The Model Card

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.

3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.

NFL

BAL@IND

Pick BAL · model 71% · market -175

HIT

MLB

CWS@STL

Pick STL · model 54% · market +109

HIT

NFL

DAL@NYG

Pick DAL · model 68% · market -166

MISS

MLB

CIN@MIL

Pick CIN · model 44% · market +159

HIT

MLB

COL@DET

Pick COL · model 43% · market +153

MISS

The model parlay

MISS

BAL + STL + DAL

+426

combined odds

26.1%

model probability

+37.5%

EV per $1

EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.

Totals leanover7BAL @ TORmodel 8.5

The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.

Today's card