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TradeMLB2026-07-22

Athletics Set Up as the Deadline's Clearest Sellers: Jeffrey Springs, Luis Severino and the Fantasy Fallout

By Verdexed MLB Desk

The Athletics enter the final stretch before the August 3 trade deadline at 46-63, which makes them one of the most obvious sellers on the board. Most of the veterans the club added last offseason are right back on the market, and the names fantasy managers need to track are left-hander Jeffrey Springs and right-hander Luis Severino, both of whom are reportedly available. A change of scenery for either arm could meaningfully move their rest-of-season fantasy value.

The A's are looking ahead to 2027, and the front office has reportedly begun fielding offers on its young outfielders as well, with one plausible path being to trade an outfielder to bring back pitching. For fantasy purposes, the pitching moves are the more actionable story, because a starter's ratios and win potential can swing sharply based on the team and ballpark he lands in.

The complicating factor

There is a catch that could keep the biggest names in place. Rival clubs reportedly do not view the A's as willing to retain a significant portion of any contract they move, and that matters because Springs is owed real money, roughly $10.5 million next season with a $15 million club option for 2027. A selling team that will not eat salary limits its trade market to clubs willing to absorb the full freight, which can slow deals down or shrink the return. It is an open question whether either Springs or Severino actually changes teams by the deadline.

For fantasy managers, that uncertainty is the whole game. A Springs or Severino who stays put keeps his current outlook; one who moves to a contender in a better pitching environment could see a bump in win equity and, depending on the destination, in ratios.

The fantasy read on Springs and Severino

Springs is the more intriguing fantasy name. A left-hander with a track record of missing bats is exactly the type of arm a contender covets for the stretch run, and a move out of a rebuilding situation to a team that plays meaningful September baseball would raise his win potential substantially. If he lands with a strong defense and in a friendlier park, his ratios could tighten as well. He is a hold-and-see asset in redraft leagues: do not cut him, and be ready to promote him in your rankings the moment a destination is known.

Severino is the more volatile bet. His fantasy value has always been tied to health and command, and a change of scenery does not guarantee a change in results. Treat him as a matchup-dependent streamer whose value would rise modestly on a trade to a contender but who does not become a set-and-forget starter simply by leaving Sacramento. The young A's outfielders are dynasty-relevant if moved, but their redraft impact this season is minimal.

The Verdexed model take

Verdexed's model treats the Athletics' tradeable arms as environment-dependent assets, meaning their projected value is unusually sensitive to destination. Our framework already bakes a rebuilding team's low win total into their win projections, so the single biggest lever for Springs and Severino is a trade to a club with a higher expected win rate. A move to a contender is worth a tangible bump in projected wins for a starter, which is the category most likely to swing on a deadline deal.

The park and defense adjustments are secondary but real. A pitcher moving from a hitter-neutral or hitter-friendly environment to a pitcher's park with a strong defense behind him earns a ratio improvement in our projections, while the reverse would be a downgrade. The key operational point is that these values are latent until the deadline resolves: managers who hold the A's arms through the deadline are effectively holding a call option on a value bump.

The prospect angle

The other piece of the Athletics' deadline worth tracking is the young outfielders reportedly drawing interest. Morosi's reporting that the A's are fielding offers on that group, with a possible plan to deal from a position of surplus to acquire pitching, is a dynasty-league storyline more than a redraft one. A young, controllable outfielder who moves from a rebuilding club to a contender does not typically deliver an immediate redraft bump, but the change in organization and opportunity can meaningfully shift a prospect's long-term outlook.

For dynasty managers, the actionable move is to note which outfielders are being shopped and where they might land, because a prospect's development environment matters. A player who goes from an unsettled roster to a stable, winning organization with a clear path to playing time is a value riser even if his stat line does not change overnight. In redraft, though, these names remain off the radar. The A's deadline is a two-track story: the veteran arms are the redraft angle, and the young position players are the dynasty angle, and managers should file each in the right column.

What to do in your league

Do not drop Jeffrey Springs; hold him as a stash and be ready to move him up your streaming ranks if he lands with a contender in a friendlier park. Treat Luis Severino as a matchup streamer whose value could tick up on a trade but who is not a must-start regardless. Ignore the A's young outfielders in redraft and file them under dynasty watch if they move. The deadline is the catalyst here, and the smart play is to hold the optionality until August 3 tells you where these arms are pitching the rest of the way.

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