The Model Card
Thursday, August 13, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
MIL@
LAD
Pick MIL · model 52% · market +133
HIT
MLB
PIT@
MIA
Pick MIA · model 53% · market +112
MISS
MLB
CLE@
DET
Pick DET · model 51% · market +112
HIT
MLB
PHI@
MIN
Pick PHI · model 53% · market -103
HIT
MLB
TEX@
LAA
Pick TEX · model 62% · market -148
MISS
The model parlay
MISSMIL + MIA + DET
+947
combined odds
14.0%
model probability
+46.5%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8CLE @ DETmodel 9.1
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.