The Model Card
Sunday, September 6, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
1-4on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
TOR@
KC
Pick KC · model 56% · market +101
HIT
MLB
WSH@
LAD
Pick WSH · model 42% · market +177
MISS
MLB
ATH@
SEA
Pick ATH · model 42% · market +167
MISS
MLB
BOS@
BAL
Pick BAL · model 49% · market +119
MISS
MLB
ATL@
PHI
Pick PHI · model 55% · market -110
MISS
The model parlay
MISSKC + WSH + ATH
+1387
combined odds
9.8%
model probability
+45%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5BOS @ BALmodel 9.4
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.