The Model Card
Friday, September 11, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET, lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
PIT@
CHC
Pick PIT · model 46% · market +163
+9.71%
MLB
SD@
SF
Pick SF · model 52% · market +123
+9.41%
MLB
CWS@
STL
Pick STL · model 57% · market -106
+7.52%
MLB
KC@
BOS
Pick KC · model 42% · market +168
+6.64%
MLB
PHI@
ATL
Pick PHI · model 43% · market +157
+5.7%
The model parlay
PIT + SF + STL
+1040
combined odds
13.7%
model probability
+55.6%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent, it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5CLE @ MINmodel 9.3
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes, grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.