The Model Card
Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
CIN@
ATL
Pick ATL · model 79% · market -264
+9.33%
MLB
MIN@
SF
Pick SF · model 49% · market +131
+7.65%
MLB
MIA@
CHC
Pick CHC · model 67% · market -179
+5.77%
MLB
HOU@
SEA
Pick SEA · model 59% · market -131
+5.25%
MLB
STL@
PIT
Pick STL · model 49% · market +114
+4.15%
The model parlay
ATL + SF + CHC
+396
combined odds
25.9%
model probability
+28.7%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover6.5CLE @ BOSmodel 8.8
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.