The Model Card
Monday, September 21, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
NFL
NYG@
LAR
Pick LAR · model 75% · market -290
+4.07%
MLB
TOR@
BAL
Pick BAL · model 52% · market -111
+2.15%
The model parlay
LAR + BAL
+156
combined odds
39.6%
model probability
+1.2%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5TOR @ BALmodel 9.0
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.