The Model Card
Thursday, September 3, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
2-3on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
ATH@
SEA
Pick ATH · model 44% · market +177
HIT
MLB
STL@
LAD
Pick STL · model 35% · market +246
MISS
MLB
TB@
TEX
Pick TEX · model 52% · market +108
HIT
MLB
CWS@
HOU
Pick CWS · model 45% · market +134
MISS
MLB
SF@
PIT
Pick SF · model 44% · market +141
MISS
The model parlay
MISSATH + STL + TEX
+1894
combined odds
8.1%
model probability
+62%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7ATH @ SEAmodel 9.1
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.