The Model Card
Friday, August 14, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
AZ@
ATL
Pick AZ · model 44% · market +180
HIT
MLB
MIL@
LAD
Pick MIL · model 44% · market +168
MISS
MLB
CWS@
DET
Pick CWS · model 47% · market +135
HIT
MLB
BAL@
TB
Pick BAL · model 43% · market +154
HIT
MLB
KC@
LAA
Pick LAA · model 53% · market +101
MISS
The model parlay
MISSAZ + MIL + CWS
+1663
combined odds
9.2%
model probability
+61.4%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8AZ @ ATLmodel 9.8
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.