The Model Card
Thursday, August 20, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
LAA@
HOU
Pick LAA · model 45% · market +164
+7.95%
MLB
SF@
CLE
Pick SF · model 43% · market +178
+6.98%
MLB
WSH@
TEX
Pick WSH · model 44% · market +152
+5.23%
MLB
STL@
CIN
Pick CIN · model 52% · market +100
+2.58%
MLB
NYY@
BAL
Pick BAL · model 49% · market +113
+2.13%
The model parlay
LAA + SF + WSH
+1749
combined odds
8.6%
model probability
+59.2%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7SF @ CLEmodel 8.5
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.