The Model Card
Sunday, September 27, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
NFL
LV@
NO
Pick LV · model 47% · market +164
HIT
NFL
HOU@
IND
Pick HOU · model 62% · market -125
MISS
MLB
HOU@
ATH
Pick ATH · model 46% · market +155
MISS
NFL
CIN@
PIT
Pick PIT · model 46% · market +154
HIT
MLB
AZ@
SD
Pick SD · model 52% · market +123
HIT
The model parlay
MISSLV + HOU + ATH
+1112
combined odds
13.4%
model probability
+62.4%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7STL @ MILmodel 8.8
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.