The Model Card
Thursday, September 24, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
2-3on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
MIL@
PHI
Pick MIL · model 55% · market +113
HIT
MLB
CIN@
ATL
Pick ATL · model 72% · market -225
MISS
MLB
STL@
PIT
Pick STL · model 46% · market +138
MISS
MLB
CWS@
KC
Pick KC · model 51% · market +107
MISS
NHL
CGY@
SEA
Pick SEA · model 59% · market -130
HIT
The model parlay
MISSMIL + ATL + STL
+632
combined odds
18.1%
model probability
+32.4%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover6TB @ NYYmodel 8.2
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.