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The Model Card

Monday, September 7, 2026

Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.

MLB

TOR logoTOR@ATH logoATH

Pick ATH · model 45% · market +177

+10.67%
MLB

CIN logoCIN@LAD logoLAD

Pick CIN · model 46% · market +129

+4.5%
MLB

LAA logoLAA@BOS logoBOS

Pick LAA · model 42% · market +149

+3.72%
MLB

ATL logoATL@PHI logoPHI

Pick ATL · model 43% · market +139

+3.04%
MLB

WSH logoWSH@SD logoSD

Pick SD · model 66% · market -192

+2.98%

The model parlay

ATH + CIN + LAA

+1479

combined odds

8.8%

model probability

+39.1%

EV per $1

EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.

Totals leanover7CLE @ BALmodel 9.2

The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.