Everything is FREE until August 1free through July 31 →
Back to Blog
NewsNHL2026-08-06

Macklin Celebrini Signs the Richest Contract in NHL History at $18.8 Million a Year

By Verdexed NHL Desk

The San Jose Sharks signed Macklin Celebrini to a five-year extension worth $94 million, a $18.8 million average annual value that makes him the highest-paid player in the NHL. The deal begins with the 2027-28 season and runs through 2031-32, taking him well past what would have been his first restricted free agency.

Celebrini was set to enter the 2026-27 season on the final year of his entry-level contract. Signing him now, a year before he would have hit restricted free agency, removes the leverage question entirely and gives San Jose cost certainty on its franchise player through his prime.

The season that earned it

Celebrini put up 115 points in 82 games in his age-19 season, which ranked fourth among all skaters, and tied for fourth in the league with 45 goals. A teenager finishing in the top five in league scoring is a rare enough event that the contract number stops looking surprising once you sit with the production.

The rising salary cap is the other half of the explanation. As the cap climbs, the percentage of it that a franchise player consumes matters more than the raw dollar figure. An $18.8 million cap hit against a substantially higher ceiling than existed a few years ago is a smaller share of a team's payroll than the headline suggests, and front offices have adjusted their internal valuations accordingly.

San Jose's general manager has spoken about how much the deal meant to the organization, which is the language of a rebuild reaching a milestone rather than a team paying a market price under duress.

What it does to the market

Every contract at the top of the scale resets the tier below it. Celebrini's number becomes the reference point for the next round of elite forward negotiations, and agents representing comparable players now have a data point they did not have last week.

The immediate downstream effect is on the restricted free agents and extension-eligible stars still working through negotiations. Any player whose camp has been arguing for a percentage of the cap now has a cleaner comparison to point at.

The second-order effect is on San Jose's own roster construction. A team carrying a contract this size has to build efficiently around it, which typically means leaning heavily on entry-level and second-contract players to fill out the lineup. That is a manageable constraint for a team with a deep prospect pipeline and a difficult one for a team without.

Fantasy fallout

For fantasy hockey purposes, this is confirmation rather than news. Celebrini was already a first-round pick in every format after a 115-point season, and a contract extension does not change the projection.

What it does change is the organizational commitment around him. Teams that pay a player at this level build power play units around him, give him top-line minutes regardless of matchup, and protect his ice time. Those are all fantasy-relevant guarantees, and they reduce the variance in his projection more than they raise the ceiling.

The dynasty implication is straightforward: Celebrini is now locked into a single organization through his entire prime, which removes the situational risk that occasionally derails elite fantasy assets. In keeper leagues, that is worth a meaningful bump.

The teammate effect

The more actionable fantasy angle is on the players who skate with him. San Jose's top-line wingers and its top power play unit are the beneficiaries of having a center of this caliber locked in, and the fantasy market has historically been slow to price the linemates of elite centers on non-contending teams.

That is where the value is. A winger playing 18 minutes a night with a top-five scorer in the league is a fantasy asset regardless of what the standings look like, and those players are typically available several rounds later than their projected production warrants.

Betting angle

San Jose's win total should not move on an extension that does not begin until 2027-28. The roster for this season is what it was yesterday.

The longer-horizon markets are where this matters. Futures on the Sharks' playoff odds over the next several years, and on Celebrini's individual award markets, both firm up when the organizational uncertainty is removed. A player signed through his prime with a rebuilding team behind him is a better bet for scoring titles than for team success, which is the shape those markets should take.

Celebrini's individual scoring props are the cleanest expression. A 19-year-old who scored 115 points has a genuine chance to improve, and the market has historically been conservative about projecting continued growth from players who have already produced at an elite level.

The Verdexed model take

Our projection system had Celebrini among the top handful of forwards in the league on a per-60 basis before this signing, and the extension does not move that number. What it moves is the multi-year outlook for San Jose, which our model now projects with substantially less uncertainty.

The model's read on the contract itself is that it is aggressive but defensible. Paying a top-five scorer at 20 years old for his ages 21 through 25 seasons captures the years in which forwards typically peak, and the risk profile is far better than signing a comparable player at 28.

For fantasy managers, the model's most useful output is on San Jose's forward group as a whole. The projected ice time distribution around a locked-in franchise center creates identifiable value further down the depth chart, and that is where the drafting edge is.

What's next

The remainder of San Jose's offseason will be about building around the number. Teams that commit this much to one player typically follow with value signings and internal development rather than additional big-ticket acquisitions.

For fantasy drafters, the practical takeaway is to spend the next two months identifying who is skating on Celebrini's wing. That information will be worth more on draft day than anything about the contract itself.

Want more analysis?

Check out our predictions and DFS tools powered by the same quantitative engine.