The Model Card
Tuesday, September 22, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
MIA@
CHC
Pick MIA · model 46% · market +178
+11.37%
MLB
CIN@
ATL
Pick ATL · model 69% · market -197
+5.66%
MLB
MIL@
PHI
Pick MIL · model 49% · market +118
+5.28%
MLB
AZ@
COL
Pick COL · model 41% · market +162
+4.98%
MLB
CLE@
BOS
Pick CLE · model 51% · market +108
+4.64%
The model parlay
MIA + ATL + MIL
+814
combined odds
15.6%
model probability
+42.1%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover6.5MIA @ CHCmodel 8.9
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.