The Model Card
Saturday, September 5, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
2-3on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
MIL@
CIN
Pick CIN · model 50% · market +130
HIT
MLB
WSH@
LAD
Pick WSH · model 40% · market +187
MISS
MLB
CHC@
MIA
Pick MIA · model 51% · market +118
MISS
MLB
ATH@
SEA
Pick ATH · model 36% · market +202
HIT
MLB
BOS@
BAL
Pick BAL · model 47% · market +123
MISS
The model parlay
MISSCIN + WSH + MIA
+1339
combined odds
10.1%
model probability
+45.1%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8MIN @ CWSmodel 9.7
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.