The Model Cards
Friday, October 2, 2026
Each box is its own card and its own record. NHL picks are never mixed with another league's, on the card, the ticket, or the ledger.
Frozen 11:00 AM ET, prices are freeze-time lines and never edited after.
NHL picks to win4 games, most likely winner first
NYR@
DET
Pick DET57% to winat -130market 54%
BOS@
WPG
Pick WPG56% to winat -122market 53%
STL@
DAL
Pick DAL55% to winat -185market 62%
ANA@
VGK
Pick VGK53% to winat -192market 63%
The card as one ticketall 4 legs
DET + WPG + DAL + VGK
+654
combined odds
9.3%
chance it all hits
-29.8%
EV per $1
Each leg is the team most likely to win; the ticket multiplies those chances, so it is a long shot by design. Play the legs straight, or the ticket for the sweat, your call.
Prop cardovers the model gives at least 65%, graded on the box score
Cutter GauthierANA · L
Over 2.5 shots on goal · model 82% · projects 3.9
Jason RobertsonDAL · L
Over 2.5 shots on goal · model 71% · projects 3.4
Jack EichelVGK · C
Over 2.5 shots on goal · model 76% · projects 3.6
Dylan HollowaySTL · L
Over 1.5 shots on goal · model 91% · projects 2.9
Andrei SvechnikovCAR · R
Over 1.5 shots on goal · model 93% · projects 3.1
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes; grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.