The Model Card
Wednesday, September 9, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
NFL
NE@
SEA
Pick NE · model 48% · market +142
+8.61%
MLB
LAA@
BOS
Pick BOS · model 74% · market -223
+7.99%
MLB
TEX@
SEA
Pick TEX · model 48% · market +128
+5.82%
MLB
CIN@
LAD
Pick CIN · model 33% · market +238
+5.04%
MLB
PIT@
CWS
Pick PIT · model 47% · market +129
+4.88%
The model parlay
NE + BOS + TEX
+699
combined odds
17.1%
model probability
+36.3%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5CHC @ MILmodel 9.0
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.