The Model Card
Saturday, September 12, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
KC@
BOS
Pick KC · model 45% · market +184
+11.53%
MLB
SEA@
ATH
Pick ATH · model 47% · market +144
+7.82%
MLB
CWS@
STL
Pick STL · model 55% · market -116
+3.75%
MLB
BAL@
TOR
Pick TOR · model 55% · market -115
+3.48%
MLB
LAD@
MIA
Pick LAD · model 66% · market -192
+3.38%
The model parlay
KC + ATH + STL
+1190
combined odds
11.7%
model probability
+51.1%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5HOU @ TBmodel 8.6
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.