The Model Card
Saturday, August 15, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
2-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
NYY@
TOR
Pick TOR · model 44% · market +158
HIT
MLB
STL@
CHC
Pick STL · model 43% · market +159
HIT
MLB
TEX@
ATH
Pick ATH · model 47% · market +131
MISS
MLB
MIA@
CIN
Pick CIN · model 53% · market -105
MISS
The model parlay
MISSTOR + STL + ATH
+1444
combined odds
8.9%
model probability
+37.4%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5WSH @ NYMmodel 9.1
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.