The Model Card
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
PHI@
ATL
Pick PHI · model 41% · market +168
+5.38%
MLB
CWS@
HOU
Pick CWS · model 51% · market +105
+4.8%
MLB
CHC@
SD
Pick SD · model 58% · market -130
+4.23%
NHL
NYR@
BOS
Pick NYR · model 53% · market -105
+4.07%
NHL
FLA@
CAR
Pick FLA · model 49% · market +105
+2.7%
The model parlay
PHI + CWS + SD
+872
combined odds
12.3%
model probability
+19.8%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover6.5PHI @ ATLmodel 8.0
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.