The Model Card
Tuesday, September 1, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
SD@
CIN
Pick CIN · model 55% · market +125
HIT
MLB
NYY@
LAA
Pick NYY · model 73% · market -180
HIT
MLB
DET@
MIN
Pick MIN · model 57% · market +106
HIT
MLB
ATH@
TEX
Pick ATH · model 43% · market +181
MISS
MLB
CWS@
HOU
Pick HOU · model 53% · market +108
MISS
The model parlay
HITCIN + NYY + MIN
+621
combined odds
22.9%
model probability
+64.9%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7SEA @ BOSmodel 9.4
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.