The Model Card
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
1-4on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
SF@
CLE
Pick SF · model 43% · market +200
HIT
MLB
TOR@
TB
Pick TOR · model 44% · market +182
MISS
MLB
NYY@
BAL
Pick BAL · model 52% · market +110
MISS
MLB
STL@
CIN
Pick STL · model 46% · market +138
MISS
MLB
LAA@
HOU
Pick LAA · model 45% · market +143
MISS
The model parlay
MISSSF + TOR + BAL
+1677
combined odds
9.8%
model probability
+74.4%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8AZ @ BOSmodel 10.0
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.