The Model Card
Sunday, August 23, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
1-4on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
SF@
BOS
Pick SF · model 41% · market +195
MISS
MLB
LAA@
TEX
Pick LAA · model 46% · market +143
MISS
MLB
WSH@
MIA
Pick WSH · model 46% · market +143
MISS
MLB
DET@
KC
Pick KC · model 53% · market +104
HIT
MLB
CLE@
COL
Pick COL · model 43% · market +154
MISS
The model parlay
MISSSF + LAA + WSH
+1642
combined odds
8.5%
model probability
+47.7%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5ATL @ MILmodel 8.6
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.