The Model Card
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
PHI@
WSH
Pick WSH · model 47% · market +162
+10.55%
MLB
SD@
COL
Pick COL · model 47% · market +142
+7.95%
MLB
KC@
HOU
Pick HOU · model 62% · market -144
+5.58%
MLB
CWS@
CLE
Pick CLE · model 66% · market -181
+4.61%
MLB
ATH@
TB
Pick ATH · model 41% · market +159
+4.54%
The model parlay
WSH + COL + HOU
+974
combined odds
13.8%
model probability
+48.6%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8SF @ STLmodel 9.8
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.