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The Model Card

Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.

MLB

CHC logoCHC@MIL logoMIL

Pick CHC · model 44% · market +179

+9.78%
MLB

TOR logoTOR@ATH logoATH

Pick ATH · model 47% · market +153

+9.26%
MLB

CIN logoCIN@LAD logoLAD

Pick CIN · model 33% · market +266

+7.12%
MLB

PIT logoPIT@CWS logoCWS

Pick PIT · model 48% · market +123

+5.12%
MLB

MIN logoMIN@DET logoDET

Pick MIN · model 49% · market +119

+4.9%

The model parlay

CHC + ATH + CIN

+2483

combined odds

6.9%

model probability

+78.1%

EV per $1

EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.

Totals leanover7.5CHC @ MILmodel 9.1

The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice.