The Model Card
Tuesday, September 15, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
PHI@
WSH
Pick WSH · model 44% · market +177
+9.83%
MLB
SD@
COL
Pick COL · model 46% · market +163
+9.49%
MLB
NYY@
MIN
Pick NYY · model 69% · market -180
+7.94%
MLB
BOS@
TEX
Pick TEX · model 52% · market +109
+6.65%
MLB
KC@
HOU
Pick KC · model 45% · market +139
+4.97%
The model parlay
WSH + COL + NYY
+1033
combined odds
14.1%
model probability
+59.9%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8SF @ STLmodel 10.1
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.