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InjuryNFL logoNFL2026-11-13

Drew Lock Starts Again for Seattle at Las Vegas as Sam Darnold Sits Until After the Bye: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, AJ Barner and the Raiders Matchup

By Verdexed NFL Desk

Quarterback Sam Darnold struggled against the Bears defense in Seattle's Monday night loss.
Photo: AP Photo/Stephen Brashear, via ESPN (editorial)

The Seattle Seahawks will start Drew Lock against the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, with Sam Darnold ruled out for Week 10 as he recovers from quad and rib injuries. With Seattle's bye coming in Week 11, the plan gives Darnold two full weeks to heal, and multiple reports point to a possible return in Week 12 against the San Francisco 49ers on Nov. 29. For fantasy managers, it means a second straight game of a lower-volume, defense-first Seahawks script, and a matchup against a Raiders team breaking in a rookie quarterback.

Where things stand

Darnold did not practice early in the week, and the team ruled him out before the weekend. Lock, who has his own health questions, got what head coach Mike Macdonald described as a good exam on Monday after dealing with right elbow and oblique issues. He also briefly visited the medical tent in the third quarter of last week's win after grabbing at his right hip, but he finished the game.

Jalen Milroe will serve as Lock's primary backup on Sunday. That matters for anyone considering Seattle pieces: if Lock aggravates anything, the offense would shift to a much more run-heavy, read-option look.

Seattle is 5-4. A win in Las Vegas would send the Seahawks into the bye with momentum, and at least one report suggests Macdonald is in no rush to hand the job back to Darnold if Lock keeps playing clean football.

What Lock looked like in Week 9

Lock's first start was a 17-3 home win over the Arizona Cardinals, a game the defense dominated. His line was efficient but modest.

PlayerWeek 9 vs. ARI
Drew Lock19/28, 175 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
Jaxon Smith-Njigba7 rec, 51 yds (10 tgt)
Zach Charbonnet16 car, 77 yds
AJ Barner2 TD

The takeaway: Seattle protected Lock with a conservative plan, leaned on the run game and the defense, and kept him out of turnover situations. Expect a similar script in Las Vegas.

Fantasy fallout

Jaxon Smith-Njigba remains a must-start despite a quiet Week 9. Ten targets is still elite volume, and the 51 yards pushed him over 1,000 receiving yards on the season. Lock's conservative approach trims the big-play ceiling that Darnold's downfield throws provided, but the target share is what makes him a weekly WR1, and Seattle's coaches know where the ball needs to go. Start him.

AJ Barner is the sneaky winner of a Lock start. Short-area throws and red-zone tight end looks fit a conservative game plan, and Barner found the end zone twice against Arizona. He is a viable streaming tight end this week, especially in leagues where the position has been a scramble.

Zach Charbonnet handled 16 carries for 77 yards last week and should see similar volume. If Seattle plays from ahead against a rookie quarterback, the run game will carry the clock. Treat him as an RB2 with touchdown upside.

Drew Lock himself is a low-end QB2 in superflex leagues. He is not a one-quarterback-league start: his job is to avoid mistakes, not to post 300 yards.

The other side: Raiders

Las Vegas turned the offense over to rookie Fernando Mendoza after trading Kirk Cousins to Minnesota at the deadline. Facing Seattle's defense, which held Gardner Minshew to 166 yards and no touchdowns in Week 9, is a difficult second assignment.

That pushes the Seahawks defense into the top tier of Week 10 fantasy defenses. Rookie quarterbacks under pressure turn the ball over, and a road crowd will be no help to Las Vegas in a game where the Raiders are still installing a new quarterback's preferences on a short timeline. Brock Bowers remains a must-start tight end on volume alone, but Ashton Jeanty's ceiling depends on game script, and a Seattle lead would cap it.

Betting angle

Two quarterbacks who prefer to avoid risk, plus a strong Seattle defense, is a recipe for a lower-scoring game. Because Lock already showed he can manage a win and Darnold's absence was expected early in the week, the quarterback news was largely priced in before Friday. The more meaningful variable is Mendoza's comfort level against a defense that just held an opponent to three points. Bettors should look at Seattle team-total unders paired with the defense in DFS, and at Raiders passing-yardage unders if prop markets price Mendoza aggressively.

For Verdexed's game-level view, check the weekly NFL picks page and /nfl/predictions, where the model's call on Seahawks at Raiders is posted.

What to do in your league

Darnold managers: If you have a bye-week crunch, Darnold is a drop candidate only in shallow leagues. With a Week 12 return on the table, he should stay rostered in superflex and two-quarterback formats.

Streamers: The Seahawks defense is the top streaming target of the week. AJ Barner is a deeper tight end stream.

Start: Jaxon Smith-Njigba regardless of quarterback.

What's next

Watch Darnold's practice participation after the bye. If he is a full participant the week of Nov. 23, he should reclaim the job for the 49ers game, and Smith-Njigba's ceiling rises with him. If Lock wins again Sunday and Darnold's ribs linger, Seattle may ride the hot hand longer than expected, and that keeps the Seahawks a run-first, defense-first fantasy team into December.

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