The Model Card
Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
0-5on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
LAD@
COL
Pick COL · model 46% · market +173
MISS
MLB
WSH@
TEX
Pick WSH · model 48% · market +140
MISS
MLB
CWS@
CHC
Pick CWS · model 46% · market +150
MISS
MLB
AZ@
BOS
Pick AZ · model 44% · market +153
MISS
MLB
SF@
CLE
Pick SF · model 41% · market +179
MISS
The model parlay
MISSCOL + WSH + CWS
+1538
combined odds
10.2%
model probability
+67%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8AZ @ BOSmodel 9.8
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.