The Model Card
Wednesday, September 2, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
BAL@
COL
Pick BAL · model 70% · market -167
+10.38%
MLB
MIL@
CHC
Pick CHC · model 48% · market +134
+7.62%
MLB
ATL@
WSH
Pick WSH · model 50% · market +119
+6.77%
MLB
SD@
CIN
Pick CIN · model 47% · market +130
+5.01%
MLB
MIA@
KC
Pick KC · model 55% · market -112
+4.81%
The model parlay
BAL + CHC + WSH
+719
combined odds
17.2%
model probability
+40.5%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7TOR @ CLEmodel 8.7
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.