The Model Card

Saturday, September 26, 2026

Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.

3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.

MLB

COL@CWS

Pick COL · model 41% · market +197

HIT

MLB

HOU@ATH

Pick ATH · model 47% · market +133

MISS

MLB

LAA@SEA

Pick SEA · model 64% · market -162

HIT

MLB

PIT@DET

Pick DET · model 55% · market -110

HIT

NHL

STL@CHI

Pick STL · model 56% · market -115

MISS

The model parlay

MISS

COL + ATH + SEA

+1019

combined odds

12.4%

model probability

+38.8%

EV per $1

EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.

Totals leanover7.5STL @ MILmodel 9.4

The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.

Today's card