR | RB129 | - | - |
| De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | IR | WR215 | - | - |
| Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | Injured Reserve | WR225 | - | Wilson's move to IR was merely a formality, after head coach Mike LaFleur announced Monday that the wideout would be sidelined for the rest... |
| Malik Willis | QB | MIA | Injured Reserve | QB90 | - | - |
Questionable
| Player | Pos | Team | Status | ROS | Next man up | Note |
|---|
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | Questionable | WR4 | Tom Kennedy | St. |
| George Pickens | WR | DAL | Questionable | WR16 | Jonathan Mingo (4.0 proj) | - |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | Questionable | WR19 | Isaiah Williams (4.7 proj) | - |
| Mike Evans | WR | SF | Questionable | WR24 | Jordan Watkins (7.0 proj) | - |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | Questionable | TE7 | Blake Whiteheart (2.1 proj) | Fannin dealt with the groin issue in practice last week but ultimately avoided an injury designation ahead of last Sunday's overtime loss... |
| Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | Questionable | RB19 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. (8.2 proj) | It remains to be seen if Tuten is simply managing a couple of aches and pains in the wake of Week 9 action or is in danger of missing the... |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | Questionable | WR28 | Jordan Watkins (7.0 proj) | - |
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | Questionable | QB8 | - | As were Rashee Rice (knee) as well as Xavier Worthy (hamstring), and with Chiefs having added Josh Downs (who is not on the injury report)... |
| Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | Questionable | WR31 | Isaiah Bond (3.0 proj) | Boston logged a 93 percent offensive snap share in this past Sunday's 23-22 overtime loss to the Saints en route to hauling in six of his... |
| Jared Goff | QB | DET | Questionable | QB10 | - | Goff is making his first appearance on the injury report this season, but he at least logged some reps Wednesday as he tends to a health... |
| Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | Questionable | WR33 | Derius Davis | McConkey was not among the Chargers' Week 9 inactives, but he didn't play any snaps in Sunday's loss to the Texans after experiencing back... |
| A.J. Brown | WR | NE | Questionable | WR34 | Kyle Williams (7.0 proj) | - |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | Questionable | TE10 | Dawson Knox (4.8 proj) | Kincaid began last week with a limited session due to a chest issue, but was able to suit up for Monday night's win over the Vikings while... |
| Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | Questionable | RB27 | Audric Estime | The Saints backfield is in a bit of flux at the moment, with Kamara and CJ Donaldson (shoulder) logging DNPs on Wednesday and Travis... |
| Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | Questionable | WR40 | Travis Hunter | Meyers was listed with hamstring and ankle injuries last week before playing 68 percent of Jacksonville's offensive snaps and catching four... |
| Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | Questionable | QB17 | - | Herbert may still have to manage some discomfort in the finger during Monday's contest, but since the injury to his non-throwing hand, he... |
| Drew Lock | QB | SEA | Questionable | QB18 | - | Lock is tending to a lingering right elbow injury and a new oblique issue. |
| J.J. McCarthy | QB | NYG | Questionable | QB23 | - | McCarthy was sidelined for most of the third quarter of this past Sunday's 19-11 win over the Eagles after sustaining a painful hip... |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | Questionable | WR44 | Cyrus Allen (1.9 proj) | Worthy was considered day-to-day after exiting Sunday's 35-12 win over the Jets in the fourth quarter. |
| Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | Questionable | WR46 | Chimere Dike (2.5 proj) | - |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | Questionable | TE14 | Ben Yurosek (3.5 proj) | There was no clear sign of trouble Monday night when Hockenson played 83 percent of snaps in a loss to the Bills. |
| Woody Marks | RB | HOU | Questionable | RB33 | David Montgomery (10.0 proj) | In this past Sunday's 44-22 win over the Chargers, Marks played on 66 percent of the Texans' snaps on offense and logged 18 carries for 70... |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | Questionable | WR53 | Isaiah Williams (4.7 proj) | Per Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic,coach Aaron Glenn downplayed Cooper's current ankle injury, noting of the wideout, "I think he'll he... |
| David Montgomery | RB | HOU | Questionable | RB36 | Emari Demercado | - |
| Hunter Henry | TE | NE | Questionable | TE22 | Eli Raridon (4.2 proj) | After injuring his foot in Week 8 against Miami, Henry played through the limited practice reps last week against the Packers and turned... |
| Savion Williams | WR | GB | Questionable | WR64 | J. Michael Sturdivant (1.5 proj) | It's a new injury for Williams, who previously missed a chunk of the season with an ankle injury. |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | HOU | Questionable | WR69 | - | It's a new injury for the Texans' newest wideout, who has produced just six catches for 60 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets through... |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | Questionable | RB50 | Nicholas Singleton (1.3 proj) | - |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | Questionable | WR92 | Tai Felton (2.6 proj) | - |
| Chris Bell | WR | MIA | Questionable | WR107 | Kevin Coleman Jr. (2.0 proj) | This is likely just maintenance for Bell's surgically repaired knee. |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAX | Questionable | RB67 | Ameer Abdullah (4.1 proj) | While Rodriguez fit some work in on Wednesday, fellow RB Bhayshul Tuten (ankle/foot) was listed as a DNP by the Jaguars. |
Matchups to target and avoid
The matchup multiplier by team and position, best and worst on the slate (1.00 is a neutral week; the range is 0.80 to 1.20). It folds in the team's implied total, the opponent's defence against the position over the last season, the wind and the crew.
| Position | Target | Avoid |
|---|
| Quarterbacks | SF @ DAL (1.20), CIN vs PIT (1.19), KC @ ATL (1.18) | LV vs SEA (0.80), CLE vs HOU (0.81), MIN @ GB (0.84) |
| Running backs | SF @ DAL (1.20), BUF @ NYJ (1.20), JAX @ TEN (1.20) | CLE vs HOU (0.80), LV vs SEA (0.80), LAC @ BAL (0.81) |
| Wide receivers | SF @ DAL (1.20), CIN vs PIT (1.19), JAX @ TEN (1.18) | LV vs SEA (0.81), WSH @ NYG (0.81), CLE vs HOU (0.83) |
| Tight ends | NO vs CAR (1.19), CIN vs PIT (1.17), DAL vs SF (1.15) | LAC @ BAL (0.80), WSH @ NYG (0.80), CLE vs HOU (0.80) |
Implied team totals, from the lines above: BUF 29.5 (@ NYJ), SF 29.5 (@ DAL), JAX 28.5 (@ TEN), DET 27.0 (vs NE), CIN 26.5 (vs PIT) at the top; ARI 15.0 (vs LAR), LAC 17.0 (@ BAL), LV 17.0 (vs SEA), MIA 17.5 (@ IND), TEN 18.0 (vs JAX) at the bottom.
Waiver wire
Undrafted means no market ADP, or an ADP past 150: on the wire in most leagues. Adds rank as starters this week; stashes are players the rest-of-season board rates, and the backs behind flagged starters.
Add and start
| Player | Call | Pos | Team | Opp | Proj | This week | ROS | Why |
|---|
| C.J. Stroud | Add | QB | HOU | @ CLE | 18.0 | QB11 | QB4 | The matchup multiplier is 0.94. |
| DeMario Douglas | Add | WR | NE | @ DET | 12.4 | WR29 | WR57 | DET has allowed the 2nd-most points to receivers; the game-log projection (12.4) sits above his season number (10.5). |
| Devaughn Vele | Add | WR | NO | vs CAR | 11.9 | WR32 | WR47 | NO is implied for 25.5 points. |
| Ollie Gordon II | Add | RB | MIA | @ IND | 11.5 | RB19 | RB30 | The game-log projection (11.5) sits above his season number (9.3). |
| Juwan Johnson | Add | TE | NO | vs CAR | 11.4 | TE9 | TE16 | CAR has allowed the 7th-most points to tight ends; NO is implied for 25.5 points. |
| Ryan Flournoy | Add | WR | DAL | vs SF | 11.4 | WR34 | WR58 | DAL is implied for 26.0 points. |
| Keon Coleman | Add | WR | BUF | @ NYJ | 11.2 | WR35 | WR51 | BUF is implied for 29.5 points. |
| Braelon Allen | Add | RB | NYJ | vs BUF | 11.1 | RB21 | RB45 | BUF has allowed the 8th-most points to running backs. |
| Brenton Strange | Add | TE | JAX | @ TEN | 11.0 | TE10 | TE13 | JAX is implied for 28.5 points. |
| Mack Hollins | Add | WR | NE | @ DET | 10.8 | WR36 | WR65 | DET has allowed the 2nd-most points to receivers. |
Streaming defences
Priced from the line: the opponent's implied points, home field and how heavily the defence's own team is favoured.
| Defence | Call | Opp | Opp implied | Proj |
|---|
| LAR D/ST | Stream | @ ARI | 15.0 | 9.0 |
| BAL D/ST | Stream | vs LAC | 17.0 | 8.5 |
| IND D/ST | Stream | vs MIA | 17.5 | 8.3 |
| JAX D/ST | Stream | @ TEN | 18.0 | 8.3 |
| SEA D/ST | Stream | @ LV | 17.0 | 8.3 |
| NYG D/ST | Stream | vs WSH | 19.0 | 7.9 |
Stash
| Player | Call | Pos | Team | ROS | ROS pts/g | Why |
|---|
| Phil Mafah | Stash | RB | NYG | RB18 | 16.0 | The rest-of-season board has him RB18, 16.0 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Dylan Sampson | Stash | RB | CLE | RB26 | 12.4 | The rest-of-season board has him RB26, 12.4 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Caleb Douglas | Stash | WR | MIA | WR39 | 11.7 | The rest-of-season board has him WR39, 11.7 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Bryce Young | Stash | QB | CAR | QB14 | 15.7 | The rest-of-season board has him QB14, 15.7 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Kirk Cousins | Stash | QB | MIN | QB16 | 15.1 | The rest-of-season board has him QB16, 15.1 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Aaron Rodgers | Stash | QB | PIT | QB19 | 14.3 | The rest-of-season board has him QB19, 14.3 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Geno Smith | Stash | QB | NYJ | QB22 | 15.9 | The rest-of-season board has him QB22, 15.9 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
| Cam Ward | Stash | QB | TEN | QB24 | 12.8 | The rest-of-season board has him QB24, 12.8 a game from here, and nobody drafted him. |
Buy and sell
Production so far against the board's projection from here, for rostered players. A buy has produced less than the board expects, so his price is set by box scores the model does not think will hold; a sell is the reverse. Games is this season's sample.
Buy
| Player | Call | Pos | Team | Season pts/g | Games | ROS pts/g | ROS | Gap |
|---|
| Baker Mayfield | Buy | QB | TB | 10.2 | 6 | 14.0 | QB27 | +3.8 |
| Rashee Rice | Buy | WR | KC | 10.9 | 6 | 14.7 | WR17 | +3.8 |
| Omarion Hampton | Buy | RB | LAC | 8.5 | 8 | 12.1 | RB29 | +3.6 |
| Zach Charbonnet | Buy | RB | SEA | 9.2 | 2 | 12.3 | RB28 | +3.1 |
| Emeka Egbuka | Buy | WR | TB | 10.6 | 7 | 13.0 | WR27 | +2.4 |
| Colston Loveland | Buy | TE | CHI | 9.6 | 9 | 11.8 | TE9 | +2.2 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | Buy | WR | TEN | 9.1 | 8 | 11.2 | WR45 | +2.1 |
How this guide is built
The weekly board is each player's season-long expectation times this week's matchup, with the DFS game-log projection folded in as a recency term; the rest-of-season board is the season board with this year's games blended in and the injury feed applied. Both are rebuilt every morning and live on the NFL rankings page; the designations are on the injury report and the model's game picks on the predictions page. Lines are quoted for the implied totals only. This is a fantasy guide, not betting advice.
NFL2026-11-12